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Chen Yibo:11.29黄金小幅反弹谨防冲高崩盘, 免费指导黄金...

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当你看到这篇文章时,我已经明白你目前遇到困境,那么首先本人想表明一点,你们能够在千万篇分析贴中看到我的文章这是一种缘分,既然是一种缘分,那么我希望能够保持下去,找到我并且与我交流,目前你遇到的困境或许是陈亦博入行以来见到过到许许多多例子当中的其中一个而已,所以你可以把所遇到的问题都拿出来与我交流,既能够让自己在陈亦博老师这边多增长一些投资知识,也能够多一个讨论投资的朋友;甚至能够在这个变化莫测的市场中持续存活并持续获利。当然你目前持续在亏损,所以你便要在心里反问自己的问题出现在哪里?还是说我缺少一个和自己有默契的老师?我想只要你认真的看了陈亦博老师的分析,你必定会有收获!

正在参与交易gold、白银、贵金属的朋友,可能会因为工作、生活等问题无法获取国际市场第一新闻或消息,这对咱们做黄金来讲是很大的困扰,所以  陈亦博欢迎做投资的朋友找到我一起共同交流与进步,让各位随时随地第一时间知道国际市场动向,这样投资也会安心很多,陈亦博时刻在线,为你的投资保驾护航,时刻提供最新的金融动向。

每日国际黄金、纸黄金、纸白银、白银TD-Shanghai Gold and Shanghai Silver-黄金走势全方位在线指导与分析。黄金、纸白银操作建议,黄金、纸白银实时咨询解读及中长线布局。你给我一份信任,我还你十分财富,陈亦博期待与你成为朋友!

Gold Message Analysis:

  黄金短期利多因素:主要有新冠疫情等。早些时候,欧洲成为全球新冠疫情的震中地区,多个国家采取全国范围内的封锁措施或类似措施,世卫组织警告称,按照当前趋势,到明年三月份欧洲因新冠疫情死亡的人数将达到220万人。本周,南非发现新的新冠变异毒株,携带着一系列非常不寻常的突变,其突变数量是目前占主导地位的德尔塔病毒的两倍,令人担忧它可能避开人体的免疫反应并更具传播性,这导致周五全球市场出现恐慌性抛售,全球股市、crude oil等风险资产大跌,黄金等避险资产受到青睐,尽管之后黄金也出现抛售,但对疫情前景的担忧,可能再度支撑金价上涨,这一点如同去年三月份的黄金走势。

  黄金短期利空因素:主要有美联储加息预期等。本周美联储主席鲍威尔连任,投资者开始押注美联储可能加快货币政策正常化的步伐,以应对消费者物价不断上涨的趋势。本周公布的会议纪要显示,美联储决策者对通货形势感到担忧,称如果物价持续上涨,美联储愿意提高联邦基金利率水平,另外一些官员希望以每月超过150亿美元的速度,更快缩减资产购买规模,以便给美联储更早加息留出空间。高盛集团本周表示,在通胀压力攀升之际,预计美联储明年将比先前预期更快收紧货币政策,同时预计美联储将在2022年加息三次。

  陈亦博 个人总结:上周黄金价格承压,陈亦博认为主要受到市场对美联储可能转向鹰派的押注不断增强的影响,周五金价一度反弹,主要因变种新冠毒株刺激市场避险,展望后市,美联储加息预期可能继续施压金价,不过需要注意的是,关于变种新冠毒株消息的最新进展,有可能提振黄金走势。

Analysis of Gold Market Trend:

  11month22day-11month28日当周,国际黄金走势大幅下跌,金价周一开盘价格1846美元,最高到达1849美元,这也是本周金价高点位置,当日黄金跌幅近50美元,险守1800美元关口位置,周二黄金继续下跌,一直到周三金价刷新本周低点至1778美元后,黄金走势止跌企稳,周五金价一度反弹近30美元,不过最终黄金回吐大半涨幅,因市场恐慌性抛售,收盘价格1791USD.

  走势上分析:市场对美联储可能逐渐转向鹰派的押注,打压黄金价格,不过对新的新冠变异毒株的担忧,可能再度支撑黄金价格。目前金价下方支撑,关注4小时布林带下轨1778美元附近,这是本轮黄金下跌的低点位置,也是黄金从1720The US dollar has risen to1877美元,这段涨势的0.618黄金分割线位置附近,若金价失守这里,关注本月黄金低点位置1758美元附近。金价上方阻力,关注1800美元关口位置,其次4Hour Bollinger Belt on Track1806美元附近,以及本周金价低位反弹高点位置1815美元附近。总体来看,黄金依旧受到美联储收紧货币政策的预期压制,并关注市场是否出现新冠变异毒株的最新消息。

  黄金裸k线分析:黄金周线级别来看,金价从1720起涨点反弹至1877结束涨势,目前随着金价周线二连跌,回落至1791。但目前下跌没有跌破上次的起涨点1720,所以黄金不可盲目看空态势,只有跌破1720,那么金价还将迎终极大考1680三层筑底的有效支撑。不过黄金冲高的波浪高点越来越低,从2074-1960-1920-1877,金价只有翻过前浪高点,那么多头才会迎来一波强势上涨趋势。

