Li Jucai:4.21黄金多头崛起空单如何解套，原油晚间行情分...

Trading is a process of patiently waiting for opportunities to emerge, not because one is at a loss, but because one has a plan in mind,95%The profit always comes from5%Trading, waiting for the rabbit, is a trading strategy. Sometimes taking the initiative will only scare the rabbit away, patiently waiting for the arrival of a certain signal to avoid blind investment in ambiguous stages. The market is a place where experienced people gain more money, and those with money gain more experience. Every novice will learn from the lessons of failure, while smart people will profit from the help of professional teams. The market is a magnifying glass that wirelessly magnifies your shortcomings. The real loss comes from not correcting or admitting mistakes that are already obvious, and continuing them. There is a strange phenomenon in the investment market, which is that those who make money are always making money, while those who are deeply invested are always deeply invested. They do not know their own tolerance limit, nor do they know their profit target. They are either trapped or on the path of being trapped. Not every transaction will yield good returns, and it is necessary to be prepared to bear the pain of losses, so as not to affect one's mentality. There is no winner in the market. If you are not prepared to lose, you should not have the intention of winning. Any investment carries risks. The path of cultivation is long, and time will accumulate the necessary experience and heal all wounds. Without accumulating small streams, there will be no river or sea. Investment will also go through the process of accumulating funds.

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　　——黄金消息面分析——

　　美元走势也与季节性趋势有关，美元指数在3月底或多或少会达到峰值。最新的futures报告告诉我们，美元空头回补已经失去势头，因此头寸调整很重要。美国债券收益率的下跌也充分证明了抛售美元的合理性。美联储的政策制定者乐于强调，加息还需要一段时间，尽管近期收益率的上升确实值得一些关注。德商银行最新报告中称，美元近期下跌是因为，美联储(FED)再向市场保证，不会很快结束货币刺激政策，而欧洲疫苗接种情况改善也支撑了欧元。情况可能会迅速改变。本周将进入美联储4month28日货币政策会议前的静默期。这令美元可能保持目前的跌势。李。钜财认为，清淡的美国经济数据和静默的美联储，可能有利于市场继续呈现良性趋势，并令美元小幅走弱。而美元继续走软将利多以美元计价的黄金。此外，欧洲央行和加拿大央行的利率决议将备受关注。本周美联储进入4月决议前的噤声期。不过在此之前，美联储决策者本月一再保证近期物价压力将是暂时的，这似乎安抚了市场。本交易日来看，市场将重点关注美股财报表现，可能会对市场情绪造成影响。

　　

　　——黄金技术面分析——

　　日线走势看，周一黄金收带长上影线阴线回落，对金价多头存在压制影响，目前金价在近日高位附近形成区域震荡整理，同时金价维持在5日均线上方运行。此外，金价10日均线正在与50日均线形成金叉迹象，对金价存在一定支撑作用。日线指标看，日线MACD指标正动能柱持续增加，RSIIndicator maintained at58位置附近徘徊。如果金价坚守在1760-1759区域上方，金价仍有望上攻1790Near.4小时图看，金价布林带上下轨向中轨靠拢，显示金价在在布林中轨震荡盘整。金价短期均线EMA5andEMA5双线再度形成胶结，表明金价短线需求蓄势整理。

　　由于日内金价维持在1775-1760区域整理，钜财分析认为金价还是处于多头主导行情当中。只是目前处于上涨中的回调整理修正，在金价没有跌破1759-1760区域的强弱分界线时不宜过多看空，而且金价只要守住强弱分界线金价仍然上涨可期。那么，操作上李钜财建议金价上方先关注1783-1785区域压制，其次1790关口，下方先关注1760-1759区域。上行方面若是冲破1790关口，金价将会寻找1796-1800/05区域的压力；下行方面若跌破1760-1759Regional support will seek1750-1749区域的支撑。

　　

