Chen Zeqiang:4.13黄金原油行情走势分析，黄金多空解套操作策略

Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.

　　goldMarket trend analysis:

　　黄金昨日先围绕在1950下方震荡，低位也回撤至1940附近，欧盘时段受市场对俄乌局势担忧的影响，市场情绪异常，导致黄金短时被拉升上涨至1970附近，但随后又很快回吐涨幅，且低点跌回至1940附近，日线最终收得一带有上影线的阳线。

　　从昨日黄金的运行节奏来看，有适度的回弹是可以理解的，毕竟目前行情已经翻上均线带上方，但在消息面不是很透明的情况下，如此幅度拉升就显得很异常，同时运行节奏也显得独立于市场其他交易品种，所以对于昨日拉升务必还是要多留个心眼的。根据日线结构，昨日冲高回落收阳但留下上影线，预示作为高点1970一线还是会起到一定压制作用的，但回撤低点至1940一线，未跌破均线带，也意味着短线结构重心抬升得到巩固，日内行情只要不跌回日均线带下，那么依然还有偏强震荡的可能。日内下方着重关注5Daily line1943附近支撑，主要支撑依旧关注10、20Daily line1936/35Nearby, followed above1965-70短压带，预期行情或将会在此区间内进行震荡消化，等待基本面相关消息面引导方向。

　　结合小时图走势，昨日承压1950一线行情回撤1940，冲高1970未破后回落，低点也落在1940一线，且后半夜行情回弹至1950上方，说明短线行情对1940支撑已经认可，如果调整不破1940，那么技术上就会有进一步的回升预期，而如果1940跌破，则前两个交易日的回升可能就只是昙花一现，行情回归弱势的风险增加。不过以当前技术形态，以及市场随时可能再度炒作俄乌局势的基本面环境下，黄金短线还是有可能展开回弹的，但是回弹的空间能否打开，则需要基本面的明确利好消息配合，否则很难有大幅的回升空间。

　　根据日线以及小时图结构，日内黄金暂时还是看区间震荡，区间依旧锁定1970—40区域，可在区间内进行短线的低多高空，但务必保持轻仓状态，因为目前消息太难把控，市场情绪是非常不稳定的。

　　操作策略：日内上方到1970-73区间轻仓做空，统一将止损设至1978Look at the target below1955-50Regional reduction of positions, replacement of principal and stop loss, remaining orders can be reviewed again1943-40区域再做减离。下方回撤1952/55可轻仓多，止损统一1947, look at the goal1965/70！

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:

　　4小时暂时处于下行台阶通道中运行，但短线表现是震荡式下跌，而不是极弱的单边下跌，昨日单阴下挫放量后，再伴随小连阳反弹收复部分失地，也是一步一回头的走法。这种行情中，节奏比方向更重要。卡点是关键。先锁住临界点，再择切入点。目前4Hours and1小时图双均线形成空头压制，虽伴随反弹修正，但双均线不拐头，以及台阶高点不收复，短线维持反弹高空思路不变，此前98.80依旧是短期临界点，下行通道的趋势线压力下移至与98.80次高点重合。此位之下反弹择机高空，今日阻力97.50-98.0-98.50.今日操作策略：95.7附近空单进入，目标看93.7-93.3Stop loss96.8.

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