Xiao Yizhou:3.25早间独家黄金全面走势分析及操作策略指导

This article is written by Xiao Yizhouvx：（xyz0106688010）Contribution: The following strategies are for the personal opinion of the teacher only. Due to differences in platform locations and the latency of online publishing, the strategies are for reference only. The specific entry and exit points shall be based on my actual offer strategy.
　　
          近期的行情大家都看在眼里，把握好了翻本爆赚轻而易举，单子一做反就是套的无可奈何！单子被套，是谁都不希望的，但是萧毅舟和自己的团队会用我们多年的分析技巧和操作，为你解①套，或者压根不会让你出现套单，把握趋势，稳健操作，宁可不盈利也不要让客户亏损，占据资金和心态的主动，这才是最套牢之后，无论如何都是被动的操作，解①套固然是投资者必须掌握的基本功，但是投资者更应该把精力放在套牢之前，想办法提高分析技巧和操作水平，尽可能减少被套牢的次数，始终占据资金和心态的主动！记住，在这个市场，本金永远是你活下去的根本！
　　　　投资goldcrude oilNot many or empty, two directions, but it reveals that it is not simple. Everyone has their own ideas, whether on trends or short-term, but some people are stubborn. Only those who know how to admit mistakes and make timely adjustments in the gold investment market can win a piece of the market. Just like life, there are too many principles of being a person that everyone understands, but ultimately they cannot overcome their own personality weaknesses. So, if you want to seize your own in this market-To benefit, you must comply with the rules of this market.
　　
Analysis of the latest gold market:
　　
Analysis of gold news: Thursday(3month24day)美市盘中，黄金价格上涨至逾一周高点。由于对乌克兰战争的不确定性和通胀飙升的担忧提振了其避险吸引力，美市盘中，现货黄金延续涨势并刷新日高至1966.08dollar/盎司，较日低拉升了29美元。现货白银日内最高触及25.847dollar/盎司，日内上涨近3%；COMEX期银则向上触及26dollar/Ounces, intraday rise3.22%。克利夫兰联储主席梅斯特表示，今年需要进行数次50个基点的加息，不担心在同一次会议上开始减少资产负债表并提高利率。尽管美联储多位官员继续发表新鹰派讲话，给美元提供支撑，但市场目前更担忧是欧盟国家对俄罗斯进行新一轮的制裁，这助推了能源价格大涨，推升了通胀预期。分析师称，利率上升时，黄金往往会失去吸引力，但乌克兰冲突加剧和油价飙升增加了现有的通胀压力，为金价提供了支撑。
　　
　　俄乌在多地持续交火，克里姆林宫重申在乌克兰的军事行动正在按计划进行；乌克兰总统泽连斯基表示，与俄方会谈几乎每天都在进行，过程相当艰难。美国总统拜登将于今天访问欧洲，参加在比利时布鲁塞尔举行的北约领导人峰会，并敲定一系列针对俄乌冲突的新措施。这些措施可能包括对俄罗斯寡头的新一轮制裁、进一步限制俄罗斯能源产品进口等。若地缘局势对抗进一步升级，将推动大量避险资金转向黄金。另一方面，俄乌战事仍在继续，任何金价的短线下跌都将吸引逢低买盘的入场，加上油价的上涨推高通胀预期，金价后市偏向震荡上涨；一旦顶破1970关口附近阻力，则有望进一步试探2000关口附近阻力。需要提醒的是，本交易日经济数据较多，投资者也需要予以留意。
　　
　　黄金技术面分析：黄金从日线级别来看，黄金美盘一波诱多后继续向上拉升，突破企稳1950一线，当前行情处于强势之中，中长期多头趋势不变，后市黄金将进一步展开反弹，日线自2070打压调整至1900的这一波速度过快，极弱下滑，中途未出现修正，而想要一波牛市结束，大多数走势至少都会有一个回抽，二次上涨不过前高，再下跌破位起涨点，才能正式见顶；因此，会有一个次高点的动作出现；若越过前高2070-2075，则不是次高点，而是多头趋势的延续；那么当日线处于阴阳循环切换整理中，这就是横盘酝酿多头爆发的征兆，也是这几日一直坚持做多为主的技术原因之一；从当前日线级别看，价格突破10日和中轨基本站上了，也突破了通道反压，只要收盘价今日远于1950上，则明日继续逼空拉升概率会较大，甚至直接两日内冲击2000关口，保持做多为主；
　　
　　从目前走势来看，我认为反弹并未到位，目前的反弹还没达到这轮跌幅的0.382分割线位置，也就是1975Nearby. from1小时周期图可以看出，现货黄金价格日线的高点或到前期顶部点位1975，周四，周五的强势，关注这个点位的得失。虽然是强势，但4小时周期没有开口，也就是没有形成单边强势，因此，日内交易看多做多，但要等待回落多。用单边均线战法来看，4小时周期的均线支撑点在1945附近，因此，强势中也有回落空间，价格突破10日和中轨基本站上了，也突破了通道反压，只要收盘价今日远于1950上方，则明日继续逼空拉升概率会较大，甚至直接两日内冲击2000关口，保持做多为主；综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上萧毅舟建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方重点关注1975-1980Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1935-1940Frontline support.
