Chen Zeqiang:2.24黄金原油独家分析

goldTrend analysis:

Thursday（2month24日）亚洲时段，现货黄金大幅冲高，短线一度拉升逾15USD, creating2021year1month6New high in recent days1931.09dollar/盎司，因俄的讲话加剧了市场对地缘局势的担忧。国际油价短线也急速拉升，布油一度触及100整数关口，创逾七年新高。在联合安理会就乌问题举行的最新紧急会议刚刚开始不久，俄周四发表全国讲话称，北约的进一步扩张及其对乌克领土的使用是不可接受的，整个事件的过程和信息分析表明，俄和乌力量之间的冲突是不可避免的，这是时间问题。日内关注美四季度修正值、美截至2month19日当周初请失业金人数、美1月季调后新屋销售年化总数和俄乌地缘局势的相关消息。

　　日线单阴后再度转阳，这是强势的信号，修正以单阴的方式出现。价格连续在高位横盘，这是时间整理，形成小平顶，然后突破上升。循环的节奏，都是早间回撤，欧盘见底，美盘拉升。就像前两日强调的，早间不适合多，美盘不适合空，走了一个完美的循环。而今日方面来说，早间上升，这多少还是打破了这两日的循环，但同样来说，早间上升，恰恰是强势的一种体现。在这轮上升行情中，我们也博过几次早间上升行情，但都无功而返，一个是前一日大阳后面无连续，一个是日内修正，所以强势的特征一直无体现出来，这也导致我们在最近交易中，都是放弃早间行情。所以，一切都是在美盘做多。

　　黄金今日早盘突破1913压力，随后受到乌克消息的刺激，直接大涨，我们1918果断直接干多，直达1928一线获利，强势的上涨走势，回落看涨为主，1917上方多！黄金当前明显的上涨趋势，而且是经过了四天的震荡后的突破，无论是消息上的避险还是走势上，都是完美的！突破了意味着再次上涨的开启，顺势而为，永远是我们的最根本思路！多，回落依托1917的盘整高点看涨，接下来将会继续上攻并且新高！黄金目前上方关注1965Secondly1958的压力；下方支撑关注1917的支撑，其次就是1910的支撑；操作上foreign exchange狂徒建议黄金顺势看涨为主；文章建议和思路仅能为你提供一个暂时的方向，至于每天的进出场点位和解套时机还是以实盘为准

　　黄金短线操作思路：

Gold1935Long nearby, stop loss1930, look at the goal1945-1953, take a break to see1960或者上方。

　　crude oilAnalysis of the latest market trend

The trend of crude oil yesterday was affected by market sentiment and showed ups and downs, putting pressure on it first92Rework adjustment to90.3Nearby, the evening market rose and the pressure was measured93.5On the front line, but the market fell back again in the latter half of the night91Nearby, there were up and down shadows in the daily closing area of Xiaoyang, but the market rose again this morning. At present, from the daily structure perspective, there is a great demand for technical retracement and adjustment of crude oil, whether it is in a high pressure normal or a signal of deviation from the top of the indicators, including the current market focus on the Iran nuclear negotiations, which supports a certain degree of spatial retracement and adjustment of crude oil. However, the situation in Russia and Ukraine is currently the biggest fundamental instability factor, and any anomalies in the market are also caused by this, So in the short term, the demand for technical adjustments in crude oil should still be treated with caution. For the day, it is advisable to conservatively choose a temporary wait-and-see approach for crude oil to avoid the current chaotic and unstable market sentiment. Focus on technical points within the day above93.4-6Short term pressure, follow below92-91.8Short term support, specific strategies need to be adjusted in real time according to the situation.

Wen/Chen Zeqiang