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Guide Metallographer:4.4黄金弱势继续下探,短线最新交易策略!

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  市场盘点,国际要闻:

  上周五现货gold震荡下行,最低触及1917.80USD, closing down0.67%Report1924.3dollar/Ounces;

  现货白银收跌0.65%Report24.61dollar/ounce.

  crude oil价格小幅下跌,WTI原油未能重新收复100美元关口,收跌1.59%Report100.57dollar/桶;布伦特原油收跌1.23%Report107.29dollar/桶;美、布两油上周均下跌约13%,创两年来最大单周跌幅。

  俄乌谈判乌克兰代表团团长阿拉哈米亚接受媒体采访时表示,乌克兰与俄罗斯已接近达成协议,但是在克里米亚问题上仍存在分歧。阿拉哈米亚说,对于乌克兰在伊斯坦布尔提出的草案,俄罗斯已经口头上接受了除克里米亚问题外的条款。乌方正在等待俄方做出书面确认。

United States3Increase in non agricultural employment after the monthly adjustment43.1万人,小幅低于市场预期,创去年11月以来最小增幅;美国3月失业率自上个月的3.8%lower3.6%, lower than expected3.7%Continue brushing2020year2月来新低。

Analysis of Gold Market Trend:

  上周五黄金整体走势震荡下行,盘中高低起伏洗盘动作较多,晚间非农数据虽然是利多但并未对下跌走势产生实质性冲击,目前跌势已经回落到了1919还未见结束迹象,因此今日继续下跌寻底的概率比较大。黄金操作建议反弹至黄金分割38.2%~50%region1931.50Selling, risk control1936.50Above, target1918~1912。按照波浪交易系统的研判,目前的回落走势属于二次探底性质的Bwaveb,整体目标看至下方的1911~1904区域,届时如果在此位置出现企稳信号,可以考虑参与Bwavec的二次反弹上行走势。万一直接跌破1904则需要考虑Cwave3的主跌浪走势已经展开

Analysis of crude oil market trend:

  基本面,上周的基本面美国方面数据表现好坏不一,周五非农结果就业人数虽然不及预期,只有43.1万人差于预期的49万,但在通胀水平高启的背景下,这样的数据还是让美元指数在一定程度上得到支撑,而俄乌局势方面双方虽然依旧在战争状态,但和谈的背景下上周双方都释放了一定的和解信息,而外围对俄罗斯的制裁在俄罗斯针对性的反制下,特别是欧洲面对高启的能源价格已经开始软化,毕竟国家之间自身的利益才是永远排在第一位的,所以之前疾风骤雨般的避险情绪得到缓解,大宗商品价格震荡回落。周一消息面重点关注今日22:00The United States of America2Monthly factory order rate.

  原油上周整体呈震荡下行,当周最高117.8, minimum97.7,周线大阴收于994,从周线看油价还将继续下跌,下方关注90-88,从日线看,油价下跌后反弹108再次下跌,现临近下轨,呈空头趋势,固本周操作思路以反弹空为主,上方关注105and108,日内,从四小时线看,布林轨向下呈震荡下行,小时线,油价处于下轨呈空头,下方关注97的突破情况,上方则关注100and102

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