Zhou Jinrui12.14美指冲高黄金避险上涨，黄金白银走势分析

　　goldMarket trend analysis
　　
Analysis of Gold News: Monday（12month23Spot gold remained stable. This week, the Federal Reserve will hold a scheduled meetingfuturesCurrency policy conference. Due to sustained strong employment growth and higher than average inflation rates, economists unanimously believe that the Federal Reserve may announce an accelerated reduction in its quantitative easing program. Chuangjin40The expectation of the Federal Reserve accelerating tightening is due to the annual high inflation, gradually easing employment, and strong economic support. Overall, gold prices continue to maintain a sideways trend, with inflation continuing to be an important supporting factor at present. The Federal Reserve's hawkish attitude will continue to put pressure on gold prices, and the trend of gold prices this week will still depend on the outcome of the Federal Reserve's decision.
　　
Technical aspect: Gold daily level,1720-1770The trend support line connected by the previous low point is still valid. During the two consecutive weeks of bottom oscillation, only two punctures occurred. As long as it is not a major bearish or consecutive bearish period falling below this line, the future market will still adhere to the correction of bullish sentiment on dips1830Up; frommacdJudging from the gradual reduction of bearish momentum and the gradual fluctuation and upward movement of the low points in recent days, it is also judged that there will be an upward momentum sooner or later. The longer the sideways trend lasts, the stronger the corresponding derivative strength will be once it breaks through the upward trend in the later period; At present, except for the short-term moving average that has been broken through, all other moving averages have a certain degree of suppression. It is still difficult to break through in one breath, and more likely it will be a repeated upward and downward trend. Each time a moving average is broken through, it will be accompanied by a wave of backtesting, which is also the trend of recent volatile cycles. The rhythm must be well controlled, and do not chase up or fall; At present, the bottom trend supports the upward movement of derivative points1779-78At this position, you can buy long on dips.


Gold4At the hourly level, the current price has broken through the short-term moving average and the medium track66Daily moving average, short-term bullish operation, strong pressure still remains at annual moving average1803-04At this point, approaching this line for the first time can provide a good opportunity for air travel; Although currently experiencing a certain rebound and upward trend, at this time1785The probability in the middle of the price card is still relatively high, and it can be deduced according to the cycle,1780-1775The support below the regional oscillation will still be repeatedly tested, unless standing firm upwards1792-94Upper resistance, therefore, in the oscillation operation, it is necessary to patiently wait for the relatively good bullish entry points on both sides to avoid the embarrassment of piercing and washing the plate caused by the middle point; At the gold hourly level, gold has rebounded upwards, but there is some short-term resistance to the upward trend, namely1789Downward suppression, andmacdThe bullish momentum is gradually decreasing, with signs of first falling and then falling back, making it temporarily unsuitable to directly follow the bullish trend; Pay attention to the rising point below first1779-78, followed by1776-74.5Regional, also overnight increase618At the segmentation point, it is relatively safer to snipe at these two positions for a shorter period of time; Also, if1790First, break through and stand up. Back testing1786-87Or you can plan to follow up one more time in advance. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for gold today. Last week, Jinrui suggested that high altitude should be the main focus, while low altitude should be the secondary focus, with a focus on the upper level1795-1800Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1760-1765Frontline support.
　　
Recommendations for Gold Operations
　　
　　①1770-72There are many nearby areas, causing damage1767.target1780-1788Break the position to see1795
　　
　　②1800-02Nearby empty, loss1805.Target View1790-1780-Break the position to see1770
　　
GoldTDtechnical analysis
　　
GoldTD:goldTDThe weekly chart once again draws out a cross star, under pressure5Zhou,10Weekly moving average, band still in360-386Interval oscillation pattern. On Friday, there was a slight rebound, returning to above the short-term moving average, and the moving average began to show a golden cross. There is a possibility of further rebound in the short term, so please closely monitor from above368-369Pressure. Judging from last week's closing, below the gold level363Strong support on the front line, with a positive daily closing. With the continuous increase in inflation levels, the future upward trend of gold is more optimistic. Therefore, today the author suggests that363Multiple orders on the first line, stop loss360Above, the key is suppressed368Near the front high, there is a breakthrough here, and only with multiple orders can there be upward space.
　　
SilverTDTechnical analysis:
　　
SilverTD: Silver continuous4Zhou Yin fell and the band fluctuated slightly short, approaching the previous low, and is expected to further open up downward space. The daily chart is under pressure on the short-term moving averageKNarrow range oscillation of the line,KContinuously charging a cross star line at a low level, short-term prices remain at a low level with a consolidation correction at the bottom, with attention from above10Daily moving average under pressure4690In the short term, prices continue to operate below the downward trend line, with the moving average remaining at a dead cross and bearish potential slowing down. The price structure maintains a volatile and bearish pattern, and attention is paid to the potential energy of indicator correction. Attention is under pressure above4690/4730Follow below4500Nearby support;Short term trading rebounds and bears pressure, with short positions being the main participants. It is recommended to hold long positions with caution.
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
Analysis of crude oil news: Monday（12month13The decline in US crude oil in Japan; Fuel consumption has not suffered any significant impact due to the virus variant, boosting market sentiment and easing concerns about the impact of the Omicron variant on global economic growth and fuel demand. Overall, due to the cooling of concerns about the epidemic, oil prices have been boosted, and although progress has been made in the Iran nuclear negotiation process, it is still not optimistic, providing upward momentum for oil prices; However, it is still necessary to be vigilant about the impact of intensified epidemic prevention measures by countries regarding new mutated strains on oil prices.
　　
Technical aspect of crude oil: crude oil closed positive on a daily basis. In terms of daily structure, the expected market rebounded and touched20There will be adjustments after the daily chart, and the adjustments have also occurred as expected. However, the current adjustment is still relatively strong, with upward pressure in place but downward adjustment support not in place. This still has a certain gap with the expected wide range fluctuations. This week, Meiyou will temporarily refer to the technical trend, and continue to pay attention above20Daily line72.7-73Nearby stress test, based on last Friday's running rhythm, there will be another breakthrough this week73The situation is also possible. If there is a breakthrough, please pay attention to it from above74-74.5Regional pressure. However, looking at the daily structure, the adjustment was not in place last Thursday, and there was a brief rebound pressure measurement at the beginning of the week20After the daily forecast, it is highly likely that there will still be pressure to repair. You can continue to pay attention below71Nearby support testing, but as long as there is support, pay attention to it10Daily line69.5Nearby support testing. In terms of operation, if radical, continue to try73Regional light positions with short positions and stop losses73.2Above, look down at the target71.5-2、70.3-70Reduce positions in batches and change to break even and stop loss. And the market touched for the first time this week10Daily line69.5When nearby, we will consider trying to participate in the short term. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for crude oil today was suggested by Jinrui last week, with a focus on high altitude and a secondary focus on low levels. Short term focus above73.0-73.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below69.0-69.5Frontline support.