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1Latest information:
Federal Reserve 美国东部时间6month16日,美联储宣布维持利率不变,符合市场预期。不过,美联储在会后声明中表示将今年美国通胀率增长预期大幅上调至3.4%,并提前了下次加息的时间框架,引起市场恐慌。
European Central Bank 欧洲央行表示,近几个月欧元区通胀率之所以有所上升,主要是由于低基数效应、短期因素及能源价格上涨等,预计通胀水平将在今年下半年进一步上升,之后会随着临时性因素的消退而下降。
OPEC/Middle East local time17日,伊朗副外长阿拉格希表示,现在比以往任何时候都更接近恢复伊核协议,但仍有一些关键问题有待谈判解决。
2International questions:
Russia 俄罗斯总统普京表示,很遗憾军备竞赛正在隐蔽或公开地进行,但这不是我们的错。他希望,过去几年俄美关系的情况不再重演。
U.S.A 美国时间周三,美联储结束了为期两天的议息会议,宣布将维持基准利率目标区间在零至0.25%之间不变,保持每个月1200亿美元资产购买规模不变。
China Beijing Time2021year6month18day9Hour22分,搭载神舟十二号载人飞船的长征二号F遥十二运载火箭,在酒泉卫星发射中心点火发射。
Europe 法国政府规定,如果已经接种了疫苗的民众,进入法国境内就不需要提供“紧迫理由”。目前,法国承认的四款疫苗为辉瑞、强生、莫德纳和阿斯利康,并没有一款中国的疫苗。
3Short term rise and fall direction and target level:
Variety(H4) Trend direction Target bit
EURUSD 日内反弹 ---
XAUUSD 日内反弹 ---
WTI fall ---
EURUSD
chart1,EURUSD 06month18day H4level
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10 RSI
-0.0035 28
short position short position
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:1.2192~1.2091~1.2146, retract hook shape
Hook theory
left dip angle right dip angle
good good good ---
Directionality: Trend thinking
Comprehensive judgment:
短线技术面:跌破下降通道,下降加速,后市看空。但日内存在反弹压力。
Long term macro perspective: United StatesCPIup to5%Expectations of interest rate hikes are heating up,EURUSDIn the long run, it will decline.
XAUUSD
chart2,XAUUSD 06month18day H4level
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10 RSI
-13.55 32
short position short position
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:1902~1844~1869, retract hook shape
Hook theory
left dip angle right dip angle
good good good ---
Directionality: Trend thinking
Comprehensive judgment:
短线技术面:跌破通道线,下降加速,后市看跌。日内存在反弹压力
宏观面:加息预期增强,避险情绪消退,gold承压,远期看空。
USOIL
chart5,USOIL 2021year7Monthly contract,06month18day H4cycle
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10 RSI
-0.34 25
short position short position
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:68.45~70.6~69.26, retract hook shape
Hook theory
left dip angle right dip angle
good good Too large ---
Directionality: Trend thinking
综合判断:突破通道线,且确认有效,日内看跌。
Disclaimer:
1The above analysis only represents the analyst's perspective. There are risks in the foreign exchange market and investment needs to be cautious.
2、ATFXWe will not be responsible for any profit or loss that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on this information.