Guo Shengshan:3.31黄金区间宽幅震荡洗盘

goldLatest trend analysis:

Thursday(3month31day)现货黄金小幅走弱，一度短暂失守1920Pass, currently trading at1930美元附近，尽管俄罗斯轰炸基辅郊区，重新集结军队在乌克兰东部展开攻势，给金价提供避险支撑，但美联储官员称将需要大幅缩减资产负债表，美国3月民间就业保持强劲势头，市场对非农的乐观预期升温，隔夜金价反弹受阻于10日均线，短线依然略微偏空。日内重点关注美国总统拜登讲话、美国初请失业金人数变动、美国3月挑战者企业裁员人数、美国2Monthly CorePCE物价指数年率、美联储官员讲话和俄乌局势相关消息。

　　技术面：月线级别：高位震荡；金价3The moon is approaching at one point2020year8The historical height set by the moon2075Nearby, but then quickly falling back, expected to record a long overhead shadowKLine,MACDDead cross, Bollinger Line tracks operate horizontally and suppress gold prices, and there is a possibility of long-term fluctuations building a roof. Given thatKDJStill running with a golden cross,MACDThe dead cross signal weakens, and if the gold price breaks through the Bollinger Line track2005.6Near resistance increases the bullish signal for the medium to long term. Focus on the middle rail of the Bollinger Line below1803.16Nearby support.

　　日线级别：震荡；隔夜金价反弹受阻于10Daily moving average,MACD死叉良好运行，KDJ趋向于死叉，短线略微偏向震荡下行，初步支撑在周三低点1915.40Nearby, then1900关口附近支撑，强支撑在1891附近，该位置也是1780-2070Upward trend61.8%回撤位，也接近周二低点和55日均线支撑。一旦下破该支撑，或将加速下跌；目前这种可能性还比较小。上方10The daily moving average resistance is currently at1933.69Nearby,21Daily moving average resistance1952.54附近，若意外顶破该阻力，则增加短线看涨信号。上周五低点1943.04There are also some resistance nearby.

　　小时线级别：前日黄金最低下挫至1890一线后，迎来触底反弹，昨日黄金多头一路高歌猛进，收复了前日的跌幅，最高上探至1938附近，行情整体处于宽幅震荡格局当中。目前金价再次跌破60均线，且MACD已蔓延至0轴下方运行，短线趋势震荡偏空。黄金在经历暴跌及50美金上涨的强V反转后，目前震荡，同时走的是短线三角震荡收敛，三角震荡收敛形态往往是暴风雨前的宁静，一但破位容易走小单边；这个形态结构来看，一单破位1935一线，那么上方可见1945-1950区域，届时建议空单进场，V型反转结构没破坏前，下方如破位1920，不看好太大空间，下方首次破位1920，继续做多一次，具体点位1915-1918区域做多；若非要为这波行情定义方向，我个人倾向于向上破位，也就是美盘黄金预计会有一个冲高的过程，美盘不给高点不要轻易试空，美盘1945-1948区域做空！