Zhou Jinrui11.5黄金、白银、原油价格走势分析及操作建议

　　goldMarket trend analysis
　　
Message analysis: Thursday(11month4day)，国际金价触底反弹，进一步远离10month13Daily low point1759.01dollar/Ounces. Although the Federal Reserve has announced the start of a reduced stimulus plan, it will11Starting from the beginning of the month, we plan to reduce the size of monthly bond purchases by2022At the end of the year, the reduction action was taken, but it was still insisted that high inflation would prove to be "temporary" and that interest rates would remain low for a period of time. It is likely that there is no need for rapid rate hikes, and the weak US dollar will continue to support gold prices.
　　
　　技术面：根据4小时图来看，黄金触底1758一线后开始反弹，破位1786-1790的阻力位，那么目前的阻力位置在1803一线也就是布林带上轨的压制，同时黄金前期也是在上轨遇阻开始大幅度回落，很显然多空都没有很好的延续性，目前黄金维持在1750-1810的宽幅区间震荡，要向破位，上方必须要破位前期反弹高点1810上方，进一步在1832大阻力下，下方支撑在1750密集支撑区域，破位这个位置，那么进一步可能回到1720-1700区域；所以目前黄金走势来看，没有破位区间还是不看好单边行情。所以黄金在1800-1802这个位置也是可以参与空的。如果行情没有破位上涨，那么变会有回撤，下方首先回撤的点位就是1782Nearby, followed by1778位置；操作上还是高空低多；综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上周金瑞建议低多为主，高空为辅，上方重点关注1805-1810Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1775-1780Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, with more real-time market analysis and timely operational strategies added.Author Zhou Jinrui（zjr8527）Daily market analysis, unwinding strategies, and guidance on medium to long term layout are all included.


Recommendations for Gold Operations


　　①1780-82Loss1775, Objective1795-1800


　　②1802-04Nearby empty, loss1809.target1785-1782
　　
GoldTDtechnical analysis
　　
GoldTD:Long awaited goldTDThe downward trend has finally arrived, and last night the gold price broke through366Strong support, with a minimum drop to363Yuanxian. Last week, goldTDOverall oscillation operation, in the interval366-373Repeatedly sawing between them. At the beginning of the week, the trend of gold prices remained the same. Recently, I firmly stated that in the overall direction, I am still optimistic about another decline. Because, despite recent fluctuations in gold prices, from a daily perspective,360The first line rebound is only a correction during the decline process, and the previous second starting point of decline373The suppression has not been broken through. and373The yuan is the key, and if bulls want to gain momentum and further rise, they must break through here, otherwise they will still have a slight advantage for bears. But at the same time, bears only have to fall below the previous rising point, namely365-366Only with sufficient support can the downward space be opened. Finally, yesterday's goldTDThe bears finally put their weight and broke through their recent key support366Lowest drop to363Frontline. Now that the key support has broken through, it is recommended to mainly rebound and short in the future. Today, I suggest following4The top of the hour's large overcast line368Resistance, touch short, stop loss371On, target363-360frontline.
　　
SilverTDTechnical analysis:
　　
SilverTDThe silver daily line is reported on the negative line. In terms of morphology, the rebound within the week is hindered4900On the front line, yesterday's shock fell back to4800Nearby, low point test in the evening4730-4740The region has entered a volatile and bearish trend. At present, silver is entering the downward phase of turning and continuing to suppress it, with a focus on attention4800-4830Under this area, the next wave of targets is expected to reach the previous low point. Suggestion: Silver enters the stage of fluctuating and falling, and further bearish performance needs to be observed during this stage, which can be relied on4830-4850Short term follow-up and stop loss in the area4880First line, target reference for the fallback stage4600Maintain further downward expectations in the region.
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
Analysis of crude oil news: Friday（11month5日）亚洲时段，美油震荡反弹至80关口附近；油价周四一度涨逾3%，但随后不仅回吐涨幅，而且跌逾3%，创近一个月新低至78.25dollar/桶，因为OPEC+维持既定增产步伐，不顾美国要求加大增产幅度的呼声，令市场猜测美国可能动用战略储备。日内关注晚间非农数据，目前预计新增非农就业人口45万，加之白宫接下来的举措还存不确定性，油价短期波动或较大。
　　
　　原油技术面：原油日线再收得一大阴线。日线结构上行情回撤至40日线附近以及前期的交易密集低点位78附近，且此前日线级别指标持久的背离也得到释放，指标出现超卖信号，所以对此也要加以防范，短线行情或有可能借助79有所止跌，但并不意味着行情就此回升反弹，因为随着市场情绪的放缓，消息面逐渐出现利空，美油对于前期极端上涨的回吐可能才刚刚开始，后期行情走震荡回弹测压，而后再回落调整的概率会比较大，下方79支撑若失守，则可期前期高点位76.5附近。日内上方则关注82.5短压带回弹测试。4小时形成二次探高不破高，周初上探84.8附近承压后，蓄势下破了80.8-80.6短期多头防守点，上探不破高，形成4小时级别的二次小顶部，同时破低后，80.6-80.8可当作颈线突破。4小时先看小双顶回落。操作上稍微反弹接近82.8先行看空即可。综合来看，今日原油短线操作思路上周金瑞个人建议以高空为主，低多为辅。上方短期重点关注82.0-82.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below78.0-78.5Frontline support. At present, friends who have nested orders in their positions are unable to provide corresponding unwinding strategies due to the author Zhou Jinrui's lack of knowledge about the location of your nested orders and the specific situation of your positions. Friends who need to unwind can use a single line【zjr8527】Obtain.