Yu Yue on Jin:3.15黄金空单已经成型。多单如何解套

  Tuesday(3month15day)At the beginning of the Asian market, in stockgold震荡微跌，延续隔夜跌势，一度创逾一周新低至1945.90dollar/盎司，俄务会谈延续提升了通过非战争手段解决地缘局势的预期，市场风险偏好回升，打压了黄金的避险需求，10年期美国国债收益率攀升至2019year7月以来最高水平，也降低了无息黄金的吸引力。市场的目光进一步聚集本周的美联储利率决议，投资者需要关注市场预期的变化，同时留意晚间美国2monthPPI数据的表现，此外，需要继续关注俄乌会谈。



　　国际油价方面，两油周一大幅下挫。WTIcrude oilOnce lost100美元大关，续刷半个月新低，暴跌超8%，本月振幅超35美元，随后跌幅有所收窄，最终收跌6.30%Report102.27dollar/桶；布伦特原油最终收跌5.70%Report105.94dollar/桶。乌克兰和俄罗斯似乎在展开更加实质性的会谈，对通过外交途径结束俄罗斯乌克兰危机的希望燃起，这样的进展将增加全球石油供应，同时因疫情影响引发了对需求的忧虑。多因素影响下，油价短期偏空基调；另外，关注晚间OPECMonthly report.



Analysis of the latest trend of gold:



　　黄金昨日延续回落收低，低开后反弹至1978.50一线承压，日内一直表现弱势震荡下跌，局部失守1970低点之后，技术结构上的C浪下行空间延伸。消息方面因因俄乌局势似乎有缓和的迹象，且美债收益率大涨，交易员提高了他们对美联储今年政策紧缩幅度的预期。美元走强，黄金受挫，配合技术结构上的向下调整。随着日K线的收低失守10日线。MACD指标开始高位死叉向下。日线继续看回落。向下调整的空间仍将进一步加大。



　　4小时走出一波弱势阴跌，自此前反抽2009形成B浪修正的高点之后，一直维持在此位之下弱势运行，经过一定时间的横向整理之后拉动指标向下形成压制，同时在整理中蓄势下行量能。破低后走空间延续。目前4小时短期均线拐头向下形成压制。小时图昨日的表现较为弱势，自上周五出现一波连阳反抽至1990承压后，昨日则是连阴式震荡阴跌，虽有反弹，但持续性不强，单阳即结束反弹之后再形成连阴慢跌。随着下行空间的释放，短线下方也开始触及支撑，从目前的幅度来看。下行速度开始平行放缓。横移的时间在拉长。局部可能进入拉锯震荡，不过目前暂时还处于下行趋势线之下运行，短线看C浪调整延续不变。在反弹中择机高空。下行趋势线的阻力下移至1966。昨日的反弹高点1978是短期的临界点。



Analysis of the latest trend of crude oil:



Analysis of crude oil news: Tuesday（3month15日）亚洲时段，油价微跌；周二美油下跌超6%And from3month1日以来首次盘中跌破每桶100美元，布油也下跌超5%；乌克兰和俄罗斯似乎在展开更加实质性的会谈，对通过外交途径结束俄罗斯乌克兰危机的希望燃起，这样的进展将增加全球石油供应，同时因疫情影响引发了对需求的忧虑。分析师表示，两国之间的谈判正在推动石油价格在短期内走低，因为市场对情绪的敏感程度远高于实际的供需情况。总体来看，俄乌谈判虽在周一“技术性暂停”，但出现乐观预期，刺激油价回落；双方将在周二继续谈判，如果取得更加明确的实质性进展，油价或将回落至100关口下方；此外，全球疫情蔓延，需求忧虑再起，以及伊核谈判不容乐观，多因素影响下，油价短期偏空基调；另外，关注晚间OPECMonthly report.



　　原油技术面分析：原油从日线上来看，原油从技术面来看，原油昨日中阴线破低下行。进一步延续上周的向下调整，开盘反弹107附近承压下行，破低后触及99.80低位。日线收在低位形成延续调整。4小时此前反抽114.78形成B浪反弹修正高点，承压之后走C浪下跌，破低后形成有效浪形延伸，这也是昨日坚定做空的原因，C浪调整的形态比较明显。同时反抽低点在向下形成台阶下跌。



Combining1小时图收盘，目前仍处于C浪下行当中。而破低口104.0即是今日的临界点，同时也是昨晚的反弹高点目前，目前已经甩开较远距离。弱势行情反弹空间相对有限。经过上周的反弹修正，本周周初主要是延续弱势向下。昨晚尾盘的最后一个高点103.30即成为今日的阻力。短线依旧反弹空看破低。综合来看：今日原油操作思路上建议以反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注105.0-105.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below95.0-94.5Frontline support.





The market has given you an opportunity to overturn, but if you fail to seize it, you will have to find a reason from yourself. It is important to change your mindset at any time when making transactions. If you are in the wrong direction, you must correct it in a timely manner. If you don't have confidence, let me give you confidence. I can't guarantee that you will make millions at once, it's all untrue. In short, if you win, I will accompany you to conquer the world. If you lose, I will accompany you to rise again. I am Yu Yue discussing gold, and I will speak for myself. My strength awaits you to experience.!


   (Click on the avatar to view information and join the group. Apply for free and directly join the group to experience the experience. Order at the current price every day)3-5Single)

      Group welfare:yylj10086

    ① Daily updates: market trends, intraday reminders, and opportunities to build positions.

② New fan welfare: trading tactics《KThe King of Online Trading,Teach you how to do a good job in the short term

③ Welfare delivery: golden short line opportunity layout, continuous tracking (band opening)

④ Special column: private chat, Q&A, solution τ， Analyze the trend of the day.

    This article discusses the deduction of gold by Yu Yue  724952173,vx yylj10086As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Yu Yue discusses online solutions for gold, with loss recovery and real-time guidance on WeChat one-on-one. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.