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Life is always about making choices and waiting for results. The road cannot always be smooth, there will always be obstacles, mediocrity is not the goal that everyone pursues. The investment market is also the same, it cannot be smooth sailing, and windfall profits are everyone's dream, but there are always various temptations and traps along the way. Accustomed to unilateral behavior, one is always stifled by shocks and washes, which is the law of the market. In the face of life, we are making choices. We can't make a detour, we can't make a river, we always have to resort to other methods. And the market, too, should not blindly pursue operation. Some markets may see profits, but they may not necessarily be able to earn profits.
Spotgold,crude oil、伦敦金,黄金走势分析【指南金师一对一指导WX:znjs1555 QQ:1503556243】Recommendations for crude oil and silver operations, gold and silverTDMarket, daily analysis of gold and silver, latest strategies, and techniques for unwinding long and short orders!
Monday(4month11During the Asian session, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading in1942美元附近,上周五金价震荡走高,因乌克兰与盟国称俄军袭击乌东火车站造成大量死伤,提升了市场的避险情绪;尽管上周美联储发出鹰派讯息,美元录得一个月来最大周线涨幅,对金价有所压制,但对俄乌局势的担忧情绪在周末进一步升温,多数华尔街分析师转为看涨本周金价。本交易日关注中国CPIdataPPI数据的影响发酵,留意英国GDP数据和美联储官员讲话,重点关注俄乌局势的进一步消息。
美国最新通膨指数即将公布,市场认为美国3Monthly consumer price index(CPI)And the coreCPI年增将持续升温,要到4月增速才会放缓,官员为应对近40年来的高通胀,立场逐渐转鹰,根据上周公布的联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)of3 月会议记录暗示,多名官员倾向升息2码,且未来可能开始以每月最高950亿美元的速度缩减资产负债表。受俄乌战争影响,油价与其他大宗商品价格上涨,上月最终需求生产者物价指数(PPI)年增率达10%,虽符合市场预期,但高于上月的9.7%,同时也首次飙升至两位数,市场认为PPI将近一步走高,料3monthPPI年增率升至10.6%。
就目前的情况来看,市场预期未来两次会议总计加息100The probability of a basis point is56%。强于预期的CPI数据可能会提高美联储连续两次加息50个基点的可能性,并进一步推高美国国债收益率,这可能会令金价承压。欧洲央行将于下周四宣布货币政策决定。市场普遍预期欧洲央行将维持其政策不变,但若该央行对前瞻指引采取强硬立场,可能为欧元/美元的决定性复苏打开大门,并令美元承压。在这种情况下,黄金应该能够小幅走高。另一方面,欧洲央行可能会变得谨慎,关注俄罗斯和乌克兰旷日持久的冲突对经济活动的潜在负面影响,而不是通胀。在这种情况下,欧元/美元可能面临看跌压力,令金价难以获得支撑。美国还将于周四公布3月零售销售数据,预计周五复活节假期期间市场将恢复平静。
Analysis of Gold Market Trend:
黄金技术面分析:日线级别来看,金价周四打破了阴阳转换的局面,周五如期形成破位上行,从日线来看,连续多天形成盘局的破位,单K光阳中阳,价格形成了延续上行,明显的多头确认上行,当下短期均线形成金叉向上,价格站在中期均线上方,而四维图表日图在周五确认了多头,短期其次没有什么可质疑的,无非是那里买入,一是空档,二是周五冲高回落的再次支撑位,如果强势预期就在这一线,弱一些回落空档,但是直接回这里就不算强势多头,只能算是对周五的修正,但是不管怎么样只需要把握一点日图方向是多头就够了。
其次从四小时图来看,价格至下线上扬后,周五已经突破上线,K线组合上也形成了延续,后边再向上就将测试加速线这里,那短期上线和一线已经形成了强支撑,另外小时图30分钟都是强势多头,结合日图回落预期最多30分钟下线,而上方一是四小时加速线,二是日图上线,因此综合得出结论如下:4小时上周守住在布林带下轨1915长时间整理启稳,周尾走出一波连阳式反弹。打破了窄幅整理区间,同时顶开布林带上轨。拉动均线指标拐头向上形成支撑。1小时显示短线还有适当延续性整理上扬空间,而中轨也是此前的回测的二次低点1926是强弱分界点,此位之上偏多。反之转弱,目前在中轨上方回调择机做多为主。首个支撑则是区间突破口上轨,由此前的阻力转换成支撑,在1936-1933附近,亚欧盘回踩先行短多。综上所述,今日黄金操作思路上指南金师建议回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方重点关注1963-1966Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1936-1933Frontline support. I will prompt you on the specific operation strategy in the disk and pay attention to it in a timely manner. The recent market turbulence has been significant, with opportunities and risks coexisting. Control risks and increase profits.
Reference for gold aftermarket operation strategy:
Empty order strategy:
Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1963-1966Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss5Points, target1955-1945Nearby, break down and take a look1940frontline
Multiple order strategy:
Strategy 2: Gold Callback1938-1940Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss5Points, target1950-1960Nearby, break down and take a look1966frontline
Technical analysis of crude oil
Is there a disagreement in Europe regarding sanctions on Russia's oil, as Germany's energy and oil companies are more likely to see oil prices rise and fall now57%Relying on Russia while also using natural gas80%Relying on Russia, if sanctions sacrifice Germany's economic paralysis, it is obviously impossible. In other European countries, there is also a lot of dependence. When there is a disagreement or even a large-scale game in their own country, there will be a play to watch. Some people even remind energy to stay away from politics, listening to how ridiculous it is. Even art and even a cat are subject to sanctions. You can stay away from energy needs, which is obviously a pit, so oil will inevitably rise and fall, Recently, due to Saudi Arabia's safe haven oil rising again, the test is now118Pressure, this is consistent with previous analysis. In the end, the United States banned oil imports, and the maximum benefits did not break through130It indicates that stress manifests when things reach their extreme. Rebound and continue to short to meet the second gap92Area, in other words113Give you a light warehouse without hesitation, even if it's empty1Ten thousand dollars0.1The layout is also acceptable, and the total warehouse should not exceed0.3Then wait for the market news to ease, or the bulls will experience a final crazy flash crash, following the bearish trend40The same trend, now accelerating to catch up with the top, what you need to do is not to chase too much and prevent a sudden start to fall. radical101Participated in the empty space nearby, encountered again in the stable midline109.8Near the area, the central line has been opened for short selling, after all, the pressure is gradually moving downwards, and the following is running92Go. First encounter92reach90Multiple regional options.
?Spot gold, crude oil, London gold, and analysis of gold trends [guide to one-on-one guidance from Jin Shi]WX:znjs1555 QQ:1503556243】Recommendations for crude oil and silver operations, gold and silverTDMarket, daily analysis of gold and silver, latest strategies, and techniques for unwinding long and short orders!
Linyuan envies fish, it's better to retreat and form a net. There's no need for bold words, as long as you're down-to-earth, strength is more important than more magnificent language. This article is compiled and published by a guide to finance. The content of the article is for reference only. There are risks to investment, so please do a good job in risk control. Investment requires rational choices and guidance, if you are lost. You can come to me and lead you further and stand higher! Add a guide, and the goldsmith will provide targeted guidance based on your own situation
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