4.30Today's weekly and monthly reports have come to an end, and the gold and crude oil market is experiencing turbulent undercurrents...

Preface: Hello all investment friends! I am Li Xiaohan, who is still active in the market. Some people, due to greed, want more things but lose everything they have now. Greedy hearts are like barren fields in the desert, absorbing all rainwater but not breeding plants for the convenience of others. Stay away when you can't see clearly, learn to be calm, don't hesitate when you understand, and learn to affirm yourself. If your funds are still shrinking, please find the reason why/Dan or Tao/Single, in addition to losses or losses, please be sure to contact us/Tied to Li Xiaohan, even if we lose everything, there is at least one expectation waiting for you. I believe success can start from our acquaintance!

Accurate strategy, market to verify! I always say that there is no unprofitable market, the key is to grasp the trend of the market, and the key is to control the points! It is obvious that Li Xiaohan has this strength! In investment, professional matters still require professional guidance. If you have the funds, I have the strength, and cooperation can lead to mutual benefit! Without further ado, Li Xiaohan has already provided the current price point in the article. As for whether to follow or not, the choice lies with you. Next, Li Xiaohan will analyze today's detailed market situation for everyone:

　　goldPrice fluctuation analysis:

News: Previously, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged as expected and the monthly bond purchase scale unchanged. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell strengthened the message that the pace of bond purchases has not yet begun to slow down. At the same time, he stated that the path of economic development will largely depend on the evolution of global public health events, including progress in vaccination, and there are still risks to the economic outlook. The market believes that Powell's speech has a strong dove like connotation, which has affected the US dollar to hit a new low and gold to bottom out and rebound.

In terms of data, the United States3Monthly merchandise trade deficit from2Of871Expanding to 100 million US dollars906Billion US dollars, setting a new record. Among them, import growth6.8%, to2,326Billion US dollars, reaching a record high; Export climb8.7%, to1,420Billion US dollars, also creating2018The highest level since the beginning of the year. Overall, the United States3The total monthly import and export volume skyrocketed to3,477One billion US dollars indicates a state of recovery in the global economy. The continuous improvement of economic data may exert some pressure on gold bulls.

Technical aspect: Gold rose at the beginning of the overnight Asian market and hit the1797.7After reaching a new high, there was a short-term decline, and in the European and American markets, gold expanded its decline and fell below1780First line support, lowest touch1777, ultimately closing at1780Nearby, the daily line recorded a solid negative line. Weak rebound, bulls being suppressed! Gold opens for adjustment, Thursday's US session1780The key support has been broken, the market has turned down, and the trend is extremely weak,1790The backhand is empty! Strong to weak conversion,1780Seen as a divide between long and short, breaking it means breaking it, breaking the limit and turning down! Stepwise oscillation and decline, and yesterday1775Support, weak drop and break point will change the mid-term trend! The future market may fall to1760Below! In an extremely weak situation, only following the trend is the king's way! The gold price failed to break above the trend line and38.2%Retreat position1800The nearby resistance means that gold may break free from the constraints of the recent upward channel or start a new downward trend.

Gold prices have strongly broken through the trend line above and38.2%Retreat position1784Nearby resistance, which means gold may break free from last year8The constraints of the downward channel since the beginning of the month may trigger a new wave of upward trend. At present, the initial focus on the resistance above is1800If we can break through in the future1800On the first line, investors can continue to wait for further gains,50%Retreat position1818It will be the next resistance level, and further attention can be paid to it1850Important resistance in the area. Li Xiaohan believes that it is necessary to be vigilant against the decline of gold prices below1784Pass, if unable to stand firm1784On the first line, gold prices may repeat themselves1At the beginning of the month, despite standing above the trend line, gold prices quickly fell back into the channel. Further attention11month30Daily low1764And then23.6%Retreat position1743Frontline support. Overall, Li Xiaohan suggests that the short-term operation of gold today should focus on a pullback to the low end, supplemented by a rebound to the high end, with a focus on short-term operations above1790-1797Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1758-1753Frontline support. Li Xiaohan's Only Guidance Micro/Letter:lxhq281 Welcome to the platform for consultation, real-time strategy guidance, and market exchange and discussion!

　　crude oilPrice fluctuation analysis:

News: Another major uncertainty facing oil prices is that the parties involved in the Iran nuclear agreement are discussing the prospects for the United States to return to the agreement. If the United States and Iran jointly resume compliance with the Iran nuclear agreement, the United States may lift sanctions on Iran, and Iran will provide more crude oil to the global market.

Overall,EIAThe positive inventory data and optimistic demand expectations provide some upward momentum for oil prices, and institutions are optimistic that oil prices will hit a barrel in the next six months80The US dollar cannot be ignored, but the impact of the Indian pandemic may seriously affect demand. In addition, the Iran nuclear negotiations are also a focus of recent attention. If the US lifts sanctions on Iran, Iran will provide more crude oil to the global market, which may further drag down oil prices.

Technically speaking, on a daily basis, the market continued to rise and closed on a positive line on Wednesday. Oil prices showed a trend of low opening and high going, with high prices breaking the previous high and low prices not breaking the previous low. There was an emerging trend, with a large positive line included, further breaking through the resistance level of the previous volatile platform and rising,ma10Upper dressingMA30Forming a golden fork and diverging upwards, the market once again stands above the previous adjustment box, showing a bullish trend overall, and the short-term oil price is expected to continue to rise.

　　4hourkThe line simultaneously steps on the middle track of the Bollinger belt and50The moving average has risen, the Dayang Line has been strongly pulled up, and the Bollinger Belt track has significantly tilted upwards. The opening continues to increase, with a clear upward tilt. The hourly line shows a clear bullish trend. Overall, after confirming the bottom at the beginning of the week, crude oil has basically recovered from last week's decline and is currently showing a trend of double bottoms and breaking upwards. Therefore, in terms of crude oil operation strategy today, Li Xiaohan suggests that the main focus should be on a pullback to lower levels, supplemented by a rebound to higher levels, and the short-term focus should be on the above65.5-66.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below62.5-63.0Frontline support. Li Xiaohan's Only Guidance Micro/Letter:lxhq281 Welcome to the platform for consultation, real-time strategy guidance, and market exchange and discussion!

Li Xiaohan's message: We all know that long-term trading is the most profitable way, but why can't the vast majority of people take advantage of long-term trading? That's because first, the long-term test of human nature is too great. As I once said, forcibly distorting human nature cannot last long. Smart people should find a way that suits them. The second point is that there should be strong psychological support in the long term, and where does this psychological support come from? It's impossible to rely on ideas.

We know that transactions require reasons, either technical reasons or fundamental reasons. Without fundamentals as a backing, relying solely on technology is not enough to become a professional trader with the psychological support to resist long-term fluctuations. So, those who can't hold onto the list don't need to be upset because they can't hold onto the list. You just need to hold onto the list within your own tolerance.

After many people make a profit and exit, the market does not reverse, but continues to move forward, they will be very depressed and feel that they have made less money. It is precisely because of this despondent mentality that they will once again chase up and down, or even touch the top to copy the bottom. The way people think is not the way they win.

This article is written by Li Xiaohan (micro\Letter:lxhq281）Exclusive and original by an analyst. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online posts, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source of the reprint.