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Preface: To achieve investment success in a lifetime, one does not need exceptional intelligence, extraordinary business foresight, or insider information. Instead, one needs a more comprehensive knowledge framework that can help oneself make decisions, and the ability to eliminate emotional interference. I just want to say one thing to myself and all traders: Don't work hard to make money, learn to let money work hard for you! If it weren't for investment, I wouldn't have known I was so diligent; If it weren't for investment, I wouldn't know how persistent I am; If it weren't for investment, I might not understand why I still have such a clear love hate relationship. Investment allows us to understand the world, and investment also allows us to recognize ourselves. Investment makes us rich, and investment makes us mature. Don't give up hope for spring just because winter is coming; Don't doubt your adherence to investment just because most people speculate; Don't stop pursuing truth and value just because it's false and expensive. Life is exciting due to differences, and investment is outstanding due to independence.
Every time I write an analysis, I always hope to see friends who can gain something. In this market, under calm performance, the dark waves are actually surging, and many investment friends enter rashly, often covered in bruises. Every day, friends come to me and seek help. I hope I can help more people, just like my own positioning for this job is service. People are mutual, and trust is the beginning of cooperation. If you are confused or confused on the investment path, you can talk to Xiaohan. Perhaps this will make your investment journey much easier.!!! I, Li Xiaohan, will always be there and have a heart to help everyone, but if you don't even reach out, how can I help you? (Free group entry experience, provided daily3-5Single)
goldTrend analysis:
Monday(4month26day)欧市盘中,全球市场风险情绪偏向温和,欧美股市涨跌互现,投资者静候本周超级事件(FOMC决议、鲍威尔记者会、美国总统拜登国会联席会议演讲、美国一季度GDPInitial valuePCE物价指数等);汇市方面,美元指数整体仍然承压,徘徊于91关口下方附近,早前最低曾下探至90.68;欧元/美元小幅承压,最低跌至1.20789;现货黄金震荡于1780关口左右。分析指出,在超级周的重磅事件来临之前,投资者还是偏向谨慎。
除此之外,印度新冠肺炎疫情的形势也值得关注!小心疫情形势的进一步恶化,可能冲击全球经济的复苏前景……最新数据显示,印度周一连续第五天刷新全球单日新冠病例纪录,过去24小时新增死亡病例数也创下历史新高。
周线结构上看,黄金上方20Weekly moving average1800还是有很大的压制作用的,如果此压突破,那么黄金中周期的技术结构可能将发生改变,甚至可能逆转周线级别的下跌趋势,不过目前行情在连续放阳又面临承压时,很显然技术上的调整需求会有所加强。本周上方继续着重关注20Weekly moving average1800压力测试,下方关注5、10Weekly moving average1760、1745附近支撑测试,倘若行情跌回到5、10周均线下,那么无疑技术上是要转弱势下跌的。
日线结构上,上周行情延续上升通道运行,短线波段回升基本运行至末端,加之上方1800整数位承压,后半周行情出现回修调整,跌回5日线下方,目前整体尚且处在短线调整趋势中,但下方10日线以及通道下沿1770附近可能会提供一定的支撑作用,如果此位失守,则行情有望回撤20、60Daily line1760-50区域,而这样的走势反倒是我们此前一直期待的回撤关键支撑位。本周初上方关注5Daily line1783附近短压测试,预期短线行情可能会有回弹,但是技术上回弹动能不会很强,行情暂先保持修正震荡概率较大。
4小时线结构上,黄金1798高位见顶回落,跌破中轨和Ma均线震荡回落,短线有跌破下轨的趋势,Ma空头排列,macd死叉运行,行情震荡偏空,重点关注上周低点1764and1760关口支撑,小时线黄金冲高回落于上轨承压,当前价格跌破下轨走低,Ma空头排列,macd金叉转为死叉开口,短线行情震荡偏空,不过下方依然有较强的买盘支撑,谨慎追空,在没有跌破1760之前,依然保持看涨思路不变,上方关注1780/1783阻力,可背靠此区域做空,下方关注1763/1760支撑,测试这个区域可做多,区间暂定在1760-1784内。而本周美联储利率决定将公布,或将会给美元带来走势方向,届时也将影响到黄金方向的选择,所以综合来看:反弹1783-1785阻力位置不破做空,下方关注1769-1773位置的支撑,回落不破此位置反手做多。若跌破1769位置,反抽1773Short selling nearby, looking at the target1760附近再反手做多。李潇翰官微:lxhq281Get guidance quota!
