Xie Hongyuan:4.22-4.23黄金原油走势如何，附分析及操作建议

internationalcrude oilMarket trend analysis:

Thursday(4month22day)，国际油价连续第三日走软，因美国原油库存意外增加，且印度和日本新冠病例再次激增，引发对全球经济复苏及燃料需求可能停滞的担忧。分析师说：“本周稍早，油市短暂上扬，受利比亚出口遭遇不可抗力的消息影响，但对亚洲疫情加剧的担忧现在改过了利比亚消息的影响。”因美国原油库存意外增加，且印度和日本新冠病例再次激增，引发对全球经济复苏及燃料需求可能放缓的担忧。由于越来越担心印度和日本的病例数量激增将减缓亚洲燃料需求的回升，本周油价一直承压。EIA的周度数据显示美国库存上升，进一步打击了市场情绪。国际原油收盘价格变化不大，目前国内原油变化率处于正值低位，汽柴油需求持续向好，市场基本面存有一定支撑，预计后期成品油价格或将仍有小幅上涨区间。印度疫情爆发目前对市场冲击有限，但会拖累全球石油需求复苏的节奏。

原油从技术面来看，油价周三一度上冲至62.56，不过受到50%Retreat position62.62的阻拦，随后快速回落至38.2%Retreat position61.35下方，并创下一周新低。周四延续此前跌势，KLine in61.35附近承压。短线下行的概率稍大，油价存在回踩23.6%Retreat position59.78的可能。不过，倘若油价日内能收复61.35一线，多头仍有扭转短线颓势的可能。谢鸿远认为若突破61.35Looking towards further resistance62.62as well as61.8%Retreat position63.89。行情若继续下行，初步支撑看向59.78Further attention58.86附近的支撑，此前多根K线在这一水平受到阻力或支撑，再进一步关注3month23Daily low57.25。 Overall, in terms of short-term operation strategy today, Xie Hongyuan suggests that the main focus should be on a pullback to lower levels, supplemented by a rebound to higher levels, with a focus on short-term operations above64.5-65Resistance, short-term focus below59.5-60Frontline support.

goldTechnical analysis:

周线从周KOn the line, the support below the gold price is stable, and bulls have been able to stop in recent weeks8The decline since the beginning of the month is expected to usher in a wave of rebound. Preliminary resistance above50%Retreat position1763Nearby. A long-term upward trend line is particularly important. If trading above this line can continue, the long-term market is expected to experience a reversal

日线周二金价触底反弹收涨，不过仍然受制于上方趋势线的压力，不过随着周三金价在亚洲时段继续上涨，日内有望突破去年八月以来的下行通道。短线来看，MACD金叉，布林线中轨拐头向上，金价在双底打下的基础上快速上行，多头明显占据盘面优势，需警惕的是基本面避险情绪改善，导致多头高位获利离场。乐观地看，日内若能直接顶破4month19Daily high1790一线，金价有望重开新一轮涨势，中长线弱势的格局也有望得到扭转。若如此，上方可以继续关注1800一线的心理阻力位，然后是1676-1959section50%Retreat position1818一线的阻力，进一步关注1451-2075section38.2%Retreat position1837。下方初步支撑可以关注5Daily moving average1775Further attention4month8Daily high1758附近的支撑，以及1676-1959section23.6%Retreat position1743。

黄金开盘后回落1776Nearby, explore on the rebound1797Nearby, closing1793Nearby, Gold Radical1801Empty Look1790and1780Nearby, steady1816Empty Look1808and1790Nearby, or1785Look more1796and1810Nearby, steady1766Look more1779and1798Nearby, please refer to the real-time location for specific orders

综合来看：反弹做空为主，可上方需要关注1770Resistance, attention from below1670nearby

Suggestions for Gold Operations:

1Suggest using1799-1801Consider short selling and stop loss nearby5US dollars, look at the target1787-1760Near USD;

　　2Suggest using1778-1780Consider going long and stopping losses nearby5US dollars, look at the target1795-1810Near USD;