Guo Shengshan:4.7Analysis of the morning gold market and operational strategies, the long short battle is on the verge of breaking out

Trading core values: Trading is like fighting, both attacking and defending. Defensive means advancing with retreat, while offensive means retreating with advance. When risks outweigh profits, a perfect retreat is far more meaningful than a partial victory. The highest level of trading is short positions. Only short positions can calm down, only calm down can observe, only observe can be a judge, and thus distinguish between strong and weak trends. As long as one stands against the strong or weak team, profit is just a passing act. Therefore, the first thing a trader needs to learn is to spend most of their time observing, rather than participating. It is not necessary to participate every time, but to seek a trade that can turn the tide with just one attempt. There is no one in this world who lives easier than anyone else. It's just the strong. Even if they fall, they should smile, never cry out for pain when they fall, or turn on the lights when they are afraid of the dark. The strong are not born, they have just experienced more setbacks.

　　【goldTrend Analysis

Fundamentally, the main driving force for bullish gold in recent times has been the economic impact of the Russia Ukraine incident, as well as concerns about safe haven demand and inflation. However, the impact of the market on the situation in Russia and Ukraine has weakened, and the Federal Reserve is also accelerating its tightening expectations, which poses a certain risk of reducing inflation concerns. Overall, this has put pressure on the rebound of gold prices, especially in the near future5-6Monthly interest rate increase50The strong pressure from individual funds poses a greater risk of short selling gold prices. Therefore, before the geopolitical situation further deteriorates, it still tends to be dominated by oscillation and pressure.

Gold rises and falls again, bottoming out and returning1920Nearby and below oscillations, the daily closing line still appears to be running near and below the short-term line. Yesterday, it rose and fell back, ending with a bearish line. This suggests that the short-term market is a bit volatile and bearish. Today, pay attention to the downside1915Support, attention from above1938Support. If it falls below, it is expected to fall back1900-1890Support, so there are only two support positions below1915Nearby and1900-1890Both support levels can be tried to go long. Teacher Guo Shengshan suggests that the operating strategy should still be high and low, but there is a possibility of another dip in the short term.

Golden Operation Concept

Suggest a rebound1935Near empty, stop loss1942, Objective1925-1917

Suggest withdrawal1915Nearby, stop loss1910, Objective1928-1933

Silver Analysis-Spot silver

Current pressure26.8After a continuous decline, stabilization, and rebound in the region, the current rebound is still relatively strong, but26.8The upward pressure is obvious and cannot be adjusted at any time. There is a bit of room for the decline in demand for silver industry in the later stage. When gold stabilizes, it is still the first to long silver. Currently, with the tariff adjustment, we can also rebound and participate in short selling. If we continue to rebound25.Nearby, there can be empty layouts waiting for adjustments, as for silverTDJust follow the trend of spot buying and selling, of course, the pressure is concentrated now5150If encountering a direct short entry game and adjusting again, try not to participate in other positions as much as possible, and now switch between top and bottom5150Regional pressure continues to short5250Loss is sufficient. Directly encountering4800Multiple regional batches, available in stock22Try a shorter layout nearby.

　　【crude oilanalysis-US crude oil

Crude oil1Hour cycle on105.00Construct a dome shape again nearby, and the overall outlook for the future is downward; The current department is located in105.00After watching the trend of falling and swallowing nearby, record the three ways of falling again, and also observe a downward trend in some areas. Currently at resistance level103.40Watch the trend of buying and selling in the vicinity again, with a combination of bearish and bearish patterns. The overall outlook for the future is downward!

Indicator interpretation:1Hourly cycleMAThe moving average points towards bullish sentiment, but as we mentioned before,MaThe moving average does not have the ability to touch the top (with a certain degree of lag), and currently it points towardskThe lines are contradictory, and stability can be observed first;1Hour cycle and15Minute cycleKDJCross down pointing bearish, the US market still looks downward.

Crude oil wave structure: Currently, the crude oil wave structure remains unchanged from its previous structure, indicating that the market is still in a small state3The waves are accelerating downward.

In summary, it is recommended to103.40Follow up on empty orders from nearby light warehouses, see104.00Make up the position once and stop the loss104.40Long and medium short positions are held to see breaking levels98.50！

In this ever-changing market, the ups and downs of the market are not determined by personal subjective will, but are filled with more than empty battles. Victory and failure always accompany each other. However, one thing is that the trend of the market will determine the future direction, setting, positioning, controlling positions, and achieving success in the trilogy. Therefore, choice far outweighs effort, choosing a good teacher will benefit greatly, and I have always been there.

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.