黄金走势呈高位震荡整理 欧美盘操作警惕下跌拉盘风险

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goldInformation analysis:

上周五市场呈剧烈震荡洗盘模式，主要源于美国公布的4月非农报告数据大跌眼镜，让整个市场预期重新陷入混乱模式之中。也让此前一度唱起的美联储缩表加息言论直接消失，美债收益率和美指双双领跌，助推非美资产和黄金大幅反弹。不过细思之后，我们也无法排除印度疫情对全球市场风险预期的推动作用，4月非农报告大幅逊于预期到底是偶发因素还是美国今年经济走势的拐点，我们还需更多信息验证，对于市场走势建议持震荡思路看待，大结构基调不宜急于变换。今日周一，晚间美国方面没有安排重要的经济数据发布，重点还是看市场调整，深度消化上周五非农报告走势影响。

This week's focus is on:

Most macro data will be concentrated in the second half of next week, and the United States will release it next WednesdayCPINext Thursday, the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits andPPIRetail sales and industrial production data will be released next Friday. The market will closely monitor next Wednesday's inflation data to understand how price pressure is developing. Due to the Federal Reserve's insistence that any expected inflation in the United States this year will be temporary, the surge in prices will continue the debate about inflation.

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Gold market analysis:

非农数据的大跌预期让整个市场走势结构陷入混轮模式之中。波段走势上，黄金上周五呈横盘放量冲高走势，日内的涨幅主要在美盘出现。从周五凌晨换线到美盘非农报告公布之前，行情走的是横盘震荡调整模式，运行区间1812-1823之间，看似有11美金的调整区间，其实行情大部分时候都是一字横盘趴着，交易机会十分有限。倒是美盘开盘，大幅差于预期的非农报告发布，直接推动了金价拉盘放量上冲1843一带，直接带动了短期的震荡逼空结构继续走向高潮。

非农之后到本周一，行情更像是在收敛整理模式，短期低位始终坚守1830一带，而高位却无法上破1840位置带无法创出新高，旗形整理之下如果连续无法上破，那么回撤杀跌也是必然了。所以，当前的震荡思路无论多空，关注的重点将是如何破位。从结构大势上来看，金价在突破1800关口之后，结构上并未出现像模像样的调整，短期内靠着逼空和数据推动的涨势能走多久，值得商榷，回落调整的风险不可不防。

Pay attention to the upstream aspect first1840-1843Region, the next key level is breakthrough200Daily moving average entry point1851Only a breakthrough has been made1851The price of gold can continue to be tested1855、1860-1864And the double roof formed in the early stage1871-1875and1900Great Pass;

Focus on the downside first1830关口得失，下破看1825-1822/20Region, followed by1817-1812Area, key support in1809Area; If it breaks down, it will be tested1800Gateway;

Reference suggestions for gold operations:

1Gold1838-1840区域附近受阻做空，止损1844Go ahead, let's take a look at the target first1830关口得失，若是下破则看向1825-1822/20Region, followed by1817-1812-1809region

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