Guide Metallographer:4.12黄金能否突破更高点？操作建议及分析

TodaygoldTrend analysis:

　　日线上看，黄金昨日收取小阳线，略长上引线，最高1970, minimum1940，其实昨天也没有多大行情，也就30个点的行情，日线昨日测试了月线，形成一波虚破后回撤的速度和幅度还是很大很快的，boll也没有完全形成开口。目前处于摸高当中，也是月线回补上影线的阶段。日线在高位收一个带长上影线的阳k线，暂时顶部清晰可见在1968，这个点位既然没有破位，那么周初强势走完，就要关注转弱力度，周一的上涨下跌没有拉开日线周期布林，并且k线收在布林上轨之内。

　　4小时一波放量上涨之后，K线伴随着冲高收低，昨日的区间1970-1938是短期的分水点，上下区间边缘来决定短线多空延续，上破1970进一步反弹摸高。今天亚盘的结构来看，暂时看不出有力的弱势，操作上依然采取回调做多的策略。具体操作策略：回调下方1941-1943Multiple entry nearby, target1952-1954Nearby, stop loss5Points. Bounce Above1963-1966Nearby empty orders enter, target1953-1956Nearby, stop loss5Points

Todaycrude oilTrend analysis:

　　原油昨日开盘即承压98.7震荡回修，晚间低点回撤至93一线有刺破，随后行情略有回弹，日线最终还是收得一阳。从昨日原油运行节奏来看，整体状态还是很弱的，无论是开盘即承压回落，还是下方刺破了前期低点93.5，都表明当前市场情绪还是一边倒的偏空的。目前根据日线结构，短线原油调整尚有余力，且93.5跌破后，下方或可能回撤区间下沿91.3-0，甚至可能引发市场多头的恐慌抛售。但小时图级别来看，昨日低位震荡消化后，短线行情也有一定的技术回弹需要，所以日内原油大概率还是会以低位震荡的方式展现，可能先有延续回弹，上方先关注96-96.5一带争夺，主要压力依旧看上周四五的高点98.7附近。操作上，保守者暂时选择观望为宜，规避目前消息面随时可能引爆行情异动的风险。激进则先看回弹，上方测压96.7/8、98.7/8分别尝试短空，下方回撤93.8-5尝试短多，暂作区间，但无论多空，风险都是比较大的。

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