ATFXEarly review0429: Euro, gold, crude oil, short-termH4analysis

Trends and points:


Latest news:
Federal Reserve        美联储将致力于使用全方位的措施来支持美国经济，包括将联邦基金利率保持在0%to0.25%，并将继续每月增持至少800亿美元的美国国债和每月至少400亿美元的机构抵押贷款支持证券，直到在实现最大就业和价格稳定目标方面取得实质性进展。
European Central Bank        欧洲央行管理委员会成员Mario Centeno在国际和欧洲事务研究所组织的网络研讨会上表示：“在通胀率持续低迷的情况下，预计将保持非常宽松的货币政策。”
OPEC+        OPEC+The Joint Ministerial Supervisory Committee recommends maintaining the production policy unchanged, starting from5month1Relaxing the reduction of oil production from the next ministerial meeting6At the beginning of the month. Both Saudi Arabia and Russia have stated that maintaining optimistic expectations for oil demand growth this year requires continued monitoring of virus transmission in Asia.



EURUSD

chart1，EURUSD 04month29day H4level
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10        RSI
0.0015        81
long position        Overbought
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:1.2102~1.2055~Market price
Hook theory
left        dip angle        right        dip angle
commonly        good        Continuous        ---
Directionality: oscillatory thinking
综合判断：美联储利率决议导致昨日大涨，今日回调概率较高，围绕1.2102展开震荡。


USDJPY

chart2，USDJPY 04month29day H4level
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10        RSI
0.0064        42
Weak bull        neutral
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:107.63~109.06~Market price
Hook theory
left        dip angle        right        dip angle
good        good        good        ---
Directionality: Trend thinking
综合判断：回调结束之后继续上涨，目标位109.06。


GBPUSD

chart3，GBPUSD  04month29day H4level
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10        RSI
0.0017        73
long position        long position
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest Hook1.3715~1.4008~1.3822, retract hook shape
Hook theory
left        dip angle        right        dip angle
good        good        Too large        ---
Directionality: oscillatory thinking
Comprehensive judgment: Upward hit1.4008The probability is high.


XAUUSD

chart4，XAUUSD 04month29day H4level
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10        RSI
2.74        70
long position        long position
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:1763~1797~1762, retract hook shape
Hook theory
left        dip angle        right        dip angle
Slightly smaller        commonly        Too large        ---
Directionality: oscillatory thinking
Comprehensive judgment: Upward hit1797The probability is high.


USOIL

chart5，USOIL 2021year6Monthly contract,04month29day  H4cycle
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10        RSI
0.3893        77
long position        long position
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:64.34~~60.59~Market price
Hook theory
left        dip angle        right        dip angle
good        good        Too large        ---
Directionality: oscillatory thinking
Comprehensive judgment: Upward hit64.34High probability (long-term goal).

EIAInventory (previous period)        EIAInventory (latest)
453510000 barrels        460710000 barrels
Inventory increase, bearishcrude oil

Disclaimer:
1The above analysis only represents the analyst's perspective. There are risks in the foreign exchange market and investment needs to be cautious.
2、ATFXWe will not be responsible for any profit or loss that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on this information.