Wang Tianbao:4.23-24黄金原油下周行情策略分析，白银现价短线...

　　跳舞在于节奏的把握，而行情却在于方向的拿捏，一个不懂音乐的人是没办法跳出优美的舞，而一个没有节奏感的人是不可能跟得上市场的步子，乱了步子的舞者，受罪的是伴舞，而乱了方向的交易，受罪的却是资金，永远不要因为你想让市场如何走，就怎么做，而是市场怎么做，你将怎么样，这里不需要改变或者幻想，谁破坏了规矩谁就要受到惩罚。

　　goldLatest Market Analysis

Friday（4month23日）亚洲时段，现货黄金报价1786Nearby. Thursday（4month22日）金价自两个月高位回落0.55%，因强劲的初请数据提振美元走强，削弱了黄金的吸引力。欧洲央行的表态也令欧元承压下跌，进一步支撑了美元。不过，拜登拟*超高资本利得税的消息重创了股市，这限制了金价的跌势，疫情激增及消费需求的火爆也有望继续支撑金价上涨。黄金价格震荡伺机而动，正处于1783美元附近横向整理。欧洲央行宣布维持利率不变，行长拉加德重申宽松政策，但美债收益率着美元走高，目前双双都转而呈现疲软姿态。美国初请失业人数低于预期，对美元没有发挥任何效用。日内主要关注欧美各国制造业PMI数据。美国4monthPMI可能继续小幅上涨，或将小幅利空金价。

　　黄金技术面分析：现货黄金隔夜亚市盘初开盘上涨，并在触及1797.7After reaching a new high, there was a short-term decline, and in the European and American markets, gold expanded its decline and fell below1780First line support, lowest touch1777, ultimately closing at1780Nearby, the daily line recorded a solid negative line. Weak rebound, bulls being suppressed! Gold opens for adjustment, Thursday's US session1780The key support has been broken, the market has turned down, and the trend is extremely weak,1790The backhand is empty! Strong to weak conversion,1780Seen as a divide between long and short, breaking it means breaking it, breaking the limit and turning down! Stepwise oscillation and decline, and yesterday1775Support, weak drop and break point will change the mid-term trend! The future market may fall to1760Below! In an extremely weak situation, only following the trend is the king's way! The gold price failed to break above the trend line and38.2%Retreat position1800The nearby resistance means that gold may break free from the constraints of the recent upward channel or start a new downward trend.

Gold prices have strongly broken through the trend line above and38.2%Retreat position1784Nearby resistance, which means gold may break free from last year8The constraints of the downward channel since the beginning of the month may trigger a new wave of upward trend. At present, the initial focus on the resistance above is1800If we can break through in the future1800On the first line, investors can continue to wait for further gains,50%Retreat position1818It will be the next resistance level, and further attention can be paid to it1850一带的重要阻力。王添宝认为下方需警惕金价跌落1784Pass, if unable to stand firm1784On the first line, gold prices may repeat themselves1At the beginning of the month, despite standing above the trend line, gold prices quickly fell back into the channel. Further attention11month30Daily low1764And then23.6%Retreat position1743一线支撑。综合来看，黄金今日短线操作思路上王添宝建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1800-1805Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1765-1770Frontline support.

Gold and SilverTDquotations analysis

GoldTD：黄金在回撤371Daily lineMa10Get support and rebound nearby, and break through again374Strong position, dailyKThe line represents a positive column, running inMa5/10Above the moving average,macdGolden cross operation, crossing the zero axis on the fast and slow lines, and increasing volume, overall in a bullish trend. Currently, gold is371-376区间呈现震荡偏强走势，操作上可在区间内高沽低渣操作。四小时，黄金冲高回落，测试中轨企稳反弹，下方支撑上移，macdGolden fork halo,KIn the upward channel of line operation, in the355After bottoming out nearby, there is a ladder upward trend, indicating that gold is breaking through and stabilizing370多空分界线后行情转强。王添宝建议回撤370Long nearby, stop loss367, look at the goal375/376Above378Short selling, stop loss379, look at the goal373/372.

SilverTD：白银保持在5330-5450The consolidation of interval fluctuations, with multiple highs and lows in the session, indicates that there is still strong resistance suppression above. In the short termMa10The moving average has gained support, and all indicators remain bullish overall,macd金叉运行，行情依然处于修正反弹走势中，短期关注区间破位，在未破位前可在区间内高沽低渣操作。王添宝建议回撤5250/30Long nearby, stop loss5200, look at the goal5430/5450Test above5465Short selling, stop loss5490, look at the goal5370/5340。

　　crude oilLatest Market Analysis

Friday（4month23日）亚洲时段，美原油微涨，报61.85dollar/桶，油价周四小幅上涨，对利比亚原油产量下降的担忧，抵消了印度和日本新冠病例上升将导致能源需求下降的预期。国际油价周三延续前一交易日自逾一个月高点大幅回落走势，连续第二天大幅下挫，因市场担忧全球第三大石油进口国印度和第四大石油消费国日本新冠肺炎病例飙升将压低燃料需求，同时美国原油库存意外增加，以及美国基础设施支出法案谈判陷入僵局和美伊就2015年核协议取得进展，都打压了油价。截止美国收盘，美国WTIcrude oil6monthfuturesClosing down1.22USD, or1.96%Report61.10dollar/Bucket, highest reach62.54dollar/Bucket, lowest drop to60.85dollar/bucket;Brent crude oil6Monthly futures closed lower1.26USD, or1.9%Report65.01dollar/Bucket, highest touch in tray66.49dollar/Bucket, lowest drop to64.92dollar/Bucket.

　　原油技术面来看，隔夜油价扩大跌幅，最低触及60.8美元一线。原油昨日开盘即慢性，惯性探高64.36After the first line of pressure, it fell back, and during the late trading period, it was measured back to61.50Low, breaking the previous low point of horizontal consolidation62.60.At the same time, closing at a low level, the daily yield was mid negativeKLine. There is a large amount of space for the hour chart to retract, and it is broken down62.60后收盘在此位之下，使得小周期上行量能不足，回踩后没能快速收复；4On the hour chart,2A large Yin pillar directly passes from the upper rail to the lower rail of the Bollinger Belt, driving it to turn downwards. CurrentlyK线阴阳循环，但是高点不断下移，MACD绿色能量柱二次放量，预计空头还将延续。经过2个交易日的大幅回撤，多头严重削弱，今日短线可能会先延续一波回落，依托62.60做阻力先走回落，所以今日原油操作思路上王添宝建议先以高空为主！上方关注63.0-63.5One line of resistance, pay attention below60.0-59.5Frontline support.

　　本文作者/Wang Tianbao