Zhou Jinrui12.15Will gold continue to rise? Analysis of Futures Gold and Silver Market and Operational Suggestions

　　goldMarket trend analysis
　　
Analysis of Gold News: Tuesday（12month14The price of spot gold in Japan has fallen. Since the beginning of this year, the gold market has been affected by sluggish demand due to investors paying attention to the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes. More and more people expect that the Federal Reserve will accelerate its downsizing and raise interest rates before the second half of next year. Currently, market expectations6Interest rates will be raised in the month, and it is expected that they may be raised four times next year. However, due to the limited policy toughness of the Federal Reserve, the trend of gold may begin to reverse in the new year, supported by various positive factors. Overall, the gold price has not yet broken free from the volatile range, but it is expected that the gold price will experience significant fluctuations for the remaining time of this week. Against the backdrop of high inflation, although the Federal Reserve inevitably turns hawkish, there is still a chance for gold prices to stand firm or even rise against the trend.
　　
Technical aspect: Gold daily level, still in the short term1680-1720Horizontal consolidation above the trend line, suppressing the middle track1803If there is no significant change during the downward movement, the short-term thinking will remain unchanged. As long as the trend line supports it and it is not effectively broken through, the upward trend will fluctuate and the rebound correction viewpoint will remain unchanged.


Gold Hour Line Level, Gold Price Goes Down1781Immediately after the emergence of the Great Yin, the Great Yang cannot break through the position1760Even if it's down, it can't be broken up1792Up, it also maintained a high range consolidation, including operating within a narrow range today; frommacdFrom an operational perspective,1790The upper and lower levels on the front line are still in a certain short-term suppression, and it is not advisable to excessively chase up prices. Raising prices can also easily lead to top and back pressure and backtesting. When operating higher, you can try short selling1770Below, the main trend is low and long, with a downward trend leading to an immediate rebound, while a steady trend leads to a long downward trend. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for gold today. Last week, Jinrui suggested that high altitude should be the main focus, while low altitude should be the secondary focus, with a focus on local areas1785-1790Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1755-1760Frontline support. At present, friends who have nested orders in their positions are unable to provide corresponding unwinding strategies due to the author Zhou Jinrui's lack of knowledge about the location of your nested orders and the specific situation of your positions. Friends who need to unwind can use a single line【zjr8527】Obtain.
　　
Recommendations for Gold Operations
　　
　　①1760-62There are many nearby areas, causing damage1757.target1780-1788Break the position to see1795
　　
　　②1782-85Nearby empty, loss1790.Target View1770-1760-Break the position to see1740
　　
GoldTDtechnical analysis
　　
GoldTD:Gold broke the short-term moving average, but bullish forces are limited, dailyRSIStill at50Below, but distance breakthrough368The suppression on the front line is only one step away. From the daily closing line, below the gold level363Strong support on the front line, with a positive daily closing. With the continuous increase in inflation levels, the future upward trend of gold is more optimistic. The author first suggests that363Multiple orders on the first line, stop loss360, Objective368Near the front high, there is a breakthrough here, and only with multiple orders can there be upward space.
　　
SilverTDTechnical analysis:
　　
SilverTD: SilverTDdayKThe line rebounded and closed positive, with prices continuing Friday's barefoot positive trendKThe potential energy of the bulls is released and continues, causing prices to break through10Daily moving average, approaching from above20The daily moving average is under pressure, and it is also a downward trend line pressure level. The Bollinger index runs downward, the moving average remains dead cross, and the price structure maintains a volatile and bearish pattern. Pay attention to the potential energy of indicator correction, and pay attention to prices below4500Nearby support;Pressure focused attention4700/4740;Short term trading rebounded and pressure bearish orders mainly participated.
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
Analysis of crude oil news: Tuesday（12month14The pressure on US crude oil has raised new doubts about whether vaccines are effective against the Omicron variant. Traders are weighing the impact of the Omicron strain, and the World Health Organization(WHO)Weigh, already in60The Omicron variant spread across multiple countries poses a "very high" global risk, with some evidence indicating that it has broken through vaccine protection; Increased concerns. althoughOPECUpregulation of demand expectations, but due to new doubts about whether vaccines are effective against the Omicron variant, and the first death case of a mutated strain in some countries, concerns have increased, posing a downward risk to oil prices; Short term oil prices are focused on the Iran nuclear negotiations. If the current deadlock cannot be resolved, oil prices may be boosted in the short term.
　　
On the technical side of crude oil, the daily crude oil closed with a bearish candlestick. On the daily chart structure, the last three daysKThe line forms an empty cannon shape, coupled with the market returning5Daily offline, and above20The daily confirmation is under pressure, so in the short term, the US oil market may continue to decline. Below, we can focus on the following10Daily line70-69.6Regional competition. If10If the daily line does not break, the market will still choose to10、20Between daily fluctuations, waiting for the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Thursday, during which Wednesday eveningEIAThe crude oil inventory data will also have a certain impact. And if the market falls back10Going offline on a daily basis is likely to indicate that the market will return to a band level adjustment state, or it may reduce cyclical growth and amplify the oscillation range. In terms of intraday operations, Meiyou still focuses on observing the continuation of adjustments, and can rebound from above during the day5Daily line71.5You can try the light warehouse short air again nearby, until71.8Nearby light warehouse filling, with unified stop loss measures72Above, look down at the target70.7-5First reduce the position, change to break even and stop loss, and then look at the remaining orders10Daily line70-69.6Further reduce positions in the area. as for70-69.6Whether the area is short or not depends on the actual situation before making actual adjustments during trading. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for crude oil today was suggested by Jinrui last week, with a focus on high altitude and a secondary focus on low levels. Short term focus above72.0-72.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below68.0-68.5Frontline support.