  黄金日线级别来看,黄金日线一波六连阴,终于在上周五收得上引线较长阳线,但前二日却都收十字阴线,形成受布林带中轨线压制,布林带下轨线支撑的双难局面,预测行情还是会沿着支撑位和阻力位大做文章。破位中轨线企稳肯定会进一步向上轨线靠近,跌破下轨线将进一步找周线起涨点1720的局面。所以本周需要重点关注上方1825一线布林带中轨线的破位情况,关注下方1778一线支撑情况,进一步1760的下轨线有效支撑,围绕1825布局中线空,1780,1760布局中线多的思路。短线4小时线级别来看,金价冲高1815后迎来二连阴态势,布林带三线平稳,没有出现向上或向下的迹象,这种情况我们短线还是维持震荡区间对待,ma均线皆保持平稳向前移动,EMA线向下构图,1800将是多空短线的强弱点,布林带上轨线1810阻力短线做空,下轨线1780支撑短线做多的思路。

  综合来看,陈亦博是 认为日线波段我们看1825做空的机会,1760-1780做多的机会,短线1810-1780区间震荡对待。做多不破1800平仓,做空不破1800也平仓的思路。


goldKLine theory:


相对位置理论,是黄金KThe second largest theory of line theory. As the saying goes, oranges born in the south are called oranges, which are sweet and sweet;Born in the north, it is bitter and astringent, known as trifoliate orange. The same seeds, grown in different environments, have vastly different results. Same, exactly the sameKLines, if placed in different relative positions, have a completely different guiding effect on the future market.KThe position of the line is crucial for analysis and judgmentKLines are extremely important. goldKThe theory of relative position of lines includes the following two meanings:


usuallyKThe position of a line does not have an absolute high or low point, so we can only use relative position to represent it. This depends on an individual's judgment of the market height and requires a certain level of understanding, but we must make a simple distinction. It is generally divided into three positions: relatively high, relatively low, and halfway up the mountain. Because high and low points are not absolute, there is no need to overly demand accurate positioning, just give a rough distinction.


一般分为上升趋势、下降趋势和盘整趋势三种,或叫上升通道、下降通道和横盘整理。处于相对高位的KSpecial attention should be paid to analyzing whether the main force needs to wash the market or if there is a change in the overall situation, and the main force needs to ship at a high level. Generally speaking, the main force washing the market will fluctuate sharply downwards, making it easy for people to be deceived;However, if the main force wants to ship at a high level, it will be very gentle, giving people a feeling of needing to adjust at a high level and continue to hit higher peaks. By observing and calculating the inflow and outflow of the main force's funds, it can be found. Nine out of ten retail investors compensate for this reason, always being deceived by technical data and confused by the main force. Relatively lowKGenerally, the line falls to a certain extent, so there will be a relatively low level, but whether the incoming buying is awesome depends on the subsequent trend. Low position long and short positions are usually fought back and forth, whenKThe smaller the amplitude of the line, the more reasonable the price range has been organized. At this time, the normal trading volume will be relatively low. If there is a continuous upward or downward long lead or cross star, and the trading volume starts to rise, it indicates that the market is about to change. At this moment, it is necessary to constantly pay attention. If the main funds are continuously entering but the price fluctuates little, then buy decisively, When the main force builds up their positions, they will give up suppressing prices and turn to aggressively entering the market to start pulling up, usually starting with a bullish candlestick. A sharp rise in prices is relatively important, but it should be combined withKBased on a comprehensive assessment of the line and trading volume, whether the price does not rise or fall is not necessarily a bad thing, but rather the preparation for the next surge.


资金管理是交易系统的核心内容之一,其本质就是风险管理。潜在收益与风险对等,这是金融市场的核心逻辑。追求较高的盈利目标,必然面临较大的风险。交易贵在长久,交易操盘应追求攻守均衡。所有的爆仓和重大损失,都是重攻轻守的结果。资金管理主要涉及建仓、止损止盈、加仓减仓等方面。这里仅就建仓略作说明。假设你用一个1000Using USD accounts for international gold trading(XAUUSD)Margin trading, current market price is1390USD, you are considering setting the stop loss at a new high and then moving back to the previous low1381Below the US dollar1380On the position of the US dollar, the target price is considered to reach a new high1440Below the US dollar, per transaction2%Loss rule (usually recommended for classic trading)1-2%(Small funds can be adjusted accordingly), what is the amount of loss you can bear20USD(1000USD x0.02)In this way, you can only pay the market price1390Establishment of US dollars0.02Buying multiple positions by hand(20÷10)The profit and loss ratio is approximately5:1. If you use1385Set a price limit for buying orders in US dollars, and positions can be set0.04Hand(20÷5)Profit loss ratio1:10Left and right. Of course, you can also adopt the fixed position method, using a secure fixed position for each order placed over a period of time.


陈亦博老师这里没有100%Correct, only with a robust operational approach. Big warehouses focus on trends, small warehouses focus on bands, and control their own proportions. There are no unprofitable investments, only unsuccessful orders! Whether to make money depends on the timing of buying up and buying down. Making money depends on opportunities, investing on wisdom, and managing finances on professionalism.

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