Zhou Jinrui9.28Will gold continue to fall? Analysis and Operation Suggestions for Futures Gold and Crude Oil Market

　　goldMarket trend analysis
　　
Technical aspect: Weekly level: Last week, the gold price charged a relatively long upward shadow at a relatively low rebound level, which did not exert significant pressure on the future market and100A test rebound was caused near the weekly moving average, and the bearish signal weakened, indicating a possible comeback50%The rebound expectation above the pullback line, but on the main chart, there is a lot of resistance at all levels of the moving average above, and gold prices are also running in the lower channel of the Bollinger band and emitting, indicating that there is still further pullback in the future and touching1450-1685The upward trend line of the connection supports it, so we still need to pay attention below1715-20Near the US dollar. Focus on the short-term moving average for weekly resistance.


Daily level: Gold prices continue to fluctuate and stop falling last Friday,KDJThe oversold position has formed a bullish gold fork and continues to rise,MACDShort selling signals have also continued to decrease, suggesting that there is an expectation of a continuous rebound in gold prices. Please pay attention to the above10Daily moving average1762And medium rail1777Nearby target resistance. in addition4The hourly level rebound demand is more obvious, although there have been some obstacles, there is still room for a rebound overall. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for today's gold market was suggested by Jinrui last week, with high altitude being the main focus and low abundance being the secondary focus, with a focus on the top1765-1770Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1730-1735Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, with more real-time market analysis and timely operational strategies added.Author Zhou Jinrui（zjr8527）Daily market analysis, unwinding strategies, and guidance on medium to long term layout are all included.
　　
GoldTDTechnical analysis:
　　
Goldt+d: GoldTDPreviously hindered380High level fall back355The position has rebounded and returned380Nearby oscillation. Final pressure bearing380The pressure at the top of this oscillation experienced a significant retreat and fell to360Nearby, its decline is relatively large, confirming that high bearish positions are extremely under pressure. At present, spot gold has reached a new low, while goldTDIt has not yet reached a new low, indicating that short positions are expected to make up for losses. Now follow below353—360Short term upward trend line361Position support, expected to fall below, so in terms of operation, take advantage of the situation and rebound370Continue to be bearish, below355There are many nearby.
　　
Analysis of Paper Silver Technology:
　　
Paper and silver bottomed out and rebounded last Friday, closing with long feet and small yinKToday, the market opened low and rebounded, with a slight increase. The moving averages remained in a bearish arrangement, with long and short entering the game transition zone;4The hour long hammer line, bottoming out and rebounding, currently rebounding to the estimated operation of the Bolin middle track, while standing firmly on the Bolin middle track, pointing directly60The overall strength of the line, paper, and silver is weak, but the short line may form a small double bottom. The short line has a desire and momentum to rebound, and rebound is not a reversal. The rebound elasticity still needs to be paid attention to. Derating is an upward resistance. If the U.S. debt crisis cannot be solved perfectly, it may provide support for gold and silver. This week's news may take the initiative to run the market, and beware of wide swings5It's National Day, and we also need to pay attention to the holiday effect. Although the paper silver plate is weak, there is also a desire for rebound. Please pay attention to it from above4.74-4.77Nearby, follow below4.7-4.66If the opening price falls behind, it may reach a new low.
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
On the technical side of crude oil: The daily crude oil level has once again closed with a bald positive line, indicating that bulls remain strong. The short term is still in the process of high level consolidation, accompanied by repeated explorations to seek high level resistance. Due to the fact that the daily structure is in the top form of the structure and is not fully established, the short term moves slightly repeatedly, standing last Friday71.40Afterwards, there was a continuous rebound and it closed at a high level, with signs of continuing to touch higher. It will take time for the short-term peak to fall back, and the future market may also be accompanied by a trend of rising and falling back, combined with the shape to determine the turning point.4Looking at the hourly line, it was not able to continuously lower and breakdown69.5.This position is a short-term bullish defensive point, and falling below it is necessary to fully turn into a bear in the short term. It is also an accelerating turning point position in the medium term, and if it does not break in the short term, it will still break at the top of the repeatedly raised structure. Do not rule out de approximation77.0A secondary high point is formed below the top. Today's jump in oil prices indicates a rise in bullish sentiment, but it also provides convenience for institutions to reduce their holdings. At present, oil prices are overbought, and short-term operations are bullish rather than chasing bullish. Overall, last week, Jinrui personally suggested that the short-term operation strategy for crude oil today should focus on low highs and supplemented by high highs. Top short-term focus76.5-77.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below73.0-73.5Frontline support. At present, friends who have nested orders in their positions are unable to provide corresponding unwinding strategies due to the author Zhou Jinrui's lack of knowledge about the location of your nested orders and the specific situation of your positions. Friends who need to unwind can use a single linezjr8527obtain.