Wang Tianbao: Next week's gold and silver trend market operation and analysis of silver market fluctuations

InternationalgoldNext week's market trend analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Friday（4month16Spot gold slightly declined on Thursday（4month16Gold prices skyrocketed in Japan1.58%, because although the US economic data was better than expected, the yield of US treasury bond bonds still fell, prompting investors to buy gold to hedge against possible inflation risks in the future. In addition, the sudden tension between the United States and Russia has also stimulated some investors to seek safety. However, the major data released on Thursday were far better than market expectations, and the US stock market hit a new historical high, limiting further gold price gains. A positive US economy means that the US dollar may continue to strengthen, which will drag down the trend of gold prices.

The sharp drop in US treasury bond bond yield will boost the charm of gold. Analysts say the tense atmosphere between the United States and Russia may stimulate some safe haven buying of gold. The United States is engaged in a tough dialogue with Russia, and the first sign may be that the market will begin to reflect new risks on gold prices, which have not yet been reflected in the stock market. US real estate related data and University of Michigan consumer confidence index will be released in the evening. It is expected that the data will continue to improve consistently, which may have a drag on gold prices. Japan, Russia, You Pay Attention to China Q1GDPData and US real estate and consumer confidence index.

From a technical perspective, yesterday's bullish line Pull up, break through the previous high point, reach1770Nearby, the previous oscillation range has already broken through, and the daily double bottom pattern is perfect. As long as there is no waterfall like pullback, the direction can be basically determined.4Hour, Brin with opening,KThe line steadily pulls upwards along the Bollinger track, with a trend greater than anything else. It has opened up the space for bullish upward movement, and the next goal is to test1780Nearby pressure. Gold prices rose and fell on Thursday, currently hovering around11month30Near the daily low, there is still significant resistance at this level. The possibility of a bearish decline under pressure is not ruled out within the day, and bullish news on fundamentals may not support bulls to continue their upward trend1784A line of resistance. However, if it stabilizes1769Above, bulls are expected to receive more support and launch new impacts. Overall, Wang Tianbao suggests that the short-term operation strategy for gold next week should mainly focus on a pullback to lower levels, supplemented by a rebound to higher levels, with a focus on short-term operations above1788-1793Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1760-1755Frontline support.

　　futuresbeautifulcrude oilNext week's market trend analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Friday（4month16US crude oil fluctuated, breaking through a month long trading range as there were more signs that the US was accelerating its rebound. New York crude oil futures hit a one month high with broader market gains. The number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits for the first time has dropped to a new low during the pandemic era, with retail sales growing at a rate of10The fastest recovery in the past month further proves the economic recovery. The positive results of the two major data in the United States indicate economic recovery, providing support for oil prices, and the severe relationship between the United States and Iran is also conducive to boosting oil prices. The increase in vaccination numbers and the easing of concerns about the epidemic provide a good opportunity for the market to steadily rise. howeverOPEC+Announce from5Starting from this month, gradually reducing production cuts may limit the potential for oil price increases, and relevant news still needs to be carefully monitored.

Technical analysis of crude oil: Daily crude oil level oil prices surged and broke through on Wednesday3month30Daily high62.27It means a strong return of bulls. However, oil prices fell more than1%It may indicate that the pressure on the short track is relatively high. If the bulls are under pressure, they may step back62.27Seek support nearby and then resume rising. If bulls continue their upward trend, initial resistance may look towards2month25Daily high63.81Further attention3month18Daily high64.88and3month15Daily high66.40Resistance. On the contrary, if the oil price turns around and goes down, then62.27It is its initial support level, falling below this level,38.2%Retreat position61.35Will become the next support, and60The gateway is an important psychological support. Overall, it is recommended to focus on the short-term operation of crude oil next week with a pullback to lower levels and a rebound to higher levels as a supplement, with a focus on short-term operations above64.5-65.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below62.0-61.5First line support, break through and follow up with the trend.

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