Zhou Jinrui9.30黄金下跌能否抄底？黄金原油走势分析及解套建议

　　goldMarket trend analysis
　　
Technical aspect: Weekly level: Gold prices continue to rise and fall this week, while the strength decreases50%Withdrawal line and100The weekly trend puts pressure on it, and based on its current trend,KDJKeep the dead cross bearish signal,MACDThe green kinetic energy column remains strengthened, and on the main chart, the short-term moving average is also dead cross bearish. There is a risk of further decline in the future and touching the lower track of the Bollinger belt. On a comeback50%Before going back above the pullback line, keep rebounding and short selling, and continue to pay attention to the recent support trend line position. Please refer to the specific points below for reference1700USD or1690Key support near the US dollar.
　　
Daily level: Gold prices continue to maintain9The downward trend of encountering obstacles and falling back at the beginning of the month has once again declined. Recently, it has continuously hit the support rebound of the lower track, and then fell back again, maintaining a volatile and low overall. howeverKDJContinue to hit oversold positions, andMACDThe kinetic energy column shows signs of continuous reduction, with signals of deviation from the main image; Or at the touch of trend line support1720Area and double bottom position1676There will be a significant rebound and a rebound in the market. Therefore, within the day, they will receive5-10While the daily moving average pressure is declining, attention should also be paid to the short-term rebound in the lower track and the mid line rebound supported by the trend line. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for today's gold market was suggested by Jinrui last week, with high altitude being the main focus and low abundance being the secondary focus, with a focus on the top1745-1750Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1700-1705Frontline support. At present, friends who have nested orders in their positions are unable to provide corresponding unwinding strategies due to the author Zhou Jinrui's lack of knowledge about the location of your nested orders and the specific situation of your positions. Friends who need to unwind can use a single linezjr8527obtain.
　　
GoldTDtechnical analysis
　　
From the daily chart, goldTDReceived a 'little yang line' and received it20The suppression of the daily moving average indicates that goldTDTo fall. However,KDJThe three line tick of the indicator is upward and also arranged in multiple positions, indicating goldTDThere may still be an increase. From the one hour chart, goldTDShake down and suffer5Day10The suppression of the daily moving average indicates that goldTDTo fall. However,KDJThe three line tick of the indicator is upward and also arranged in multiple positions, indicating that goldTDThere is a possibility of an increase. In summary, today, goldTDThe probability of a decline is high. Operational strategy suggestion: If goldTDLower rupture362element/Ke, you can short lightly.
　　
SilverTDTechnical analysis:
　　
SilvertdRefresh4900After the low point, there was a rebound and a comeback5200Near the checkpoint, ultimately affected by5250Short bears bear pressure and break down once4900Front low position to4700The decline further widened at the checkpoint. At present, the bearish sentiment is high, and the daily line is moving downwards with a downward opening, indicating that the space below has just opened, and there has also been a situation of rising, falling, and breaking new lows in the trend,!Now charge high4900Fallback4700, hit the low point as scheduled. Continue to follow the trend in operation now!rebound4900Keep empty nearby, follow below4500-4600Support.
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
On the technical side of crude oil: The daily crude oil line includes a hammer head line with a negative line, leaving a longer upward shadow line after rising and falling. After five consecutive positive lines, a negative line appears,macdThe golden fork is diverging upwards, and the bull's kinetic energy is continuously increasing,kdThe indicators are operating in overbought areas, with passive indicators and overall showing a bullish trend. From the perspective of morphology and structure, the physical high points of the candle chart in the previous two days are75.4So from the daily line, it is possible to lay out empty orders near this location today. According to the application of the moving average rule: the first reference for a bull market retreat is the moving averageMA10The support point will only deepen when it breaks through and retreats, while the current moving averageMA10Corresponding support on73.0Near.4Hour presentmacdHigh level dead fork release, representing4A fall at the hour level. But because of the agility indicatorsstoThe rapid downward repair will cause fluctuations after the price drops. at present4Support below the moving average for hoursMA30And lower track moving averageMA60Nearby, corresponding74and72.7。 But the short-term trend shows a downward trend, and the upper resistance level is concerned75.2-75.3If the price of oil breaks through again, there is a possibility of a continuation of the long position, and at the same time, the divide between the long and short positions below is73.1The US dollar, with further bearish breaks, will change the overall bullish pattern. Overall, last week, Jinrui personally suggested that the short-term operation strategy for crude oil today should focus on low highs and supplemented by high highs. Top short-term focus76.5-77.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below73.0-73.5Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, with more real-time market analysis and timely operational strategies added.Author Zhou Jinrui（zjr8527）Daily market analysis, unwinding strategies, and guidance on medium to long term layout are all included.