Zhou Jinrui10.13美联储纪要前黄金区间对待，原油行情分析及操作

　　goldMarket trend analysis
　　
Message analysis: Tuesday(10month12day)International gold prices have risen as the US dollar index has fallen, but despite soaring energy prices and expectations that the Federal Reserve is about to start reducing bond purchases, the US dollar index is still hovering at the one-year high it hit last month94.504Nearby below, the US dollar seems to be the ultimate safe haven in the current market, which is putting sustained pressure on gold prices. But stagflation expectations limited the decline. Overall, the gold price is still expected to maintain volatility in the short term, and in comparison, the probability of a downward trend is greater.
　　
Technical aspect: The golden day closed positive, surrounding1765—50Narrow range operation. Compared to the previous period of oscillation on the track1770Lack of some bull pulling momentum, under pressureMA20Lower Bolin Middle Rail. Gold touched during intraday trading1750Starting to rise, combined with last Thursday（10month7Day) Starting dateKThe take-up situation is clearly prominent1750As a cyclical support, the bullish momentum in this part is not strong, resulting inMA20The pressure causes the center of gravity of the structure to shift accordingly. At this point, there are two sides to the gold price in the indicator market: the combination of gold stepping back on the pressure line is not in place, and thereforeMA60Forming a bonding potential with the Bolin upper rail (pointing towards1782）; At the same time, the large cycle140Japan and Japan200The sun appears with a golden fork pointing upwards, which is different from the sunKOther indicators in ChinaRSITurn the head upwards;MACDAgree on the direction of multi head kinetic energy column release.


Therefore, it can be inferred from the auxiliary indicator structure that the current demand for gold is a short-term correction, as1750Repeatedly tested, the narrow range and low volatility of the market will be broken by market sentiment brought about by fundamental debt contraction and debt ceiling. At present, gold is struggling horizontally, measured by the structure of time for space,1745One is no longer sufficient as a support, pay attention to the support below1735—30Between communities, this location is also a dayKconnect1680—1721Support along the lower edge of the pointing interval. In the short-term structure, gold emerges1765Horizontal suppression, daily gold price stepping up1750The structural low point has risen, and there are not many factors driving the rise of gold prices. The technical range fluctuates, and the key game has not yet appeared. Prior to the US market, the range entry was still continued, and the current structural resistance level1770Belt, after pressure1767It will become a short-term push pull position. At present, the direction of the short-term structure is indeed unclear. We will temporarily provide guidance according to the large cycle, and adjust the position layout according to the situation after a strong rebound or reversal pattern appears. Key focus points1730—35Intercommunity support, with a1782/1794Fixed centerline resistance. In terms of participation, before the intraday US market1770The area represents short-term resistance;1750/47To support interval entry. Be sure to lead a good defense in the short and long run, and rise and fall over time1770Or fall through1745Make strategic adjustments based on the actual offer. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for today's gold market was suggested by Jinrui last week to focus on lower levels with higher levels as a supplement, with a focus on higher levels1775-1780Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1740-1745Frontline support.
　　
GoldTDtechnical analysis
　　
GoldTD:goldTDFew fluctuations, within the day365-368Small fluctuations within the range. From the daily chart, goldTDReceived a "small negative line" and received20The suppression of the daily moving average, however,KDJThe three line tick of the indicator is upward and also arranged in multiple positions, indicating goldTDIt still needs to shake. From the one hour chart, goldTDShake down and suffer5Day10The suppression of the daily moving average, at the same time,KDJThe three line indicators have downward ticks and are also arranged in short positions. Against the backdrop of the international gold cycle weekly and daily signs of a stop in decline, goldTDThere will also be a rebound. And the lower daily line is lower360The first-line support has been verified, and the second test did not break, but instead rebounded significantly. Suggest continuing to hold363Going long nearby, if the closing line falls below today360You can adjust the position and exit.
　　
SilverTDTechnical analysis:
　　
SilverTDSilver touched its lowest point on Monday4754Report on the Zhongyang Line. Morphologically, yesterday was under pressure smoothly4900-4930The area has encountered obstacles and retreated, with futures prices fluctuating and stepping back4800On the first line, achieve a hint of a downward trend. The rebound in the silver plate of the game continues, so you can pay attention to it4850-4880One area, refer to the short line suppression area. Suggestion: Silver intraday rebound test4850-4880One area can intervene with new empty orders and stop losses4900On the front line, focus on observing whether it can be broken down when falling back4800Belt, rebound short selling mentality.
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
Analysis of crude oil news: Tuesday（10month12US crude oil fell slightly, and oil prices continued their weekly rise on Monday, rising strongly. US crude oil briefly rose to82.18dollar/Bucket2014The highest since the end of the year; With the increase in economic activity and supply restrictions by major oil producing countries, there is no sign of any relief in the energy crisis that has plagued major economies. Coal and natural gas prices are also soaring, making oil more attractive as a fuel for power generation, driving the oil market higher. The short-term impact of oil prices may be limited by the White House's call to limit oil price increases. However, with the relaxation of restrictions on epidemic activities and the surge in coal and natural gas prices as the economy recovers, oil prices may become more attractive as a fuel for power generation. Oil prices may continue to maintain an upward trend, and the increase in heating demand is causing oil prices to start paying attention90Gateway.
　　
Technical aspects of crude oil: From a daily perspective, crude oil surged to a new high yesterday and then fell back. The daily line closed with a longer positive line on the upper shadow line. After ending in this form, it is likely that adjustments will be made today. Stay tuned below5Daily support79.2On the first line, it is worth noting that adjustment is not a reversal, as long as the oil price remains at5、10Above the daily line, oil prices continue to remain strong and remain bullish above the mid track. After reaching a new high in seven years, do not blindly guess the peak. In four hours, oil prices have surged and fallen, and the current Bollinger Belt is opening up,MADouble Gold Crosses on the Moving Average,KDJThe three lines of random indicators are downward,MACDThe red kinetic energy column of the indicator is starting to shrink, and the fast and slow lines are crossing upwards. Crude oil currently needs to be adjusted in the short term, and will rise again after the adjustment is completed. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for crude oil today was suggested by the teacher last week to prioritize low to high, supplemented by high altitude. Top short-term focus82.0-82.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below78.5-79.0Frontline support.