Zhou Jinrui11.26原油还会涨吗？黄金白银行情分析及原油操作建议

　　goldMarket trend analysis
　　
Analysis of gold news: Thursday(11month25day)，国际金价小幅走高，因美元指数承压，但美联储上次会议纪要表明，决策层可能加快缩减购债进程。美国上周初请失业金人数量降至1969年以来最低水平，这表明经济复苏正在加速推进。金价继续面临下行压力。疫情以及高通胀带来的避险资金支撑金价收复失地。总的来看，美国周三的数据普遍表现乐观，但通胀居高不下令美联储官员和消费者忧心忡忡，美联储可能提前加息，这继续支撑美元走强，金价承压下行，预计短期内金价仍将继续弱势运行。
　　
　　技术面：黄金日线收一阴十字星线。黄金日线指标macd还是高位死叉，灵动指标超卖运行；日线趋势上还是震荡偏弱。今日需要关注低点1778一线。目前上方阻力均线MA5已经下移至1803-04附近，中轨和均线MA30放平不变，日线看今天有冲高的可能。


　　4Current hourly indicatormacd低位死叉缩量向金叉转变，灵动指标sto再次勾头向上修复，所以4小时目前呈现反弹走势。当前中轨压制在1805一线。短期4Hours maintained at1780-1805区间震荡，至于是否还会冲高需要等时间推移。小时线macd金叉放量运行，灵动指标进入超买也是反弹走势，短期小时线支撑1788and1782两点。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上周金瑞建议高空为主，低多为辅，上方重点关注1805-1810Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1770-1775Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, with more real-time market analysis and timely operational strategies added.Author Zhou Jinrui（zjr8527）Daily market analysis, unwinding strategies, and guidance on medium to long term layout are all included.
　　
Recommendations for Gold Operations
　　
　　①1780-1783There are many nearby areas, causing damage1775.target1895-1802Break the position to see1820
　　
　　②1800-03Nearby empty, loss1808.Target View1790-1780-Break the position to see1765
　　
GoldTDtechnical analysis
　　
GoldTD:goldTD弱势震荡，继续下行，但未能跌破此前低点367的支撑，小幅反弹。此前，黄金TDUp to385.86Yuan, but the subsequent upward momentum was hindered, and the subsequent closing line did not stabilize, but continued to decline. After repeatedly rising but not breaking through, gold prices have fallen back again380Pass, also below379-380支撑强劲，金价多次测试后向下跌破概率已明显加大。本周周初，黄金直接破位379支撑，跌至373元一线。昨日笔者分析认为，震荡区间已经打破，后续还有反弹做空。昨日笔者提及，日线下方并无明显支撑，今日反弹还要做空。建议反弹373Short nearby, stop loss376On, target367破位持有。实际走势孱弱，并无给到这个位置，而是再次测试367一线的支撑，可惜未能破位，而是二次不破出现反弹，短线止跌。今日建议关注反弹高点370一线的压制，触及做空，止损373On, target367Break hold.
　　
SilverTDTechnical analysis:
　　
SilverTD: SilvertdSince falling below4900After the initial support, there was an acceleration and a significant decline4500Nearby, however, the decline did not continue, but instead experienced a rebound and a comeback5200Gateway, multiple impacts5200The checkpoint has not been further advanced, representing5200There are a large number of bears under pressure above the checkpoint, and the recent layout5200The short order strategy is currently in a profitable state, and we are focusing on it now4800Great level support, if it falls below, then the bears will further fall back, and those who are not empty can continue to do so5000Nearby empty.
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
Analysis of crude oil news: Thursday（11month25日）美原油延续上一交易日的震荡走势，隔夜美国经济数据比较乐观，尽管EIA原油库存小幅增加，但增幅不及预期，给油价提供支撑。利空方面则主要是美联储会议纪要显示官员对加速减码持开放态度，欧洲疫情相对严峻，令多头有所顾忌。恰逢美国感恩节假期，市场交投情绪较低，短线维持震荡的可能性较大，投资者目光都开始转向下周召开的OPEC+大会。释放战略石油储备早已被石油市场消化，油价从10月创下的多年高点下跌了10美元，市场关注OPEC+将如何应对石油消费国的这一举动。值得一提的是，因为感恩节假期影响，原定于北京时间每周六公布的美国原油钻井数据已经出炉，数据显示，美国石油和天然气钻井平台录得连续16个月的月度增加，略微利空油价，投资者还需留意该数据的影响发酵情况。
　　
　　原油技术面：日线收录阴线十字星，二连阳后触及前期阻力位79.3一线再次承压，进一步表明多头动能衰竭，均线系统死叉运行在油价上方，rsi指标触及50先附近徘徊，如果上冲无望将延续回撤格局。从整体形态上看，油价上方双顶形态在85.0-83区域形成，油价在74.6一线企稳形成的小级别上升格局，在触及79.2一线后出现了掉头迹象，目前维持在79.2-78.0区域徘徊，下方多空分水岭在77.2-77.0一线，再次下破将打开下行动能。综合来看，今日原油短线操作思路上周老师个人建议以高空为主，低多为辅。上方短期重点关注80.0-80.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below76.0-76.5Frontline support.