Zhou Jinrui10.22黄金还会跌？期货黄金白银走势分析操作建议

　　goldMarket trend analysis
　　
Message analysis: Thursday(10month21day)The international gold price rose for the third consecutive trading day as the weakening US dollar made gold cheaper for buyers holding other currencies. Previously, Federal Reserve officials said it was too early to raise interest rates. However, the overall better than expected performance of American companies and Bitcoin's historic high have limited the increase in gold prices. At present, we see that investors are more interested in the price of gold because they believe that inflation may remain stable for a period of time. Gold is a safe haven against inflation, so there is a demand for gold prices. In terms of gold price, the most important thing for investors is the manufacturing Purchasing Managers'Index to be released on Friday(PMI)。 If the inflation issue is not effectively addressed, the foundation for the rise in gold prices will always exist, and the market has already digested the Federal Reserve11News of a monthly reduction in bond purchases.
　　
Technical aspect: The gold daily line closed on the big positive pole and covered the previous day's up shadow line, indicating that today's trading is mainly on the dips. This point is based on daily indicatorsmacdGolden Fork Volume and Flexibility IndexstoIt can also be seen from the upward repair. Currently supported below the moving averageMA5andMA10Adhesive position1770-72On the first line, based on the daily candle chart, it is also determined that the suppressed points above are1796Nearby, the physical part of the high point of last week's row.


　　4Hour currentMACDGolden Fork Large Capacity Operation, Flexibility IndexstoHook up repair, short-term4The trend of hourly fluctuations is relatively strong, belonging to bulls. And currently, it is supported below the moving averageMA5nearby1780frontline. Hour lineMACDAdhesive vibration above the zero axis, flexibility indexsto勾头向上修复，小时线目前也是震荡偏向多头。黄金自区间底部展开反弹，目前区间在慢慢抬高，金价每次回踩低点也在上升，所以短期上涨趋势较强，而整体结构仍是在大区间内震荡。行情瞬息万变，更多实时行情分析与及时操作策略添.Author Zhou Jinrui（zjr8527）Daily market analysis, unwinding strategies, and guidance on medium to long term layout are all included.


Operation suggestions


　　①1770-72There are many nearby areas, causing damage1765, look at the goal1782-1788


　　②1798-1800Nearby empty, loss1805, look at the goal1788-1783-1775
　　
GoldTDtechnical analysis
　　
GoldTD:goldTDThe overall fluctuation is not significant, with a slight rebound within the day. Despite recent fluctuations in gold prices, from a daily perspective,360The first line rebound is only a correction during the decline process, and the previous second starting point of decline373The suppression has not been broken through. Therefore, the future trend of gold prices still depends on the daily decline. At the beginning of this week, the author's idea was to turn around and short, and suggested that368Approaching nearby, looking back at the daily sharp decline. But only after falling below the previous starting point, i.e365-366Only with the support of the market can bearers open up downward space. Despite breaking through in the short term, Tuesday's closing was not missed in the daily cycle365The overall situation has not changed due to the low support in the front. Short term repeated downturns, long short conversion too fast, but as low leverage goldTDIt's better to keep an eye on the trend and not frequently catch up with the sell-offs. Today's suggestion370Empty, stop loss373On, target360Break hold.
　　
SilverTDTechnical analysis:
　　
SilverTDSilver daily and negative reporting. In terms of morphology, yesterday's late trading shock rebound test5000Frontline, further impact in the evening5100On the first line, enter the prompt for a rebound trend. At present, silver is gradually entering the stage of oscillation and rebound, and it is necessary to repeatedly observe whether it can break through by simultaneously filling the previous gap position5100frontline. Suggestion: Silver smoothly enters a fluctuating rebound trend, impacting5100The frontline has made many plans to gradually stop profits, and it is expected that the market will continue to fluctuate repeatedly in the near future. After multiple orders leave the market, it is recommended to wait and see.
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
Analysis of crude oil news: Thursday（10month21US oil continued its rise and hit a seven year high83.85dollar/Barrel, therefore, a previous US government report showed an unexpected decrease in crude oil inventory and a significant decrease in finished oil storage, indicating an increase in demand and a tightening of supply. In general, the supply is tightening, the world is in the energy crisis, especially when winter comes, the energy poverty of European countries makes the demand increase, which will continue to stimulate the rise of oil prices this winter. The expected rise of natural gas prices by institutions will also boost oil prices. Under the influence of a series of favorable factors90dollar/Barrel, but it is important to pay attention to the restrictions on the increase in oil prices caused by the increase in newly confirmed cases in multiple countries.
　　
In terms of crude oil technology: crude oil rebounded and closed higher after a downward trend, with only a three day correction. After two trading days of consolidation and correction at the beginning of the week, it closed higher and became positive in the end of the trading day, with the lowest retracement80.78Start stable.10The lifeline of the Japanese bulls has been rapidly stabilized after being lowered, and the technical aspects have been corrected. The daily line turns to the positive line. At the same time, holding above the short-term moving average, after sorting and correcting at the beginning of the week, it is preliminarily shown that the support point for the withdrawal of the exit part is81.0-80.70Nearby. I won't break through it in the next two days81.0-80.70Support, then you will accumulate momentum to attack high again, and short-term operations will have more pullbacks.4After a series of consecutive negative retreats in the hour, the lost ground was regained with a series of positive recoveries. The small negative line retreated, while the large positive line regained. The pullback was slow and the rise was fast. In addition, the previous bullish trend remained unchanged. The correction at the beginning of the week was treated as a strong consolidation correction, and after reaching a higher level, there was potential for a breakthrough.1The hourly chart is accompanied by a rapid recovery of lost ground, driving the moving average index to turn upward to form support. It should be noted that although oil prices are still bullish, they are no longer the previous bullish rise. The pace is starting to slow down, so grasp the pace of the decline and go long in the market. Yesterday's low point is the critical point for short-term bullish trading today. Overall, last week, Jinrui personally suggested that the short-term operation strategy for crude oil today should focus on low highs and supplemented by high highs. Top short-term focus84.5-85.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below80.5-81.0Frontline support.