Yu Yue on Jin:3.17黄金探底回升还会跌吗最新多空单解套操作...

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　goldLatest Market Analysis



Thursday(3month17day)The international gold price continues to rebound, with the Federal Reserve raising interest rates as scheduled and expected to raise rates for every remaining meeting of the year. There has been no structural change in Federal Reserve policy, and the bullish gold market has been exhausted. Investors are paying attention to the Russia Ukraine peace talks. Federal Reserve Wednesday(3month16day)Announce from2018For the first time in years, interest rates were raised and a radical plan was formulated to push borrowing costs to a restrictive level next year. Worries about high inflation and the war in Ukraine outweighed the risk of COVID-19 pandemic. The Federal Open Market Committee has raised interest rates25个基点开始了收紧政策的行动，将指标利率从目前的近零水平上调的举措将影响到针对消费者和企业的其他各种利率。越越说：“现在，更多的是市场在消化美联储的做法。因此，我们看到黄金走高，因为美联储释放的讯息是——之后会有很多加息，但政策尚未有结构性变更。”但更值得注意的是，美联储的最新预测显示，政策制定者准备加大力度抗击通胀，圣路易斯联储主席布拉德对今日的决定持反对意见，他支持更激进地加息。美联储主席鲍威尔在为期两天的会议结束后表示，经济表现强劲，且如果需要，联储官员将在未来的会议上更加激进地加息以控制通胀。

　　

Technical analysis of gold: From a technical perspective, gold rebounded and closed higher yesterday, reaching its lowest point1894.86The first line quickly stabilized and rebounded, and after the previous weak decline, the daily line turned positive for the first time, while the intraday trend was initially suppressed and then increased. The space for recovery is greater than the space for decline, breaking the weak pattern at the beginning of the week, and the two trading days at the end of the week tend to fluctuate and rebound for correction. One is the technical oversold rebound. The second is to make structural modifications. Previously, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates as widely expected by the market25A basis point, but it did not bring any greater hawkish surprises. And the US Treasury yield is triggered by the Federal Reserve2018After raising interest rates for the first time since the beginning of the year, some gains were recouped. Gold rebounded and closed higher. The daily line slightly starts and stabilizes at30Above the mid day moving average, it closed positive and rebounded, and the mid term needs to be reoriented.



　　4After a slow decline in hours, the rapid downward trend rebounded, combined with yesterday's tail drop, and the small yinKAfter a chronic sharp drop in the line, it turned to a positive line and regained its lost ground. Stand firm at the same time1925Above, the resistance point that has been under pressure yesterday. Breakthrough and stand firm, turning more in the short term.MACDThe low point of the indicator crosses upwards.KDThe low gold cross in the oversold area of the indicator is pointing upwards. Technical indicators coordinationKThe short-term form of the line stops the decline and starts a stable rebound. Today, the main trend is rebound correction. Since it is correction, it is oscillation, but the trend is upward first. At present, it seems that4In the early stages of getting rid of short positions and preparing to start a surge, it is currently a good opportunity to lay out multiple orders, unless4小时能跌破昨天的低点，否则就是以低多布局多单为主，黄金此前单边下跌，当前利空出尽，余越论金一直强调的是卖预期，买事实，昨日也说过，如果数据后行情急跌后拉升，那么就存在见底的可能，当前行情大阳拉升，深V翻转，多空转换，综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上余越论金建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方重点关注1950-1955Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1920-1915Frontline support.



crude oilLatest Market Analysis



Thursday(3month17day)，国际油价攀升逾3%，因国际能源署(IEA)表示，价格上涨导致的石油需求下降不会抵消俄罗斯供应缺失。尽管美国库存意外增加及俄乌谈判有迹象取得进展对市场构成利空。一如市场预期，美联储隔夜宣布升息25个基点，油市对此反应平淡。但在市场消化IEA的报告后，油价周四开始反弹，尽管NYMEX原油一度刷新2month25Since the low point of the day93.41dollar/桶。能源和其他大宗商品价格飙升，以及对俄罗斯的金融和石油制裁，会加剧通胀并招至各国央行更激进地收紧政策，进而降低家庭购买力，预计将抑制全球GDP增长和石油需求。”市场分析师在一份报告中写道：“俄罗斯石油会减供多少，对原油需求破坏有多严重，这些不确定性将使能源市场感到不安。”



　　原油从技术面来看，日线级别来看倒V反转；MACDDead fork operation,KDJ死叉运行，油价承压逾布林线中轨，短线下行压力仍存，留意本周低点93.53附近支撑，若失守该支撑，则可能会进一步跌向2month18Daily low point87.46附近，短线的话，62.43-130Upward trend61.8%Retreat position88.42Nearby and90整数关口也还分别存在一些支撑。由于2month14Daily high point95.82下方是一个密集成交区，支撑相对较强，油价存在震荡调整的机会，初步阻力在布林线中轨99.85Nearby, you can also refer to100整数关口，若回升至该位置上方，则增加短线看涨信号；进一步阻力在3month9Daily low point103.63Near.21Daily moving average101.68附近也存在一下阻力。强阻力在10Daily moving average107.37附近。油价的整体k线部分跌至均线下方，继续向下调整迹象明显。各项技术指标开始拐头向下，表明油价可能还有进一步向下调整的空间。综合来看：今日原油操作思路上余越论金建议以反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注102-103Frontline resistance, short-term focus below93-94Frontline support.




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    This article discusses the deduction of gold by Yu Yue  724952173,vx yylj10086As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Yu Yue discusses online solutions for gold, with loss recovery and real-time guidance on WeChat one-on-one. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.