Guide Metallographer:3.30黄金瀑布似下跌，欲意何为？

　　指南金师寄语：

　　成功其实并不难，成功就是简单的赢利模式重复反复不断地去做，切忌学了东家又去学西家，这个KIf you don't have the line, you can't learn the moving average. If you don't have the moving average, you can't learn the indicators. As a result, you may even be confused about what method is most effective, which is fixed and stable. A simple profit model is the most effective, and investment is the same. Simple profit models are repeated, repeated, and creative. Respect the market, follow the market, plan to act, think rationally, follow the rhythm, and operate accordingly. Life is not about getting a good card, but how to play a bad card well. Step by step, one can surpass a higher peak. Life is like a journey, with scenery and emotions all the way, and we can walk together

Tuesday(3month29day)In stockgold创近两周新低1900.78dollar/盎司，俄乌新一轮谈判即将在土耳其举行。美元指数同时大幅走低，尽管美联储加快升息节奏的预期渐盛，但99整数关口附近面临技术阻力。市场还担心，美国对俄罗斯的制裁应该会促使一些国家加快降低对美元的依赖。

　　乌克兰和俄罗斯的谈判代表准备在土耳其进行面对面的会谈。这是两周多来双方的首次直接会谈，俄罗斯的入侵似乎在几个方面都陷入了停滞。土耳其总统埃尔多安在会谈前告诉俄罗斯和乌克兰谈判代表，双方周二在伊斯坦布尔展开会谈所取得的进展，将为两国领导人的会晤铺平道路。埃尔多安在伊斯坦布尔向谈判代表发表的电视讲话中说，现在是谈判产生具体结果的时候了，并呼吁立即停火，他称“阻止这场悲剧”取决于双方。

　　黄金市场目前情绪较为谨慎，因为关于乌克兰局势的新谈判将于今天晚些时候开始。但鉴于谈判取得突破的前景不佳，能源纷争料继续推升通胀，市场对黄金中长期看法仍不乏乐观。

Analysis of Gold Market Trend:

Short line4小时方面，金价自1965下行以来，一直保持这良好的下跌结构，在上行通道上轨1925附近反弹后下破，今天欧盘跌破前期低点1910后，标破坏掉了4小时震荡上行的节奏，同时也说明4小时此段在1984的反弹已经结束，将开始新的下行，而从大的结构来说，头肩底形态的右肩也基本完整，现在只需要跌破颈线1900便可以确认4小时顶部形态的形成，阻力方面近期重点关注1921，此位置是4小时下跌的顶底转换位，之前的支撑，欧盘下破后，便演变为了阻力，下方则注意1900的实体破位情况，实体下破则注意新低的可能，关键支撑以及尝试短多的位置关注

Short line1小时方面，金价自1958以来，保持这阶梯式下行的结构，有新低便会出现反弹，测试之前跌破的支撑，完成顶底转换，自1958也形成了短期以来的下降趋势线压力，随着时间的推移，此压力线的位置在1915Nearby, and1小时破位的顶底转换位在1919，这两个位置是晚间考虑开仓空的的位置，若突破1919顶底转换位，则预示着1小时级别的反弹将要开始，届时注意测试1940的可能，由于俄乌交战停火的影响，黄金短线进行了加速，并且下破了1900关口，下破之后，今天日内左侧试多的位置就要考虑在1976，此位置是刚刚说的4小时的关键支撑，右侧多则需要等待1小时的顶底转换位破位或者底部信号的出现。

　　黄金具体策略建议：短线4小时注意1900的实体破位情况，跌破此位置将形成大型的头肩顶形态，短期内的关键支撑注意1876，首次触及可以考虑多单。短线1小时下跌结构完整，注意下降趋势线1915as well as1919的测试开空机会，下方则注意1876Key support.

　　crude oilTrend analysis:

Crude oil fell and closed down yesterday, opening high and moving low. After breaking through the low point of last Friday, a wave of weakness and continuous negative decline formed. In terms of news, the hope that Russia and Ukraine may make progress in the peace talks starting in Türkiye on Tuesday put pressure on oil prices. Crude oil formed a wave of weak decline in volume and closed lower. From a daily perspective, it has preliminarily formedBWave high point. The previous rebound has also emphasized being among the confirmed highs. Once obstructed, it will unfoldCThe waves adjust downwards. However, the moving average indicator still forms some support at present. The daily trend is transitioning downwards, and during the conversion process, it requires a long period of seesaw oscillation.

　　4The hour is over, this wave of rebound, breakdown107.0The lower point of the step was converted into a weak downward trend, and the last high point in the late last night's backdraft was108.45.This position is today's short-term short selling defense point,4If the rebound is confirmed to have ended within hours, it will move towards a downward wave shape adjustment, with a lower low point93.30Defeat is unfoldingCThe reference point for the wave's decline is currently in a neutral position, undergoing a sawing and fluctuating transition to a decline, with the moving average index scattered in a disorderly manner. And the small cycle is slowly transitioning downwards. Considering yesterday's weakness, it is still appropriate to continue today. The resistance lies in105.30-105.60 106.30defense108.50.In terms of operation, the rebound is mainly selected from high altitude.

Specific strategy recommendations for crude oil: crude oil105.10-105.30Nearby empty, see you106.0-106.3Fill in the gaps, defend108.3, Objective101.50-100.0