　　原油最新行情走势分析：

Analysis of crude oil news: Tuesday（4month20日）亚洲时段，美原油徘徊于63.58美元附近，油价周一小幅走高，受美元走弱支撑，但由于担忧印度新增新冠病例数上升对需求的影响，涨幅受限。美元走弱使得石油对其他货币的持有者来说更便宜。不过，在全球第三大石油进口国和消费国印度，新增新冠病例数激增，打击了人们对全球需求持续复苏的乐观情绪。分析师：经济重启更快的地区呈现出石油需求上升的情况，”“其他地方也将陆续重新开放。不清楚什么时候才能实现百分百或超过80%的疫苗接种率，但等那个时候到来，原油需求就会上升了。”

　　原油技术面分析：原油昨日早盘延续周一走势，小幅冲高刷新64.3原油高点后，欧盘行情开始下挫，美盘扩大跌幅，一度跌破62.2美元关键支撑，随后小幅拉升，收盘于62.3美元附近。从技术面上看，日线上，经过高位区间整理过渡后，隔夜录得实体大阴线回吐了上周大部分涨幅，目前布林带开始开口，油价依托于布林中轨运行，日线整体看还是低多，上方初步关注前期高点64.3一线阻力，下方则关注60.8附近支撑继续看涨。

　　原油从四小时来看，布林带开始向下开口，MACD金叉但是率色动能柱开始放量，KDJ随机指标三线向下，有继续回落迹象。综合来看，原油经过上周的大幅拉升之后，多次测试没能突破64.5一线关键阻力，加之消息面利空叠加，油价开始回吐涨幅，重新回到箱体震荡区间，预计日内将延续下行走势，所以今日操作思路上李钜财建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期关注63.5-64.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below61.5-61.0一线支撑。行情实时变化，添加笔者李钜财微信（sc11399）Get daily market analysis, unpacking strategies, and guidance on medium - and long-term layout. We welcome like-minded individuals to come and have a long conversation!

SilverTDMarket analysis:

SilverTD：白银在上周五晚上冲高测试5500区域承压回落，虚破布林上轨，短线银价修正下跌，最低测试5361区域，短线于日线Ma5Get support rebound above the moving average,Ma保持多头排列，macd金叉运行，整体处于震荡上涨走势，不过在5450布林上轨区域依然有较强的压力，操作上李钜财建议以逢低买入为主，关注Ma5/10均线支撑，可以为防守做多。

　　

Paper and silver trends:

Paper silver4The hourly cycle is currently in a downward trend, and the upward structure of the four hour chart level fluctuation is extremely obvious. The moving average system presents a bullish pattern arrangement, and the thinking continues to be firm and bullish. Paper silver1The latest situation at the hour level. belong to1The overall hourly level maintains an upward trend, and there may be short-term setbacks within the day. The short-term operation maintains a much lower mentality, with the high point in the figure5.57-5.65Element is pressure,5.0Yuan is the support.4According to the hourly chart, due to5.0元支撑并没有受到破坏，所以李钜财认为纸白银重新上涨到5.57-5.65概率较大。纸白银大周期依然看涨，短线或有回踩，操作上依旧低多布局思路为主。具体操作建议笔者临盘给出。

　　黄金白银亏损原因：

　　1、到处看群做，看小周期做，来回追，来回损。自己主见很强，从来不单独信哪一个人的，看各个老师的分析，自己综合着做单。看对了的，自己因为没有信心，都没进场，看错了的，都做进去，亏了而且心里极度不爽，感觉天昏地暗的。

　　2、总是重仓做单而且总是看反，看对的时候，赚一点小钱就出了，看错的时候，就套单或者锁单，最后总是砍在最低点或者天地连环锁全砍。震荡行情做的还行，但是有一天重仓来回追来回砍了之后，对行情有了恐惧感，觉得每天都是单边，不敢做单，但实际上每天都是震荡;Suddenly one day, when I felt like it was oscillating, the result was unilateral.

　　3、等到单边行情，看对了，但是总是不到进场点，错过了，好不容易做上一单，结果先震荡一波，导致赚一点点就跑了，懊恼不已之时，博个回调就被套了。一被套就盘整，总觉得至少能回调或者小亏出场，虽然知道趋势已经很明显反了但是还是被温水煮青蛙越套越深，最后砍在最高点或者最低点。

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　　本文由李钜财供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资大趋势，对原油、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究，技术总监李钜财指导威信 《sc11399 QQ：706967673》在线解τ，亏损回本，一对一实时指导。由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处。