Wang Tianbao:4.19Will gold continue to rise? Will crude oil fall?Suggestions on how to operate silver

Life is your own life. On the same road, there are people walking, people running, and people driving... Different ways lead to different results. The same fate, some people laugh and fight, some cry and plead, some silently endure... Different attitudes lead to different results. No one can dictate your lifestyle, everything is your own choice. People with different personalities make different choices; Different choices lead to different fates. Just like first sight, meeting and gathering is fate!

　　goldNext week's market trend analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Hardware prices continued to soar during the week, and spot gold briefly rose close to20USD, refresh2month25The highest point since the beginning of the day1783.78dollar/ounce. Friday USA10Yields of one-year treasury bond bonds1.56%, lower than recent1.60%to1.75%The oscillation range of. The decrease in US bond yields usually increases market demand for precious metals. Wang Tianbao believes that gold continues to be driven by factors such as the decline in treasury bond yields, the weakening of the US dollar and the deterioration of the situation of the COVID-19 in Europe. If the yield of US treasury bond bonds continues to decline and the US dollar continues to decline, goldfuturesThe price may return to per ounce1800USD. In addition, it is believed that the tense relationship between the United States and Russia may be another favorable condition for gold bulls. Due to economic data from the United States and China strengthening expectations for a rebound in global fuel demand,crude oilPrice creation3The largest weekly increase since the beginning of the month. Despite a slight decline on Friday, New York futures continued to rise throughout the week6.4%。 After the strong economic data released by the United States, data from China shows that due to consumer spending exceeding expectations, China's GDP in the first quarter increased compared to the same period last year18.3%。 this year3In January, the crude oil processing volume of Chinese refineries increased by approximately20%Highlighting the strength of China's economic rebound. JPMorgan analysts have reached Brent crude oil per barrel70The expected time for the US dollar has been advanced again4Months, now estimated5This price is reached in the month. Tianbao believes that the two largest economies in the world are starting to truly shine, and despite difficulties in Europe, their vaccination efforts are also accelerating. With Europe, China, and the United States expected to return to normal to a large extent, this is very beneficial for demand prospects and price increases.

From a technical perspective and daily chart perspective, gold prices have broken again after hitting the double bottom neckline position, causingMACDThe double line of indicators has reopened upwards, indicating that there are signs of confirmed success in the double bottom pattern. In the future, prices are expected to further rise, but we still need to pay attention in the short termMA5The confirmation of the support of the moving average, if confirmed successfully, is expected to complete the remaining upward trend of the double bottom pattern in the market price, and further1800Enter the integer level.4Looking at the hourly chart, yesterday morning, after a period of sideways trading and consolidation, the gold price began to exert upward momentum, and during the European session, the price has already returned to the starting and falling positions of the day before yesterday1748Near the front line, the US gold price further rose in the evening, reaching its highest point at one point1770Refresh Near2The new high since the beginning of the month, although the prices in the future have dropped slightly from the high point, they are still at a high level1780-1785High level consolidation within the range. Overall, Wang Tianbao suggests that the short-term operation strategy for gold next Monday should mainly focus on a pullback to lower levels, supplemented by a rebound to higher levels, with a focus on short-term operations above1786-1791Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1755-1760Frontline support.

Analysis of crude oil market trend next week:

Analysis of crude oil message surface:4month16In the Japanese and European markets, US oil prices slightly declined, but this week's increase is expected to be about7%The reason is that the prospect of oil demand has improved, and the strong economic recovery of major emerging market countries and the United States has offset concerns about the surge of COVID-19 infection. Before seeing a more meaningful decline, oil prices are likely to rise to per barrel70The longer the US dollar remains at a high level, the more supply may return to the market, and the risk of the surge of COVID-19 cases in India and Europe may eventually drive down prices. Wang Tianbao believed that the strong recovery of the global economy, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies（OPEC+）Restricting supply and the cautious response of US oil producing countries to rising oil prices are all supporting the market. The latest data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group crude oil futures market shows that crude oil open positions continued to fluctuate on Thursday, with this contraction0.67Ten thousand copies. Trading volume has decreased nearly50Ten thousand contracts, continuing the previous day's decline, recorded2month17The largest daily decline since the beginning of the day.

Technical analysis of crude oil: From a daily perspective, crude oil is expected to close at a high level and fluctuate slightly, with the opening of the Bollinger belt. The oil price relies on the Bollinger track and is expected to reach a high point in the early stage68Approaching nearby, the overall daily line is still much lower, with preliminary attention from above63.8Resistance, continue to focus on rebounding and rising, if rising and falling, pay attention below62Support, further attention60.4Nearby support continues to rise! From a four hour perspective, crude oil is slowly rising horizontally at a high level, and the Bollinger Belt is currently in an opening period,MAMoving average three lines up,MACDThe golden fork, but the red kinetic energy column begins to shrink,KDJThe three lines of random indicators are downward,KThe line is under pressure on the Bollinger Belt and is currently in an overbought area with signs of a decline, but the upward trend is still expected to continue to pull up. Overall, Wang Tianbao's personal suggestion for the short-term operation of crude oil next Monday is to focus on a pullback and buy long, supplemented by a rebound in high altitude, with attention from above64.5-65.0One line of resistance, pay attention below61.0-61.5Frontline support.

I don't have any here100%An accurate order making plan and no zero risk investment plan, but there is a stable operation method. Scan orders without fear, and a good mindset can also achieve a good future,Leading the appreciation of positions,Achieve Yourself! To achieve the final profit, then we are the winners; I may not be the most successful analyst, but I will be the most hardworking analyst. I treat people sincerely, work hard, and the best way is to prove myself through actions