Wang Tianbao:4.21黄金今日行情趋势解析及白银原油独家指导操作

　　早安！市场就像江湖，总会让有些人身不由己，言不由衷，有些行情，想起来很美好，于是在想当然中，你发现荒废了一场本该面对的现实，很多人找不到纠正的方程式，无奈的不得已停留在过去。王添宝想说的是市场同时充满诱惑，也充满风险。这里就是输家与赢家的博弈，摆正心态才能永垂不败。成功是一种习惯，失败也是一种习惯，成功与失败两端将会愈演愈烈，所以你如果不在该接受时接受它，结果会是他们的一个弱点，大部分输家就是在这方面不能控制小损失，也不满足已有的盈利而最后出现大损失

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　　美债收益率再度下跌提振了gold的吸引力，美元指数上扬0.2%，但盘中一度触及约七周低点。王添宝认为，主要推动力实际上是美债收益率下降，昨天股市也下跌，所以人们买黄金避险。美国国债周二收涨，受避险买盘提振。在人们对经济重启前景升起新的担忧之际，股市与油价疲软帮助推动了债市涨势。10年期美债收益率盘中一度跌近5Basis points, to1.555%满地可银行基础及贵金属衍生品交易表示，金价近期的上涨势头，受到债券买盘良好和美元承压的事实推动。在出现另一个明确的市场推动因素之前，金价可能会维持在1760-1810dollar/盎司的新区间；我们可能需要等待来自美联储的联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)的消息，看看基调是否有变化，以及下一轮公债标售情况如何，但整体公债有需求；FOMCWill be on4month27-28日举行政策会议。

Gold Technology Analysis

　　技术面，日图来看，多头趋势并没有发生明显的改变，昨天的冲高回落并没有完全破坏多头局面，均线系统仍然是多头排列，只是价格有点偏向短期均线的一次修正，辅助指标MACD快速线进入O轴上方，唯一就是四小时出现了高位死叉，价格到加速线上方回落出现死叉向下，但价格仍然运行于布林线中轨上方，结合前期的小时图价格在高位出现钝化以后走出了背离新高，而当下四小时同样面临这种情况，MACD高位死叉，但只是在O轴上方的死叉并不代表趋势发生反转，所以四小时修正结束继续看好向上破1790这里，看1812-35-70一线，同时日图虽然冲高回落，并没有出现明确的多转空信号，所以我们不要因为昨天的调整就直接认为趋势转变，小时图出现了弱多，节奏上价格有先跌后涨的迹像，上方的转折点仍然是1776这里，上破看次高1784Frontline, Breakthrough85看高点，下边只要把握一点，价格不破1750多头不变，四小时破60see52一线的转折点，因此对于日内来看，低多不多，高位受压再参与空，综合来看，今日操作上王添宝建议上方阻力关注1785-1788First line, support attention from below1761-1758一线。日内建议触及1773附近先多一次，损1768, look at the goal1782-1788，

GoldTDMarket Analysis

GoldTD：黄金在上周五突破374高点后，行情一直处于震荡上涨趋势中并不断刷新高点至377.36区域，周线长下影阳柱，运行在MaAbove the moving average,MaThe golden fork is pointing upwards,macd金叉势能扩大，红柱放量，说明黄金处于强势上涨趋势中，短线关注中轨380阻力压制。日线上，K线突破布林上轨和双底颈线阻力走强，各指标多头排列，macd金叉快线上穿零轴放量，说明黄金多头强势，预计还将延续拉升，短期我们保持逢低做多思路不变。下方关注373/370Regional support.

　　【白银TDMarket Analysis

Silvertd: Silver Detective5270Regional stabilization and rebound, daily medium track andMa10Obtain support at the bonding point of the moving average,Ma5/10Move up multi headed arrangement,macdThe expansion of the potential energy of the golden fork and the upward movement of the lower support indicate that the overall trend of silver is in a volatile and strong state, with a focus on attention5400Gateway*，突破则看5500/5550Area. Follow Below5200Support the level, using this as the dividing line between long and short, and maintain a bullish mindset above this level. Four hours,KThe linear shape forms a head, shoulder, and top shape, with the current price station on the medium track strengthening, and various indicators maintaining a bullish arrangement,macd金叉逐渐放量，白银今天开盘高开高走，说明多头强势，王添宝建议逢低买入为主，白银tdDaily delivery3After a continuous negative streak, there was an unexpected rebound last night, and the strength exceeded expectations,KThe line once again breaks through the Bollinger track upwards, above60If the line goes flat, the bullish volume can be released again, the volume and price are healthy, and the market is more conducive to bullish positions; silvertdbrace5220as well as5150element/Kilogram, pressure5400element/Kilograms and5500Area.

Paper and silver trends:

Paper silver4The hourly cycle is currently in a downward trend, and the upward structure of the four hour chart level fluctuation is extremely obvious. The moving average system presents a bullish pattern arrangement, and the thinking continues to be firm and bullish. Paper silver1The latest situation at the hour level. belong to1The overall hourly level maintains an upward trend, and there may be short-term setbacks within the day. The short-term operation maintains a much lower mentality, with the high point in the figure5.57-5.53Element is pressure,5.0Yuan is the support.4According to the hourly chart, due to5.0元支撑并没有受到破坏，所以王添宝认为纸白银重新上涨到5.32-5.57The probability is high. The paper silver cycle is still bullish, and there may be a rebound in the short term. In terms of operation, the main focus is still on low level layout.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:

　　原油消息面解析：周二美国原油futuresPrice increase3month18日以来逾一个月新高64.38dollar/桶，受美元指数继续承压，且全球经济向好前景仍推动能源需求走高状况的推动，此外市场预期全球最大石油消费国美国的原油库存下降，尽管亚洲新冠病毒感染病例不断上升限制了涨幅。美盘期间，国际油价突然短线跳水，WTI原油价格跌幅扩大至2.7%，布油也跌逾2%。油价这波短线跳水，直接原因可能是有大单在砸盘。NYMEXMost activeWTI原油主力期货合约在10分钟内出现了3次大单交易：22:45Instant trading within one minute6709Hand, total value of trading contracts4.18USD100mn22:55Instant trading within one minute5661Hand, total value of trading contracts3.49USD100mn22:56Instant trading within one minute5096Hand, total value of trading contracts3.16USD100mn

　　技术面来看，原油昨日维持震荡行情，没有突破64.5的压力，依旧是大区间震荡走势，遇阻压力后预计将会再次开启下跌，那么今日短线暂时维持64.5阻力下看跌思路，高空！原油从4小时级别上看，处于大涨后的震荡，而68Down to57位置是第一段下跌行情，随后维持57-62的区间震荡，然后现在是反弹上涨，再次来到62-65区间震荡，属于一个大区间的宽幅震荡走势！震荡行情中，任何的压力支撑位置都可能成为行情转折点！

　　当前64.5一线既是此前行情启跌点也是此前震荡盘整压力区域，原油反弹此位置已经出现阻力，只要不突破64.5压力，或者假突破后直接回落，短线预计还会重新跌回61-63的震荡区间内！所以操作上我们短线先以高空为主！上方关注63.0-63.2One line of resistance, pay attention below61.0-61.2Frontline support.

　　王添宝/writing