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Gold market analysis:
随着美债收益率攀升,市场风险情绪好转,同时,更多的美联储官员发表鹰派讲话,强化了5Monthly interest rate hike50个基点的信号。美国3New employment positions added in the month43.1ten thousand 个,创去年11月以来的最小增幅。与此同时,失业率继续下降,从2Of the month3.8%lower3.6%Continue brushing2020year2月来的新低。本次报告是美联储5月初利率会议前的最后一份非农就业报告。目前市场预期美联储将在年底前再进行9second25个基点的加息,这意味着要在接下来的会议上加息50个基点,这种鹰派的押注已明显高于3月初时的预期。俄罗斯和乌克兰停火谈判可能取得进展,可能会在下周降低黄金的避险溢价。
原油月线和黄金基本一样,支撑95.7and93.5附近,跌破才能彻底转空。不过原油周线是破位阴线,所以下周应该还有一跌,阻力103.4-105.2附近触及做空。日线昨天收长下影阴线,并且下方也到了关键支撑,所以倾向周一先反弹再回落。日线阻力101.3附近,不破可以小止损先空,小时线阻力在100.4。由于不知道行情先涨还是先跌,暂时给一些可以做单的点位:100.4-101.3-103.4-105.2有信号都可以空,95.7Going long nearby,93.5附近不破也是多
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