Zhou Jinrui12.13Will gold continue to rise? Analysis of Futures Gold, Silver, and Crude Oil Market

　　goldMarket trend analysis
　　
Analysis of Gold News: Sunday（12month12Spot gold remained almost stable this week, with three consecutive declines on the weekly chart temporarily halted and closing at the end of the day1782.84dollar/Ounces. This week, gold prices have mainly fluctuated sideways, and investors have been cautious in trading for most of the week. Investors continue to weighOmicronThe impact it brings and the potential risk of rising inflation. in the U.S.11monthCPISoaring to near40After reaching a new high this year, the Federal Reserve is expected to announce an accelerated reduction in its holdings at next week's meeting. The price of gold will face new challenges.
　　
Technical aspect: Gold daily closing positive, closing dayKThe line shape is not very good, and the price has touched1775After the support of the first line trend channel, there was no longer a relatively long downward shadow left by the rebound. At this time, the price decline has begun to fall behind the support of the trend line, which once again tests the effectiveness of this line. Whether it can be like last Thursday and Friday, just piercing the channel line and then rebounding, depends on whether it can be done1770Can the frontline support be sustained? If it can close again today, the long shadow will explore the bottom and pull upKLine, closing at1776Above, continue to maintain a stable and slow rebound with upward correction treatment; On the contrary, if today's weak end is bearish1770Below, there may be further downward momentum to explore1760and1740Two major checkpoints.


Gold4At the hour level, the gold price has broken the middle track position and arrived1789On the front line, but unfortunately, the closing did not stand back1789There is a certain level of horizontal resistance, and below it is1770Frontline and1765-62The position supports it; At the golden hour level, overnight belongs to the bottom oscillation bias pressure system. As it is a period of oscillation, the morning market can rebound in a bullish cycle, but the strength is not good, and the pressure is approaching at this time1781, which is unfavorable for rebounding and rising; A bit positive is thatmacdIn a state of bottom relaxation, see if it can support the rebound, and focus on short-term resistance moving downwards1785Only by breaking through the upward trend can we break out of the weak situation, while below is the focus1770How about frontline support and whether it can be effectively supported; If unable to hold on, pay attention1765Next short-term support stabilization situation; In addition, the upper channel moves under short-term strong pressure1795Breaking through this point, we should be able to explore it1803Next, suppress the back measurement oscillation. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for gold today. Last week, Jinrui suggested that high altitude should be the main focus, while low altitude should be the secondary focus, with a focus on the upper level1795-1800Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1760-1765Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, with more real-time market analysis and timely operational strategies added.Author Zhou Jinrui（zjr8527）Daily market analysis, unwinding strategies, and guidance on medium to long term layout are all included.
　　
Recommendations for Gold Operations
　　
　　①1770-72There are many nearby areas, causing damage1767.target1780-1788Break the position to see1795
　　
　　②1790-92Nearby empty, loss1795.Target View1780-1770-Break the position to see1750
　　
GoldTDtechnical analysis
　　
GoldTD:goldTDI took a small vaginal thread and received it20The suppression of the daily moving average,KDJThe three line tick of the indicator is upward and arranged in multiple positions. From the one hour chart, it is goldTDShockingly rising, affected by5Day10The support of the daily moving average,KDJThe three line indicators have downward ticks and are also arranged in short positions. From the actual trend, gold prices have rebounded significantly,363It has clearly become a short line at the bottom. At present, the price is still suppressed at the early high point368Below. Gold prices are at a high point from last week368-369The suppression on the front line is too close, there is no need to pursue more. The overall fluctuation of gold price this week is very small, with almost no focus on it365-368There is a slight fluctuation within the range, and there is no detailed direction for the short term. Suggested GoldTD368element/Ke, you can short lightly.
　　
SilverTDTechnical analysis:
　　
SilverTD: SilverTDCurrent pressure4620After continuous declines in the region, the current rebound is still relatively weak. Silver is currently reversing downwards, and the one hour direction has shifted from being long in the previous period to being short. The direction is starting to be bearish. If it continues to rebound, then4600Nearby, there can be empty layouts waiting for adjustments. silverTDDislocation5000Test Again the Starting Point of Upward Growth in the Early Stage4500Regional, with continuous decline and rebound demand, now transitioning from top to bottom4650Regional pressure continues to short4700Loss is sufficient.
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
Analysis of crude oil news: Sunday（12month12US crude oil rose this week8.67%to71.96dollar/Barrel, the weekly end of six consecutive declines due to market sentimentOmicronConcerns have cooled down, and there are reports thatOmicronThe infected cases only show mild symptoms, and Pfizer vaccine booster shots are expected to neutralize themOmicron. However, the UK announced the implementation of stricter COVID-19 restrictions, which put pressure on oil prices on Thursday. In addition, the slow progress of the US Iran negotiations also supports oil prices.
　　
On the technical side of crude oil: US crude oil closed with a bullish candlestick on the daily chart. For the downward adjustment of crude oil, although the market interprets it as concerns about the demand for crude oil due to the influence of mutated strains, from a technical perspective, the adjustment is basically the expected technical trend structure. After three consecutive days of bullish lines and fully releasing the momentum of oversold rebound, the short-term market is facing another challenge20The daily pressure and the fact that oil prices only experienced a pullback after testing this pressure indicate that the current crude oil market is more in line with technological trends. combine1、4The hourly chart structure suggests that there may be some rebound needs in the US oil market during the day, with a focus on the top72.8-73Nearby stress testing, expected rebound is only a process of confirming pressure, and the probability of the market continuing to decline after the daily bullish line is still relatively high. Below, we can pay more attention to it10Daily line69Nearby support testing. In terms of operation, during the day, Meiyou also focused on selecting high altitude and short altitude, with reference to rebound72.8Nearby, light warehouses will be deployed in batches to fight short distances, waiting to stand firm73Manual stop loss above, target down70.7-5First change to break even and stop loss, then withdraw70.2-0Reduce positions nearby, leave some orders to see later69.3-0One area retreats and decreases. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for crude oil today was suggested by Jinrui last week, with a focus on high altitude and a secondary focus on low levels. Short term focus above73.0-73.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below69.5-70.0Frontline support.