ATFXEarly review0420: Euro, gold, crude oil, short-termH4analysis

Trends and points:


Latest news:
Federal Reserve        鲍威尔明确的表示提高利率，有两个先提条件。一是通货膨胀率达到2%以上，二是美国劳动力市场恢复。其同时表示，目前美国离这两个目标仍相距遥远，同时表示在2022年之前提高利率不大可能。
European Central Bank        This Thursday19：45，欧央行公布利率决议；20:30，行长拉加德召开新闻发布会
Bank of Japan        日本央行正在考虑下调对始于4月份的一年的物价预测，这主要是由于移动费用下降。日本央行目前看到当前财年预测中值为0.5%。日本央行料将预测2023财年物价上涨1%about.
Bank of England        国央行周一宣布与财政部联合创建一个中央银行数字货币工作组。声明称，央行数字货币将是英国央行发行的一种新型数字货币，将供家庭和企业使用。
OPEC+        俄罗斯国家杜马（议会下院）14日向石油行业人士介绍了有关工作重点。这份规划的主旨是：在能源过渡的背景下，应当售出一切还能出售的东西。


EURUSD

chart1，EURUSD 04month20day H4level
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10        RSI
0.0017        84
long position        Overbought
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:1.1993~1.1941~Market price, breaking through the hook shape
Hook theory
left        dip angle        right        dip angle
good        ---        Continuous        good
Directionality: Trend thinking
综合判断：继续上涨，目标位暂时无法确定。


USDJPY

chart2，USDJPY 04month20day H4level
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10        RSI
-0.1276        27
short position        short position
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:108.60~108.95~Market price, breaking through the hook shape
Hook theory
left        dip angle        right        dip angle
good        ---        Continuous        commonly
Directionality: biased thinking towards trends
综合判断：继续下跌概率较高，目标位暂无法确定。


GBPUSD

chart3，GBPUSD  04month20day H4level
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10        RSI
0.0012        65
long position        long position
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest Hook1.3808~1.3715~Market price, breaking through the hook shape
Hook theory
left        dip angle        right        dip angle
good        ---        good        good
Directionality: Trend thinking
Overall judgment: Continuing to rise, the target position is currently uncertain.


XAUUSD

chart4，XAUUSD 04month20day H4level
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10        RSI
0.058        40
Weak bull        short position
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:1732~1789~Market price
Hook theory
left        dip angle        right        dip angle
good        good        Continuous        ---
Directionality: Trend thinking
综合判断：回调结束后继续上涨，目标位1789。


USOIL

chart5，USOIL 2021year5Monthly contract,04month20day  H4cycle
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10        RSI
0.1558        72
long position        long position
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:58.77~63.91~62.65。回撤勾形
Hook theory
left        dip angle        right        dip angle
good        good        Continuous        ---
Directionality: Trend thinking
Comprehensive judgment: Upward hit63.91概率较高 。

EIAInventory (previous period)        EIAInventory (latest)
463210000 barrels        466610000 barrels
Inventory increase, bearishcrude oil

Disclaimer:
1The above analysis only represents the analyst's perspective. There are risks in the foreign exchange market and investment needs to be cautious.
2、ATFXWe will not be responsible for any profit or loss that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on this information.