Chen Zeqiang:3.28今日黄金原油白银行情走势分析及操作策略布局

The market always engages in a game of long and short positions, with strong upward movements and rapid downward movements. You cannot control the direction of the market, and the only thing we can do is to hold onto the principal. When the market is uncertain, we can take our positions out of the market and watch. There is no need to waste our energy on unclear behavior. Is the market up or down? The most important thing to worry about is what kind of countermeasures you will take to respond to market changes, how much profit you can gain when you are right, and how much you can avoid when you are wrong in real time.

　　goldTrend analysis:

　　从当前盘面来看，日图至周四弱多到转五确认，在周五价格早盘我们给出多，后边在四小时弱空后，我们先55的多在60一线收割，晚间在53.6干空一波跌到42一线在46上收网，目前来看在日图收十字，短期还将反复，直接走一边倒的格局还有点，但是转势还需要时间，周五的下跌最终还是没有破掉1942，所以后边在消息面的影响下也出现了大幅反抽，所以抛开基本面，技术面上小周期的调整只能看作是修正，真想转势还得看日图最终的转折，日图目前价格运行于布林线中轨一带，上下都没跑出去多少，而上下轨道开始收拢，所以暂时很难跑出多大的行情，上方破高还是周五的观点，一是0.5这里，二是0.618都是强压力，而下方1942连续三次都没破，目前也成了近期多头的主要转折点，下破才能一步修正，但是想要直接打日图下线必须破掉1925，否则这种震荡向上的局面不变。

　　从四小时图来看，周五弱空向下在1942一线支撑反弹，这主要是受基本面影响，向上刺穿上线但是并没有收住，相反走出了震荡回落，同时上边也形成了新的小三角压制，而下边支撑于一线这里，同时布林线中轨开始向上拐头，只有强势下破才能去下线，而小时图目前是上下都没有破，上线压制，下线周五刺穿但没有延续反而快速收回，30分钟打到下方加速线后上压，那上方终合来看一是小时图的上线压制及破位30分钟的上方加速线，都将是整个向上的强压力，因此综合得出结论如下：日图还是震荡偏多没有转势，四小时震荡偏空，小时图和30分钟看震荡。

　　操作上：日内把握大区间1932-1973之间高抛低吸原则不变，暂时很难打破这个平衡，这个是大框架，下方只有破25才能算正式转空，至于亚盘以1963空，下方1943多的原则，默认防守即可，激进早盘回落1946一线可以先多，至于其它点位结合盘面线下临盘提示为准。

Analysis of silver trend:

Current pressure26.8After a continuous decline, stabilization, and rebound in the region, the current rebound is still relatively strong, but26.8The upward pressure is obvious and cannot be adjusted at any time. There is a bit of room for the decline in demand for silver industry in the later stage. When gold stabilizes, it is still the first to long silver. Currently, with the tariff adjustment, we can also rebound and participate in short selling. If we continue to rebound25.2Nearby, there can be empty layouts waiting for adjustments, as for silverTDJust follow the trend of spot buying and selling, of course, the pressure is concentrated now5230If encountering a direct short entry game and adjusting again, try not to participate in other positions as much as possible, and now switch between top and bottom5180Regional pressure continues to short5280Loss is sufficient. Directly encountering4800Multiple regional batches, available in stock22Try a shorter layout nearby.

　　操作上：日内把握大区间1932-1973之间高抛低吸原则不变，暂时很难打破这个平衡，这个是大框架，下方只有破25才能算正式转空，至于亚盘以1963空，下方1943多的原则，默认防守即可，激进早盘回落1946一线可以先多，至于其它点位结合盘面线下临盘提示为准。

Internationalcrude oilTrend analysis:

　　原油技术面分析：原油上周五开盘反弹112.7受阻，在回落下探108.6Nearby, explore on the rebound114附近，在收盘112.6附近。原油日线级别上看，目前可将自62.43Arising5浪结构已于129.40附近视为结束，后市将步入ABC调整浪之中，至于后续调整浪属于单重调整浪还是双重调整浪，届时我们再做分析。原油从四小时级别上看，行情处于ABC调整浪之中，且处于B浪反弹之中，目前行情最高企及116.60，已到B浪理论顶部116.00Nearby,B浪是否已结束，现仍无法给出定论。如果B浪上涨已经结束，那么116.6美元高点将不能上破，进一步油价将出现对应的C浪第一波116.6-108.5，随后只要反弹不上破116.6，将出现一波下跌浪，综上所述陈泽强总结：116.6不上破出现C浪下跌概率较大，今日操作上考虑高空低多的策略，上方阻力位关注114.0-115.6USD resistance, lower support focus108.5-107.5USD support.

　　今日策略：高空低多，阻力位关注114.0-115.5美元，支撑关注108.5-107.0USD.

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