现货白银走势分析:
上周白银冲高回落显示27附近压力明显,多次提及在上涨行情里同时企稳,白银涨幅大走势,可是如下跌那么及时不要参与做多白银,目前看白银今日再次考验25.4区域得失,如果这里失守再次回到24.6reach23.8区域横盘整理,那么今日就是两手准备,那就是第一次25.4附近看到企稳择机短多,如果破位那就是等24.8附近再说,既然上涨动能衰退说明26.8上压力明显,那么反弹顺势参与短空目前压力下移26.5区域。综合上述操作思路如下:压力:26.5-----27.3Support:25.4-----24.8。李潇翰官微:lxhq281Get guidance quota!
crude oilTrend analysis:
原油继续下跌,跌幅一度超2%,国信futures认为,随着经济增长和封锁缓解,美国和欧洲的石油需求有望复苏,国际油价继续上涨,但对印度和日本新冠病毒肺炎病例增加而加强封锁的担忧抑制了油价涨幅。印度疫情恶化,日本实行新的防控封锁都引发对这几个世界石油进口大国需求复苏的担忧。市场继续关注美国与伊朗就重启2015年核协议的谈判,如果取得进展,伊朗将可能每日增加100-200万桶的原油供应量。OPEC+5-7月份将逐步增产,供应端对原油价格也有比较大的压力。
周线macd高位金叉缩量粘合运行,价格没有上行的动能,属于高位震荡走势。而上方压制在抛物转向线点66.2一线,不过随开盘将继续下移至65.5-8附近。原油周线目前上方比较明显的压制在64.7下方。日线目前macd金叉零轴附近震荡,灵动指标sto快速向下修复,指标显示短期原油震荡。但是蜡烛图在中轨和均线MA60上方运行,因此日线还是震荡偏强。目前支撑在60.3-60.7,不过支撑会随着价格上涨而升高。
4小时目前就比较明显;指标macd金叉开口放量,灵动指标sto勾头向上修复,所以4小时明显多头格局。而4小时目前布林带三轨极度缩口压缩,短期冲破阻力后会再一次冲高。小时线还是震荡走势。综合来看,今日原油短线操作思路上李潇翰个人建议以高空为主,低多为辅。上方短期重点关注63.5-64.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below59.5-60.0一线支撑。文章具有实效性如需获取李潇翰实时策略见篇尾可添加本人微。李潇翰官微:lxhq281Get guidance quota!
=====Li Xiaohan's team's investment risk management=====
Step 1: Clarify goals. The so-called clear goals refer to planning the amount of funds you plan to invest in gold and crude oil trading, how much profit you can earn, and the approximate range of losses you can bear. Only through these basic goals can you make a reasonable fund management plan. However, we also need to remind the general publicforeign exchangeInvestors, although foreign exchange is a low-cost and high-yield investment with a hundred times leverage to gain, they should also pay attention to cost control and avoid frequent transactions that increase costs.
Step 2: Plan the steps, such as what trading mode to use to gain profits, whether you are good at frequent short-term trading or prefer a long-term fishing model to make orders, how much trading to stop every day, how much money to withdraw from the market when losing, and how much money to close positions when earning, all of which need to be well planned.
Step 3: Test the plan. No matter how perfect the theory is, it cannot be determined whether it is effective without combining it with practice. After roughly formulating your trading strategy, you can use the mini account provided by the platform to test whether the formulated strategy is available and see if it can bring stable profits to yourself.
Step 4: Strictly implement. This step is the core of the entire plan, and the losses caused by any random operation can be fatal,Foreign exchange transactionsUnable to withstand any deviation. Planned trading is necessary to better control risks, accurately follow market trends, and achieve profits. Investment carries risks, and caution is necessary when entering the market!
Because of our profession, we are ahead, without any deceit or deceit, and only have a sincere heart; There is no 100% accuracy, only stable profitability; Don't be a hindsight, let every profit truly and truly make you feel and benefit from it. If I can't find you all the time, then I can only stand in the most prominent place and let you find me. Li Xiaohan focuses on analyzing spot gold and silver goldT+D、美原油、伦敦金、外汇黄金原油等金融理财投资产品。专业团队在线分析,一对一即时指导,为投资者规避风险,扩大利润,让各位随时随地第一时间知道国际市场动向,做最稳健的单子。合作只是起点,服务没有终点!
This article is dedicated to new and old friends struggling in the market,I don't have much technical knowledge, let alone basic knowledge. I only hope that everyone can establish their own trading system, so that they can have a clear direction no matter where they are, not so confused, and achieve your dreams. In this article, I will provide you with some suggestions based on my experience, and I hope you can go on the road of Gold as an investment relatively smoothly.
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