Xiao Yikun:4.21黄金目前上涨无力突破 今日谨防黄金向下破位...

What kind of market is the most difficult to do? Although the market was on the rise, I couldn't muster the courage to keep up with the pace. After struggling to keep up, the result was a bullish market and another loss in orders! Always missing out on your profits in the midst of repeated hesitation and hesitation, except for a sigh, nothing has changed, speculationgoldThe loss book still has a capital negative sign stimulating you. Perhaps God also has a day of favor. A wave of market correction has given you an opportunity, but is the correction a reversal of the market? No matter how the spot gold market moves, there is always a reason to stop you. It seems like this is always the case. The market always likes to joke with you, always leading you by the nose, and you are always chasing its footsteps, but you always cannot catch up. You are hurt time and time again by it, and in the end, you are covered in bruises and have to withdraw from this market.

But upon closer examination, is it really like this? In trading, perhaps you have also experienced the worst process, but ultimately, you will meet the best version of yourself. When it's difficult, don't say it's difficult, and when it's painful, don't say it's hard. The truth is that things will turn around when they reach the extreme. As you get harder, you get closer and closer to good. The psychological torment of ups and downs, the regret of being trapped, and the worst is to be ruthless in cutting, but the most terrifying thing is the lack of courage to start over again. We trade to make money. One failure does not mean another failure. Since you do not understand, I will teach you. As long as you are willing to take that step forward, Xiao Yikun will lead you back to life. If you're listening, let's talk about the future market situation.

　　

Gold trend analysis:

　　从日线结构来看，昨日黄金回撤5日线即止步下调，日线级别均线保持多头状态，这给短线回升提供了一定的技术支持，未来短期行情或有上攻上方整数位1800压力，此位也是日线级别上涨通道的上沿压力。而触发黄金回升的动能可能来源于市场炒作美债收益率走低的问题，以及炒作对全球疫情的担忧情绪，这些利多因素都是非常不可控的，而当前美元在连续半个多月的阴跌后，昨日也出现一定的止跌迹象，未来美元如果展开技术性回弹，又势必会打压黄金上涨势头，所以当前黄金的走势虽然存在看涨，但还是显得很空虚和不确定。

　　四小时线机构来看，K线大阴线连吞连根阳线，乌云盖顶，初步的看空信号已经出现。现货黄金欧盘止步1788，随后快速回撤1780一线。金价今日虽然上行，但涨势艰难，断断续续，一步三摇，不是单边上涨应有的表现。而欧盘盘中快速回落就是最好的明证，涨多少，回撤多少。下方先看昨日震荡争夺点位1775附近争夺，此位目前也是5Daily line1773所在，如果跌回至1770以下，则还是保留此前看调整至1762-60一带的预期。金价见顶的端倪其实已经开始显现。周一冲高失败是第一个信号，今日冲高失败是第二个信号，同时金价欧盘反弹止步1788，在形态上就构成了双顶M顶形态，放空信号。操作上李联赢建议黄金再1785附近布局波段空，轻仓开始，若反弹1795附近继续加仓空，以1800为防守，目标首先看1775先减仓改保本损，跌破看1762一带再做分批减仓，中线看1750-40frontline.

　　——crude oil消息面分析——

Wednesday(4month21day)，国际油价连续第二日下跌，市场担心印度新冠病例激增将压低该国的燃料需求，美国API库存意外增加则进一步打压了市场情绪。表示，OPEC+达成了合规水平，3Monthly production reduction113%, and2月份的水平持平。其中OPEC成员国合规率达到了124%Instead ofOPEC成员国合规率为93%。印度为全球第三大石油消费国，公布新增新冠死亡病例再创单日最高2023例，新增病例数也再创超过29.5万例的纪录新高。印度正面临治疗病患所需的氧气供应危机。当地许多地区因为第二波疫情来势凶猛而实施封锁。释弘认为“印度是原油的主要消费国。因此当地染疫病例增加及实施防疫限制将会打击需求前景。全球原油市场仍旧供应充裕，石油出国组织(OPEC)及其盟友预定在未来几个月增产。因此若需求状况没有明显改善，价格可能进一步修正。”

　　——原油技术面分析——

　　进行支撑测试。从趋势形态来看日线结构上，昨日大阴线实体饱和，消极情绪影响下，今日行情大概率是会有延续下跌调整的，目前62.50-62.60支撑已经被刺破，日内下方或将会对61.50、60.90一线，目前原油也是在走第2浪下跌，那么结合前期多个交易的高低点，所以可将60.90视作为波段回落的主要争夺区域。但是，如果市场情绪进一步升级，消息面不出现利好，那么美油继续下跌调整的可能性依旧很大，结合日线、周线，但也不排除后期持续阴跌，进一步回撤至60-59一带的可能。操作上，综合目前原油的下跌状态，以及市场的消极情绪，以及基本面方面的大方向，短期只能考虑短线多单。大跌不言底，市场情绪已经崩塌，即便有消息面利好，也难带来强势的回升，除非利好大阳连根拔起，那么变盘的可能性就非常大。综合来看，晚间操作李联赢建议上方阻力关注63.2First line, support attention from below61.5-60.9frontline.

Market Analysis of Paper, Silver and Silver:

Paper silver4The hourly cycle is currently in a downward trend, and the upward structure of the four hour chart level fluctuation is extremely obvious. The moving average system presents a bullish pattern arrangement, and the thinking continues to be firm and bullish. Paper silver1The latest situation at the hour level. belong to1The overall hourly level maintains an upward trend, and there may be short-term setbacks within the day. The short-term operation maintains a much lower mentality, with the high point in the figure5.57-5.53Element is pressure,5.0Yuan is the support.4According to the hourly chart, due to5.0元支撑并没有受到破坏，所以李联赢认为纸白银重新上涨到5.32-5.57概率较大。纸白银大周期依然看涨，短线或有回踩，操作上李联赢建议依旧低多布局思路为主。

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      有句话我想送给投资朋友们，做投资，首先你需要做的是等待好的机会进场，在如今的投资市场中，你千万千万不要以自己的美好想象来揣度市场能给你多少回报，你会被市场教育的很惨，甚至血本无归，所以，如果你真的想要做好投资赚到钱，请不要一直抱怨自己亏了多少，市场都是陷阱之类的话，反省一下到底是什么原因导致你一直在亏损，找到问题、解决问题才是关键，为了对你自己的资金负责，请认真对待每一次的入市！如果你现在操作不顺心或者不满意，可以找到萧亦坤聊聊，或许能给你帮助。

The saying goes, there is a sequence of learning, and there is a specialization in skills. Choosing is more important than striving! Choice is greater than effort, today's choice may be tomorrow's turning point! The secret to successful investment is to spend the right time with the right people and do the right things.