Zhou Jinrui5.11Will gold continue to rise? Analysis and Operation Suggestions for Futures Gold and Silver Market

View All · Published on 2021-5-11 10:42:51

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　　goldMarket trend analysis

Message analysis: Tuesday（5month11日）现货黄金微跌。金价冲高回落，一度创三个月新高1845.49，因美元贬至约两个月半的低点，以及美股有些疲弱，提供了黄金支撑力。另外，美联储在非农数据公布后料继续维持低利率政策，这也支撑金价的涨势。不过，国债收益率小幅上涨以及欧洲方面陆续解封都限制了金价的涨幅。短线尽管金价连收两根长上影的阳线，不过上方应该还有一定的空间，投资者可以等待低位做多的机会。

　　技术面：随着金价区间逐步走高，整体日线移动平均线呈较为规整向上发散排列，维持较为强劲偏多技术指标形态，当前金价走高逐步接近日线移动平均线200日均线回踩表现，关注短期日线200日均线压力位支撑转换表现。小时线显示，短期金价高位整理周期进一步延长，带来小时线技术指标粘合收窄形态，形成短期技术指标偏震荡趋势指引消化，短期冲高多头疲态或有所显现，日内金价进一步展开震荡走势，较难形成单边波动。

　　今日黄金上方先关注1842-1845区域的阻力，下方先关注1820-1825Area, key support in1809Area; If it breaks down, it will be tested1800关口；建议：黄金回落1820-1825Region first, stop loss1818Look at the target first1835区域，破位持有。黄金反弹1845-1850区域附近受阻做空，止损1855Look at the target first1835-1830，破位持有。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上周金瑞建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方重点关注1850-1855Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1810-1815Frontline support.The market is constantly changing, with more real-time market analysis and timely operational strategies added.Author Zhou Jinrui（zjr8527）Daily market analysis, unwinding strategies, and guidance on medium to long term layout are all included.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis

Analysis of crude oil news: Tuesday（5month11日）美原油小幅下跌，此前重大网络攻击导致美国关键的输油管道关闭，凸显出其石油基础设施的脆弱。总体来看，美国管道关闭在短期提振了油价，但预计管道将于本周恢复，使得油价涨幅受限，美伊关系的进展或将在短期内成为油价走向的关键因素，而印度罕见疾病袭击印度病毒患者，或将为病毒的治疗再添阴霾，将限制油价涨幅，需要谨慎关注印度罕见疾病的发展进程。

　　原油技术面：原油日线阴十字，趋势当前的趋势逐渐走出弱势下跌，日线连续收阴在趋势上价格也只是修正为主，并未构成反转的信号，日线虽是连阴价格但并未出现较大幅度的回撤。连阴回撤幅度暂时不大，从趋势上62.5就是下方的关键支撑，连阴回撤价格只要是站在62.5上方回撤先以修正对待。四小时级别上看，本周收盘行情出现探底回升收盘的结构，周一日内是继续探底回升对待，回撤还是需要先多，支撑短线关注63.9水平个是否有效，进一步下破后空头有望出现延续，进一步考验62.9美元，上方主要阻力位就需要关注65.9美元阻力，然后就是66.8美元阻力。综合来看，今日原油短线操作思路上周金瑞个人建议以低多为主，高空为辅。上方短期重点关注66.5-67.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below63.0-63.5Frontline support.

This article is contributed by Zhou Jinrui. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is personal advice. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only, and I bear the risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting.