Yu Yue on Jin:3.29黄金原油还会跌吗今日行情走势分析及在线...

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　goldMarket analysis:



Monday(3month28day)，国际金价下跌超过1%，美元走强且美国10年期国债收益率在数月高点附近持稳，投资者对潜在的俄乌和谈的关注进一步削弱了黄金的避险吸引力。美元指数触及近三周新高99.312，使黄金对其他货币持有者而言变得更加昂贵。美国10年期国债收益率飙升至近三年高点，市场正在努力应对高通胀和美联储的鹰派态度。企业咨询机构AirGuideSupervisorMichael Langford说：“如果美国3月新增就业数据在50万左右或更高，我认为黄金短期内大幅下跌的可能性很大，因为这将支持美联储加快加息。围绕本周俄乌和谈取得进展的希望，打压了黄金的避险需求，而且美联储官员持续发表鹰派讲话，市场对连续50个点加息的预期升温，美债收益率持续走高，美元创两周新高，对金价打压明显，投资者需要提防金价大幅下跌的风险。日内关注俄乌局势进一步消息，新冠疫情相关消息和市场对本周将出炉的美国非农就业报告的预期变化。



　　黄金技术面分析：黄金从日线级别来看，黄金上周五下探回升收高，最低回测1942一线启稳，尾盘时段回升收高。日线守住5日线上方，同时带动短期均线勾头金叉向上。周线收盘一根中阳线。收复了前一周近2/3的下跌失地。周线重新回归高位摸高当中，此前探高回落，第三个交易周没能连阴形成弱势下行。局部使得周线中期继续进入方向性的选择。日线双连阳反弹之后伴随小阴线回踩再启稳，局部守住在1938低点上方，日线周初依旧倾向于进一步反弹。而本周的多头临界点则在1938.此位之上短线偏多，失守则转空。4小时图下探守稳在布林道中轨上方。短线上升结构暂时未改变，突破之后再回踩启稳，有小周线台阶震荡向上的迹象，不过本周在摸高之后会进入中期抉择。是二次摸高还是多头重新强势向上？有待观察。摸高再承压回落就是构造二次顶部向下，反之走强破高则是强势延续。小时图目前向三角形震荡，低点1895-1910慢性震荡向上。综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上余越论金建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注1950-1955Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1920-1915Frontline support.



　　白银行情分析；



　　白银结构上也如期完成了B浪反弹的3波走势，价格最终在25.85一线终结了B浪的反弹，迎来了C浪的下跌，白银在C浪的下跌过程中走的还算比较流畅，日内跌幅达到了0.5美金左右的跌幅，对于日内来讲已经是一个比较客观的跌幅，虽然出现了不小的跌幅，但是结构上依然处于C1浪的下跌当中，并且下方还保持一定的空间，晚间建议等待价格反弹至25.30Intervention of frontline air orders and placement of risk control points25.50Above, as seen from the target position25.00~24.90。


　crude oilLatest market analysis:



Analysis of crude oil news: Tuesday（3month29During the Asian period, American Oil hovered around104dollar/桶附近；油价周一下跌超8%，疫情担忧情绪再起，原油遭到抛售，OPEC+暗示周四开会时可能会坚持温和增加供应的计划之后，油价依然保持下跌；俄乌新一轮谈判当地时间28日开始，最大目标是达成停火。分析师表示，“抛售的剧烈程度反映出，在石油市场试图寻找俄罗斯石油供应的替代品之际，投资者担忧疫情令需求受到严重影响。”对俄罗斯和乌克兰可能于周二在土耳其开始的和平谈判中取得进展的希望 ，令油价承压。市场分析师周一在会议上表示，“如果市场供需平衡，而且资源在市场上，我们不会再增加资源”。他补充说，OPEC+并没有关注俄罗斯石油出口减少是否导致失衡。总体来看，受到疫情担忧情绪的影响，交易者平仓；OPEC+暗示维持供应计划，且俄乌谈判或为地缘紧张局势降温，多重利空因素下，油价短线或下探100Gateway.



　　原油从技术面来看，原油昨日大阴线下挫收低，高开低走，击穿上周五的低点后形成了一波弱势连阴下行，原油形成一波放量式弱势下跌，并且收低。日线来看初步形成了BWave high point. The previous rebound has also emphasized being among the confirmed highs. Once obstructed, it will unfoldC浪向下调整。不过均线指标目前还形成一定支撑。日线趋势在转换下跌，在转换的过程中，需要较长时间的拉锯震荡。小时结束了这波反弹，击穿107.0The lower point of the step was converted into a weak downward trend, and the last high point in the late last night's backdraft was108.45.This position is today's short-term short selling defense point,4If the rebound is confirmed to have ended within hours, it will move towards a downward wave shape adjustment, with a lower low point93.30Defeat is unfoldingC浪下跌的参照点，目前还处于中性位置拉锯震荡转换下跌当中，均线指标凌乱发散。而小周期在慢慢转换向下。结合昨日的弱势，今日还是适当性看延续。综合来看，今日短线操作思路余越论金建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注107.5-108Resistance, short-term focus below101-100.5Frontline support.

   The market has given you an opportunity to overturn, but if you fail to seize it, you will have to find a reason from yourself. It is important to change your mindset at any time when making transactions. If you are in the wrong direction, you must correct it in a timely manner. If you don't have confidence, let me give you confidence. I can't guarantee that you will make millions at once, it's all untrue. In short, if you win, I will accompany you to conquer the world. If you lose, I will accompany you to rise again. I am Yu Yue discussing gold, and I will speak for myself. My strength awaits you to experience.!


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    This article discusses the deduction of gold by Yu Yue  724952173,vx yylj10086As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Yu Yue discusses online solutions for gold, with loss recovery and real-time guidance on WeChat one-on-one. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.