Guide Metallographer:4.6黄金最新行情走势及原油解套建议

　　4.6goldMarket trend analysis:

　　黄金技术面分析：黄金日内如预期的震荡消化，上方回弹1943/44一线即受阻回修，目前从小时图结构上来看，日内结构重心有所下移，再度走弱的可能性加大，但这种震荡式的行情又很难出现大幅的回落，所以小时图上，黄金大概率还是会以震荡为主。日内上方继续关注1945Nearby short pressure, the main pressure remains focused1950一线，下方则继续关注1925-23短支撑带争夺，但主要支撑还是看向1920-17One area.

Gold4小时级别，连阴形态下，直接一根大阳拔起，吞没多阴，意味着买盘支撑突袭强劲，部分主力资金有所进场，也守住了年均线位置，当前测试66Daily moving average1940，一旦站上，则会再冲击半年线压力1950一线，目前小时线来说反弹到1935附近压力，所以围绕1935可以空一个，下方下破1915之后可以继续留仓下看1900水平以及下方！如果后面继续反弹突破还有反弹动能，那么届时空单转个短线对待，或者看情况要不要回撤在考虑短线跟多一个，届时只能临盘而定！综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上指南金师建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注1935-1938Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1910-1915Frontline support

Reference for gold aftermarket operation strategy:

Empty order strategy:

Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1935-1937Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss5Points, target1925-1915Nearby, break down and take a look1910frontline

Multiple order strategy:

Strategy 2: Gold Callback1915-1917Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss5Points, target1925-1930Nearby, break down and take a look1935frontline

Analysis of silver trend:

Current pressure26.8After a continuous decline, stabilization, and rebound in the region, the current rebound is still relatively strong, but26.8The upward pressure is obvious and cannot be adjusted at any time. There is a bit of room for the decline in demand for silver industry in the later stage. When gold stabilizes, it is still the first to long silver. Currently, with the tariff adjustment, we can also rebound and participate in short selling. If we continue to rebound25.Nearby, there can be empty layouts waiting for adjustments, as for silverTDJust follow the trend of spot buying and selling, of course, the pressure is concentrated now5150If encountering a direct short entry game and adjusting again, try not to participate in other positions as much as possible, and now switch between top and bottom5150Regional pressure continues to short5250Loss is sufficient. Directly encountering4800Multiple regional batches, available in stock22Try a shorter layout nearby.

　　crude oilTrend analysis:

　　（4month6日）亚市早盘，国际原油价格则惊险守住100美元门槛。据俄媒报道称，俄罗斯3月石油产量为110110000 barrels/日，较上个月下降不到1%，随着俄罗斯内储存量增加，未来几个月的产量的下降程度可能会增加。欧洲国家对俄罗斯能源行业实施制裁的压力增大，俄乌地缘局势不确定性风险增加，投资者担心石油供应愈发紧张，在维也纳举行的重启伊朗核协议的谈判暂停，为油价提供了支持。沙特阿拉伯国有石油生产商沙特阿美将其旗舰产品阿拉伯轻质原油的5月亚洲官方售价(OSP)上调至每桶较阿曼/迪拜原油高9.35USD.5OfOSP是该等级原油有史以来的最高升水。该公司将向西北欧出口的阿拉伯轻质原油的OSP定在较布兰特原油每桶高4.60美元，将向美国出口的OSP定在较阿格斯含硫油价格指数(ASCI)每桶高5.65美元。指南金师认为正常化后的库存处于历史性低位，季节性调整后的短缺仍然很大，而且越来越严重，随着国际旅行的恢复，预计今年夏天航空燃料消费将大幅增加；将2023年油价预估由每桶110美元上调至每桶115美元。总体来看，俄乌地缘局势不确定性风险加大，欧盟加大对俄制裁，加之伊核谈判暂停，供应担忧再起，油价回升；但日内短线还需关注IEA或释放原油储备的相关消息，短线或波动较大。

　　原油技术面分析：原油昨日二次下探不破低，启稳在98.0上方走反弹收复失地，一度站上103.80.今日开盘进一步的刷高至105.0上方。日线收盘一根中阳线，收复了上周五的失地。四小时一波低位启稳连阳回升，连续收复了多个阻力，拉动短期均线又重新拐头向上。短线走得反复拉锯，今日重点关注107.50的得失，此位是130.50And116.50两个高点连接形成的下行趋势线的阻力，也是4小时周期的多空防守点。综上所述指南金师总结：原油昨日先跌后涨，日线收录大阳线，进一步表明多头突破，但是还没有改变整体偏空格局，短期动能较强，上方多空分水岭在107-108美元，今日操作上考虑反弹做空为主，回撤做多为辅，上方关注107-108美元阻力，进一步上破将削弱整体偏空格局，下方支撑关注99-98dollar/桶，进一步下破将削弱多头格局。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路指南金师建议上方短期重点关注104.0-105.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below98.0-97.0Frontline support

Spot gold, crude oil, London gold, and analysis of gold trends [guide to one-on-one guidance from Jin Shi]WX:zns1555 QQ：1503556243】Recommendations for crude oil and silver operations, gold and silverTDMarket, daily analysis of gold and silver, latest strategies, and techniques for unwinding long and short orders!