　　
Analysis of the latest crude oil market
　　
Thursday（3month24During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting114.84dollar/桶；油价周三上涨，美油上涨超5%，因美国原油库存下降，进一步发出看涨信号，而风暴破坏黑海一个重要出口码头也导致供应风险加剧。美国截至3month18Day and WeekEIA原油库存变动实际公布减少250.8Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease75Ten thousand barrels, increase in previous value434.5万桶。此外，美国截至3month18Day and WeekEIA汽油库存实际公布减少294.8Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease185Ten thousand barrels, previous value decreased361.5Ten thousand barrels; As of3month18Day and WeekEIA精炼油库存实际公布减少207.1Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease105Ten thousand barrels, increase in previous value33.2Ten thousand barrels.EIA报告显示，美国上周原油出口增加90.810000 barrels/Solstice384.410000 barrels/日。上周美国国内原油产量减少010000 barrels to116010000 barrels/Day. The average four week supply of crude oil products in the United States is2095.410000 barrels/Day, increased compared to the same period last year11.7%。总体来看，美国原油库存下降，里海石油溢管线终端停止原油装载进一步增加供应担忧，油价或将进一步上涨；但伊核协议即将达成，以及日内将举行的北约峰会，就俄原油的制裁或无法达成一致，油价短线受此影响，或涨幅有限。日内重点关注美国截至3month19Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week, United States2月耐用品订单月率初值、美国3monthMarkitmanufacturingPMI初值、北约领导人开会讨论俄乌冲突、美联储多位官员讲话。
　　
　　原油技术面分析
　　
　　原油昨日延续走高，日线单阴回撤修正后再转阳收复上升。形成了连阳式摸高向上走得强势，目前日线结构反弹已逼近了0.618的阻力。从日线结构来看，以130.0这波高点做a浪调整来看。目前的反弹是B浪修正，只是幅度较大，同时也可能是构造双高回落的结构。这个结构的形成是在不突破前期高点130.0的条件下才能成立，也就是B浪反弹之后再走c浪调整。同时也是局部的双顶回落。目前只是一个假设的前提条件不突破130.0的高点情况下，当作是构造顶部，经过昨日的放量之后，今日不宜再追高。谨防冲高回落。 4小时昨日守住中轨启稳上扬，昨日也强调过，短线结构不突破中轨相对偏多一些，即使在构造双高，但也会短线伴随冲高，目前的收盘依旧相对偏强了一些，还未出现冲高收低回落，今日要留意形态的转换。今明两日周线收官之作还是要谨慎对之。冲高后不追高，待右侧形成受阻再择机高空。综合来看，今日短线操作思路萧毅舟建议以反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期重点关注117-118Resistance, short-term focus below110-111Frontline support.
　　
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Three conditions for the success of the gold and crude oil market:
　　
　　1Seize opportunities well. The gold and crude oil market is24小时交易的市场，但在亚盘市场金价的波动不大，而在欧盘市场，特别是美盘市场价格波动比较剧烈，所以萧毅舟提醒手里有单子的投资者一定要盯市，以免由于晚间价格波动带来不必要的损失。
　　
　　2Strict stop loss. It is better to not only make profits, but also to stop losses. Stopping losses can prevent risks from expanding and ensure the safe and long-term survival of funds. Without funds as the foundation, all profits are empty talk. In daily trading, regardless of the size of market fluctuations, we need to set good stop loss points for ourselves. When the market fluctuates significantly, we strictly place orders to stop losses. This is also an important factor in the strict implementation of hedging policies.
　　
　　3Take advantage of the situation. At night, when trading is active, it is also the time when gold fluctuates the most. At this time, as long as we grasp a small trend, it can be comparable to a month, half a year, or even a year of returns in the stock market. Therefore, there is no need to take a high-risk pullback market, just follow the trend.
　　
Due to the delay in online audit push, the above content belongs to Yi Zhou's personal suggestions and does not constitute specific operations. The suggestions are for reference only, and any profit or loss will be borne by oneself. Investment carries risks, and caution is necessary when entering the market!
　　
This article is submitted by Xiao Yizhou. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Xiao Yizhou unlocks the situation online, returns losses, and provides one-on-one real-time guidancevx：xyz0106688010  Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.