Chen Zeqiang:3.28晚间黄金原油涨跌行情走势分析及实时操作策略

The market always engages in a game of long and short positions, with strong upward movements and rapid downward movements. You cannot control the direction of the market, and the only thing we can do is to hold onto the principal. When the market is uncertain, we can take our positions out of the market and watch. There is no need to waste our energy on unclear behavior. Is the market up or down? The most important thing to worry about is what kind of countermeasures you will take to respond to market changes, how much profit you can gain when you are right, and how much you can avoid when you are wrong in real time.

　　gold技术面分析：黄金从日线级别来看，黄金上周五下探回升收高，最低回测1942一线启稳，尾盘时段回升收高。日线守住5日线上方，同时带动短期均线勾头金叉向上。周线收盘一根中阳线。收复了前一周近2/3的下跌失地。周线重新回归高位摸高当中，此前探高回落，第三个交易周没能连阴形成弱势下行。局部使得周线中期继续进入方向性的选择。日线双连阳反弹之后伴随小阴线回踩再启稳，局部守住在1938低点上方，日线周初依旧倾向于进一步反弹。而本周的多头临界点则在1938.此位之上短线偏多，失守则转空。4小时图下探守稳在布林道中轨上方。短线上升结构暂时未改变，突破之后再回踩启稳，有小周线台阶震荡向上的迹象，不过本周在摸高之后会进入中期抉择。是二次摸高还是多头重新强势向上？有待观察。摸高再承压回落就是构造二次顶部向下，反之走强破高则是强势延续。小时图目前向三角形震荡，低点1895-1910慢性震荡向上。综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上陈泽强建议以反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注1950-1958Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1930-1925Frontline support.

　　crude oil从技术面来看，原油上周整体表现摸高确认阻力，周初先行延续上扬，最高触及116.60.周尾稍有回落，收盘在110.20附近。周线收盘一根中阳线，周线双连阴下挫后伴随阳K线二次摸高，第三个交易日周可当作是反弹确认，重点在于本周或下周的多空延续，来决定这波趋势是形成二次顶部回落还是高位震荡再向上。日线来看有轻微承压回落迹象。4小时经过一波慢性连续上涨之后，上行量能稍有放缓，4小时布林道收口后收盘在中轨之下，削弱了上行动能。本周是一个多空转换的时间节点，空头若要有所表现，则本周会走高位回落，形成了二次探高转换回落，一旦收低，则是日线级别的B浪反弹结束，走日线结构的C浪调整，若是按预期形态成立的话，后市调整的空间还是会比较大，目前是在构造当中，周初还是超短线应对。形态与空间来临盘决定。综合来看，原油今日操作思路上陈泽强建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期关注111.0-111.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below106.8-106.3Frontline support.

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