Register now, make more friends, enjoy more functions, and let you play in the community easily.
You need Sign in Can be downloaded or viewed without an account?Register Now
x
1Latest information:
Federal Reserve 美国前财政部长萨默斯(Larry Summers)预计,大约6个月后,通货膨胀将“非常接近”5%。萨默斯称,这将对市场通胀预期形成影响,债券收益率将在2021年剩余时间继续上升。
European Central Bank 欧洲央行央行行长拉加德敦促欧盟各国领导人保持宽松财政政策,警告过早停止刺激措施可能会破坏刚刚开始的复苏。
OPEC/Middle East 卜拉欣·莱希正式当选为伊朗的新一任总统后,在其召开的第一场新闻发布会上,对于记者的提问,他表示暂时不会与美国总统会面,同时他还公开宣读了伊朗新政府的将来在内政和外交上的一些政策。
2International questions:
Russia 俄罗斯驻英国大使安德烈·克林26日说,俄英关系当前处于“最低点”,有必要推动两国关系走出低谷。他批评英方驱逐舰侵犯俄边境的行为可能导致严重军事事件。
U.S.A 美国总统拜登当地时间6month24日宣布,他已经与两党参议员达成了1.2万亿美元基础设施协议。拜登称,双方都做出了妥协,希望达成一项罕见的协议。
China 韩国央行当天发布的报告显示,中国数字经济以智能手机及相关基础设施为中心迅速成长,数字经济占经济整体比例已接近四成,位居新兴经济体之首。
Europe 德国提交的总额高达256亿欧元的经济复苏计划获得欧盟委员会正式批准。如果前述计划在稍后7月份的欧盟财长会议上获得通过,欧盟委员会将预先向德国支付23Billion euros.
3Short term rise and fall direction and target level:
Variety(H4) Trend direction Target bit
EURUSD 破位下跌 ---
XAUUSD shock ---
WTI Slight inflation ---
EURUSD
chart1,EURUSD 06month28day H4level
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10 RSI
-0.0001 33
neutral short position
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:1.2192~1.2091~1.2134, retract hook shape
Hook theory
left dip angle right dip angle
good good good ---
Directionality: Trend thinking
Comprehensive judgment:
短线技术面:趋势空头,且反弹波段已经跌破上升通道线,日内看跌。
Long term macro perspective: United StatesCPIup to5%Expectations of interest rate hikes are heating up,EURUSDIn the long run, it will decline.
XAUUSD
chart2,XAUUSD 06month28day H4level
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10 RSI
-0.52 51
Weak bearish position neutral
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:1902~1844~1862, retract hook shape
Hook theory
left dip angle right dip angle
good good good ---
Directionality: Trend thinking
Comprehensive judgment:
短线技术面:空头趋势延续,市价运行于反弹趋势线附近,日内看震荡。
宏观面:加息预期增强,避险情绪消退,gold承压,远期看空。
USOIL
chart3,USOIL 2021year7Monthly contract,06month28day H4cycle
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10 RSI
0.18 65
long position long position
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:---,---
Hook theory
left dip angle right dip angle
--- --- --- ---
Directionality: Trend thinking
综合判断:前一个上升通道线被跌破,目前运行于第二个上升通道线之上,日内看涨,但涨幅有限。
EIAInventory (previous period) EIAInventory (latest)
435510000 barrels 417210000 barrels
库存下降,利多crude oil。
Disclaimer:
1The above analysis only represents the analyst's perspective. There are risks in the foreign exchange market and investment needs to be cautious.
2、ATFXWe will not be responsible for any profit or loss that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on this information.