Zhou Jinrui11.4-11.5Suggestions for futures trading of gold, silver, and crude oil in the US market

　　goldMarket trend analysis
　　
Message analysis: Thursday(11month4day)The international gold price rebounded further away from the overnight hit10month13Daily low point1759.01dollar/Ounces. Although the Federal Reserve has announced the start of a reduced stimulus plan, it will11Starting from the beginning of the month, we plan to reduce the size of monthly bond purchases by2022At the end of the year, the reduction action was taken, but it was still insisted that high inflation would prove to be "temporary" and that interest rates would remain low for a period of time. It is likely that there is no need for rapid rate hikes, and the weak US dollar will continue to support gold prices.
　　
Technical aspect: Gold daily closing negative, looking below from the daily trend1760Nearby, a low point bottomed out, while the hour line was in the early morning1769Near the bottom. So these are the two support levels for today. Daily currentMACDInitial construction of dead cross indicators, flexible indicatorsstoThe hook is fixed downwards, so the daily line is still weak in oscillation. Current daily moving averageMA5Gradual and medium tracks, as well asMA60Adhesive pressing1795First line, followed by the moving averageMA10nearby1798Frontline. Because the daily line is currently barefoot, today's low point has not yet appeared.


　　4Hour currentMACDDead cross reduction, flexibility indexstoHook up repair, short-term4There are signs of rebound during the hour. Our short-term focus is on the moving averageMA10Resistance of1798First line, followed by suppression near the middle rail1802First line, then1808.4Currently following hours1795Breaking prices may increase1800Running nearby. Hour Line CurrentlymacdThe Golden Fork is operating in large quantities, indicating that the hourly line is still in a rebound trend. Currently, we are paying attention to1800First line, followed by the moving averageMA60nearby1804Frontline. Comprehensive daily line4The hour and hour lines are currently suppressed at both points1802-04First line, so this position is the most suitable for opening. The market is constantly changing, with more real-time market analysis and timely operational strategies added.Author Zhou Jinrui（zjr8527）Daily market analysis, unwinding strategies, and guidance on medium to long term layout are all included.


Recommendations for Gold Operations


　　①1780-82Loss1775, Objective1795-1800


　　②1802-04Nearby empty, loss1809.target1785-1782
　　
GoldTDtechnical analysis
　　
GoldTD:Long awaited goldTDThe downward trend has finally arrived, and last night the gold price broke through366Strong support, with a minimum drop to363Yuanxian. Last week, goldTDOverall oscillation operation, in the interval366-373Repeatedly sawing between them. At the beginning of the week, the trend of gold prices remained the same. Recently, I firmly stated that in the overall direction, I am still optimistic about another decline. Because, despite recent fluctuations in gold prices, from a daily perspective,360The first line rebound is only a correction during the decline process, and the previous second starting point of decline373The suppression has not been broken through. and373The yuan is the key, and if bulls want to gain momentum and further rise, they must break through here, otherwise they will still have a slight advantage for bears. But at the same time, bears only have to fall below the previous rising point, namely365-366Only with sufficient support can the downward space be opened. Finally, yesterday's goldTDThe bears finally put their weight and broke through their recent key support366Lowest drop to363Frontline. Now that the key support has broken through, it is recommended to mainly rebound and short in the future. Today, I suggest following4The top of the hour's large overcast line368Resistance, touch short, stop loss371On, target363-360frontline.
　　
SilverTDTechnical analysis:
　　
SilverTDThe silver daily line is reported on the negative line. In terms of morphology, the rebound within the week is hindered4900On the front line, yesterday's shock fell back to4800Nearby, low point test in the evening4730-4740The region has entered a volatile and bearish trend. At present, silver is entering the downward phase of turning and continuing to suppress it, with a focus on attention4800-4830Under this area, the next wave of targets is expected to reach the previous low point. Suggestion: Silver enters the stage of fluctuating and falling, and further bearish performance needs to be observed during this stage, which can be relied on4830-4850Short term follow-up and stop loss in the area4880First line, target reference for the fallback stage4600Maintain further downward expectations in the region.
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
Analysis of crude oil news: Thursday（11month4US crude oil rose in Japan; Oil prices fell to near four week lows on Wednesday79.69dollar/Barrel, after the US crude oil inventory growth exceeded expectations, gasoline inventories in the world's largest oil consumer country hit a four-year low, and Iran stated that it will resume nuclear negotiations this month. The decline in oil prices due to inventory exceeding expectations, coupled with the Federal Reserve's debt reduction, further exacerbated the decline in oil prices; The focus of intraday oil prices will be onOPEC+The outcome of the meeting, whether it isOPEC+Whether to maintain production increase or change production policies under pressure from the United States, oil prices will experience significant fluctuations in the short term.
　　
In terms of crude oil technology, the daily crude oil market recorded a large negative line, and under the two consecutive negative pattern, it broke the short-term moving average and fell, showing an overall bearish pattern. From a four hour level perspective, crude oil touched last week85.3dollar/After the high price of the barrel, it fluctuated and adjusted again this week84.8dollar/The barrel forms a double top shape, and currently the short end has run aABCIf the pattern of short selling continues further, it is expected to emergeCWave acceleration stage, supporting attention79.4First line, after further breaking, it is necessary to pay attention to the expected level of acceleration waves76.9USD level. If there is a bottoming rebound, the upper line of strength is83.9dollar/Bucket, before this83.0The level is also worth paying attention to. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for crude oil today was recommended by Jinrui last week, with high altitude as the main approach and low altitude as the secondary approach. Top short-term focus83.5-84.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below79.5-80.0Frontline support. At present, friends who have nested orders in their positions are unable to provide corresponding unwinding strategies due to the author Zhou Jinrui's lack of knowledge about the location of your nested orders and the specific situation of your positions. Friends who need to unwind can use a single line【zjr8527】Obtain.