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gold消息回顾及技术分析:
Friday(5month7day)As the gold price breaks through1800USD and turn your gaze towards1850美元,黄金有望创下今年以来最大单周涨幅。分析师甚至不排除下周涨向1900美元的可能性,他们以通胀担忧和美元走软为理由。金价本周上涨逾70美元,升至1840美元上方。在此之前,市场在1800美元下方盘整了两个多月。
不断上升的通胀预期也加速了本周金价的走高。我们交易整个大宗商品板块,过去几个月,黄金和白银与该领域的其他商品相比,实际上没有多大变动。现在,随着逢低吸纳的到来,我们开始突破这一趋势。出于对通胀的担忧,有人希望做多大宗商品。
5month10day-5month16日当周,美国方面将公布一系列重要的数据,包括4monthCPI、PPI、零售销售、初请、EIA库存等,欧洲方面将公布经济景气指数及投资者信心指数,另外还有英国GDPAnd ChinaCPIData released.crude oil市场还将有欧佩克月度报告及EIA能源展望报告。除此之外,美联储官员及英国央行行长贝利都将出来讲话。
周五,现货黄金收报1830.78dollar/Ounces, up16.22USD or0.89%Touched at one point in the session2month11The highest level since the beginning of the day1843.26dollar/盎司。本周,现货黄金累计上涨62.06USD or3.51%, become2020year11The best week since the beginning of the month.
指标分析,本周黄金展开1677以来的第三波上涨浪,大阳线突破1800并在非农夜最高冲击到1843。谢鸿远认为下周黄金会往下逐步测试1810、1797乃至更低的1780,主要原因有三个:首先是1756以来的第三波上涨浪回调需求;其次是突破1800关口后还没有回踩;
最后是完成三波上涨浪后较大概率展开回调,需要从1677拉斐波那契回调线到高点进行测算。
Analysis of crude oil market trend:
技术面来看,原油从盘面上看,日线收上影线的中阴线,形成2The pattern of continuous yin is slightly stronger in this pullback, but it has not formed a pattern of yin swallowing yang. There has been a trend change in space, but in reality, the daily distribution belt continues to open upwards, showing a fluctuating upward trend in recent times,KThe line runs along the upward trend line,k线保持在日线单边均线之上发展,日线周期内的走势还是多头。
Reference for crude oil operation strategy:
Empty order strategy:
原油早盘上方65.7-65.9Short selling nearby(Buy down), two tenths of a position, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target65.0-64.5Nearby; Dislocation64.0Nearby. (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)
Multi order strategy:
Below the crude oil pullback63.8-64.0Nearby long (buy up), 2/10 positions, stop loss0.5USD, target65.0-65.5Nearby; Dislocation66.0Nearby. (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)
4On the hour line,KThe line continues to close at a high level and close at a low level66.7美元的高位后,反弹高点不断下移,局部形成头肩形态,虽然整体的上行通道没有被破坏,是时间换空间的走法,整体依然偏强,但还是需要谨防高位回落引发深度回调。综合来看,油价连续冲高之后,短期迎来修正调整,所以原油下周一操作思路上谢鸿远建议以反弹高空为主,回调低多为辅,上方关注65.8-66.0One line of resistance, pay attention below63.8-63.3Frontline support.
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