Xie Hongyuan:5.8Analysis and prediction of the trend of gold next week, suggestions and analysis of gold operations

Friday(5month7day)In the European market, the latest employment data released by the United States shows that,4Non-agricultural employment increased in the month22.6Ten thousand, much lower than expected increase99.8万，这引发了市场巨震：美元跌势加剧，gold最高上攻至1840Gateway.

U.S.A4月非农就业数据差得让人震惊，非农就业人数仅增长26.6万，失业率达6.1%，收入增长0.7%。这一切说明低技能就业岗位缺乏增长。考虑到过去两月人数还下修了7.8Ten thousand,4月数字就格外疲软。对美联储收缩购债计划的预测应该会降温一段时间。

在美国非农远低于市场预期之后，美元遭遇大幅抛售，连续第三个交易日回落，最低创下2month26The low point of the day90.33。由于美国非农远低于预期，10年期美国国债收益率回调至1.50%下方，上次触及该区域是再3月初，美元跟随国债收益率下行。

在美国非农数据之后，市场眼下聚焦美国总统拜登的记者会。有分析指出，预计今晚拜登将表示，今晚疲软的就业报告证明了为何需要在3月推出1.9万亿的疫情援助法案以及为何政府需要继续推进4万亿美元的长期经济计划。

Overall, as gold prices break through the Bollinger Bands and enter the upper bound1831-1842Regional and market sentiment is bullish, but given the significant short-term increase in gold prices and the fact that they have not yet broken through1842Nearby resistance,KDJThe random indicators are further approaching the overbought area, and at the same time, it is necessary to be vigilant about the rebound of trading during the rise of gold prices, providing initial support for the upward trajectory of the Bollinger Bands1821and1959-1677Interval50%Retreat position1818For further support, focus on daily lows1812If it unexpectedly breaks down, the short-term bullish signal will be weakened, and the gold price may return to a new direction1800Seeking support at the critical juncture. Xie Hongyuan suggests paying attention to the resistance above in terms of operation1840-1842First line, support attention from below1825-1827Frontline, breaking through and following1812-1818frontline.

下周黄金操作策略：反弹1840-1842Short on the front line, stop loss1849, Objective1825-1827一线，颇为看1818frontline;

crude oil基本面与技术面解读

油价周五小幅上涨，尽管印度新冠危机恶化，在对全球经济复苏持乐观态度的背景下，油价周线连续第二周上涨；美油和布油本周均上涨超过1%，为连续第二周上涨，因美国和欧洲放松行动限制，恢复工厂运营，以及接种疫苗为燃料需求的复苏铺平了道路；数据显示，中国4月出口意外加速增长，民间调查亦显示服务业活动强劲扩张；不过，中国4月进口原油同比下降0.2%to4,036万吨，这是自12月以来的最低进口量；谢鸿远认为本周，布油差一点突破70dollar/桶，但最终未能突破这个关口，因需求不确定性造成拖累；美国4月就业增长出人意料地放缓，可能在公共卫生状况迅速改善和大规模政府援助提振经济复苏、推动需求急升之际，受到了工人和原材料短缺的制约；能源服务公司贝克休斯表示，美国活跃石油和天然气钻机数本周增加八座，至448Seat2020year4月以来最多；自去年8月触及纪录低位以来，随着油价回升，活跃钻机数也一直在温和增长；这是衡量未来产量的一个早期指标。

　　下周走势分析：日线收上影线的中阴线，形成2The pattern of continuous yin is slightly stronger in this pullback, but it has not formed a pattern of yin swallowing yang. There has been a trend change in space, but in reality, the daily distribution belt continues to open upwards, showing a fluctuating upward trend in recent times,KThe line runs along the upward trend line,k线保持在日线单边均线之上发展，日线周期内的走势还是多头。4On the hour line,KThe line continues to close at a high level and close at a low level66.7美元的高位后，反弹高点不断下移，局部形成头肩形态，虽然整体的上行通道没有被破坏，是时间换空间的走法，整体依然偏强，但还是需要谨防高位回落引发深度回调。综合来看，油价连续冲高之后，短期迎来修正调整，所以下周操作上谢鸿远建议上方关注66.-66.5One line of resistance, pay attention below63.5-63Frontline support