Li Juxin:4.15黄金欧盘重点关注：美联储购债规模将缩减、...

I don't know if this post will exist in the market, or how long it will last. It's not important. The important thing is that it can bring hope to you who are losing money and find the right direction for you who are lost. Regardless of the duration of its existence, I only hope that friends who need help can see this paragraph. Only by being able to help you can it have meaning, otherwise it will be just a useless post!As the saying goes, 'Ten years to sharpen a sword',I have witnessed too many things from nothing to existence, from existence to nothingness. This is a harvest season. In addition to reaping profits, you can also reap a lot on the investment market,For example, friends, mentality, or me, I don't expect these few thousand words to dispel all your concerns. After all, practice is the only criterion for testing truth. What you and I need is just an opportunity. No matter how much you lose or what point set, I will only accompany you to the trading stop and provide the most suitable advice for you. I will try my best to give reasonable advice in a steady manner. Meeting fate is fate, missing fate is fate, and fate is fate in your hands. If you want to find me, you can single track Li Juxin; Sincerely wish you can find a more suitable one and make money!，(See contact information at the end of the article)

　　上交易日周三(4month14day): Internationalgold伦敦金反弹遇阻回落又转跌收阴。验证了给出反弹难延续的观点同时，也根据昨日给出的异常数据波动影响的操作空得到了止盈。

　　具体走势上，金价自亚市早盘开于1745.48dollar/盎司，即延续前日探底回升转阳之势而先行走高，并录得日内高点1749.05美元，但由于阻力压制而又转回落，不过因美元的偏弱而白盘整体维持在1740美元上方震荡；

　　到晚间美盘开盘后，数据仍然利空金价，美债收益率日内转强走高，道指开盘走高再刷历史高点，再加上5.19USD100mnCOMEXgoldfutures在一分钟内的成交影响，打压金价连续走低，并在22点整左右录得日内低点1732.66USD;

　　最终，仍在走低的美元对其产生支撑，道指高位回落也产生些许买盘影响，另外技术上触及的中轨附近支撑也在造成买盘情绪，终有所反弹收于1736.15USD, daily amplitude16.39USD, closing down9.33美元，幅度0.43%。

　　

Looking Forward to Today Thursday(4month15day)：国际黄金亚市早盘，受到隔夜鲍威尔的2024年前将不会加息的言论而推动金价再度走出反弹，不过力度欠缺，同时还言论量化宽松也在此之前开始转弱，而并没有就此得到增强，另外同时也宣布将减少购债规模，这使得美债收益率再度转强，从而打压金价再度承压走低，再者日内美元指数在触及关键支撑后探底回升，也对金价产压力。

　　故此综合来看，再结合文末技术分析，金价本周仍偏向高空为主，但重点仍需关注中轨及30日均线支撑情况，因为本周多次测试此支撑后止跌反弹，不排除在此上方继续走出震荡。

　　

　　数据上，今日将重点关注美国至4month10Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week(ten thousand people), as well as the United States3Monthly retail sales rate(%)。预计初请仍将维持相对高位，因而不管利空或利多都将对金价影响有限，不过后者零售销售月率预期将大幅利空金价；同时，美联储在其最新的经济状况褐皮书中称，美国经济从2月底至4月初加速温和复苏。

　　另外近日包括高盛和摩根大通在内美国一些银行的强劲业绩降低了对避险资产包括黄金的需求；故此黄金日内仍反弹空为主。

　　观点上，李钜鑫认为；金价的回调更多是技术性的，因为1750美元在既是技术阻力位，也是心理阻力位。短期内，似乎没有太多新的因素会大幅推动金价，美元指数在触及关键支撑后有连续反弹的趋势，美国的经济动能，可能在第二季和第三季继续复苏，因此黄金还可能面临更大的宏观阻力。因而近期在突破关键阻力前，仍承压看待。

　　

　　除非在目前实际收益率仍为负的情况下，寄托于通胀预期的上升，这将重新点燃投资者对黄金的兴趣。

　　今年美国国债收益率在第一季度达到1.75%的峰值后出现下降，这为金价在第二第三季度触底走高创造了条件，预计金价将在年底时达到2000dollar/盎司。但目前美债收益率走势未跌破1.6关口，反而有止跌迹象，因此在跌破此之前仍承压对待，跌破后金价将逢低看涨。随着经济复苏和重新开放，还需关注市场对黄金的需求回升情况。

　　技术上：

　　日线级别：黄金目前一直受阻于1755/65美元，并近期仍维持下行倾向。在突破此前，后市前景依然偏向再度下跌测试双底的位置。若跌破该一线支撑位，下一支撑位将去向1620/15美元，最终将关注1564/61美元。相反，若升破1765美元，短期将筑底，金价将进一步反弹至1855/75美元，乃至2000美元。这是被动观点和策略思路，那么主动策略关注日内及下方的分析。

　　

　　本周金价走势虽偏承压，但整体仍维持在中轨及30日均线支撑上方运行，暗示市场仍有一定的看多情绪，附图指标上多头信号持续减弱，主图均线信号也有减弱倾向，故此中轨上方震荡承压对待，跌破支撑，连续承压看跌。

　　国际黄金：下方关注1731Near the US dollar, and1727美元附近支撑；上方关注1744Near the US dollar, and1748美元附近阻力；

GoldTDFollow Above367.50element/Ke, further attention368.10element/Gram resistance; Follow Below365.50element/G, and364.70element/克支撑；

SilverTDFollow Above5340element/Kilogram resistance, and5390element/Resistance near kilograms; Follow Below5250element/Kilograms, and5220/Kilogram support.

　　注：

GoldTD=(国际黄金价格xexchange rate)/31.1035

　　国际黄金波动1美金，黄金TD约波动0.22element(理论上)。

　　美国期货金价＝伦敦现货价×(1＋黄金掉期利率×期货到期天数/365)

　　大胆预测，谨慎交易。以上观点及分析仅代表作者个人思路，只供参考，不作交易依据，据此操作，盈亏自负。

　　以下是我的群内现价喊单。平时我都有实时布局现价喊单供大家跟上，我这个人比较直白，看准的行情我都不会保留，只要看准的单子我都会通过群内现价喊单给大家进场！！大家主要还是以本人私下实时布局为主，我都会没有保留的指导！！！因为大的行情需要及时把握，如果没有把握到就可能做成损单！相信这个大家都有体会！！！郑重承诺添加到我的朋友，想让我喊单的说一声就行，也可以告诉你正确的做单手法和心态，锁单的各种解法。这个是让你扭亏为盈的关键！

　　

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　　====Li Juxin's team develops different operational plans based on different amounts of funds====The details are as follows:

　　1、3000The US dollar mini position will operate with a relatively stable and conservative approach, as the amount of funds is not very large. Therefore, the operation will mainly focus on stability, with short-term profits as the main focus, without any radical operations

　　2、1-2Ten thousand US dollars standard warehouse, will adopt20%Short term position operation,10%Middle line position operation, combined with short and medium line operation;

　　3、3-5The $10000 membership position is operated using a robust approach as the main approach. Of course, the position allocation is relatively large, and we mainly combine short-term and medium-term operations to grasp band profits, and short-term operations to prevent profit withdrawal

This article is provided by Li Juxin. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Li Juxin explains a set online, pays back losses, and provides one-on-one real-time guidance on WeChat:（GOLD68668）Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.