Wang Tianbao4.15黄金今日还会跌吗？原油会继续涨买涨？黄金白...

To continue to thrive in this market for a long time, it is necessary to have a complete trading system, including position skills, risk control, and technical systems. This way, in a volatile market, it can provide you with clear guidance, even if the profit is small, it is easy and there is a sense of achievement;In a unilateral market, it can make you have a trend in your mind. If you see it right, strive for maximum profit. However, when you see it wrong, you can control the risk and objectively adjust your thinking to turn losses into profits, instead of blindly and subjectively sticking to your own thinking, blindly increasing positions in reverse orders, and placing positions on the edge of risk. I have posted these things countless times. I have been talking so much, but I just want to change everyone's traditional views, habits, and mentality. Remember that for order makers, technology is not important at all, and habits and principles are the most important!

　　【goldMessage Analysis

Wednesday(4month14day)Spot gold is under pressure, despite the US consumer price index rising more than expected and the US dollar index falling3month19Recently, it has reached a new low91.662Moreover, global setbacks in the fight against the epidemic continue to benefit gold prices, but the rebound in US bond yields has driven a rebound in the US dollar index, limiting gold's anti inflation appeal. United States3Monthly Consumer Price Index(CPI)创下逾八年半以来最大涨幅，因疫苗接种推进和大规模财政刺激释放了被压抑的需求，开启了多数经济学家预计的短暂通胀上升期。王添宝认为“通胀是一个过程，而不是一次性事件，这些瓶颈是一次性的。美联储将不会考虑采取行动，除非它认为价格水平的变化是永久性的，而非临暂时性的。美联储认为，在经济达到充分就业之前，不可能出现这种变化。”“尽管最新数据比预期要强一些，但并非高得离谱。预计美国通货膨胀将在今年第二季度加速。”

　　【黄金技术面分析】

　　黄金经过昨天的一轮强势上涨，目前多头暂时短线站稳1735One line of support, but due to last night's unilateral rise25Above the US dollar, bulls no longer have much momentum, and as a result, in the second half of the night and even today, the Asian and European markets are in a state of instability1735-1750Horizontal adjustment of the interval is underway. From a technical perspective, from last night to today, the Asia Pacific hourly lineMACDandKDJThe indicators have started to recover and decline, but it is clear that in today's market trend, the repair effort is not very strong, which further demonstrates that the momentum of bulls is still relatively strong for the time being,4In both hourly and daily trends, the bullish trend is still relatively strong, but it is also gradually continuing towards the bearish direction. It depends on the direction of this week, whether it is mostly a bearish forecast or based on last Friday's market. At present, based on the daily trend, the overall range is1758-1718Volatile, even if bulls are strong this week, they still need to look above1758Can we break through and stand firm1760上方，继而去彻底延续多头强势的动能。王添宝建议上方阻力关注1758-1760First line, support attention from below1735-1730Frontline. Follow Below1735-1730Support;

　　【纸白银行情分析】

Paper silver4The hourly cycle is currently in a downward trend, and the upward structure of the four hour chart level fluctuation is extremely obvious. The moving average system presents a bullish pattern arrangement, and the thinking continues to be firm and bullish. Paper silver1The latest situation at the hour level. belong to1The overall hourly level maintains an upward trend, and there may be short-term setbacks within the day. The short-term operation maintains a much lower mentality, with the high point in the figure5.57-5.53Element is pressure,5.0Yuan is the support.4According to the hourly chart, due to5.0元支撑并没有受到破坏，所以王添宝认为纸白银重新上涨到5.32-5.57概率较大。纸白银大周期依然看涨，短线或有回踩，操作上王添宝建议依旧低多布局思路为主。

　　【白银TDOperational suggestions:

　　白银日内的波动相对比较小，上方的趋势线压力依旧很明显，由于白银现在走了相对独立的全新的结构，无论是新的5波推动浪还是三波结构，都会有个回调出现，如再次回到趋势线压力附近，那么我们就重点关注他的破位情况，下方关注5120element/Kilograms, and5080element/Kilogram support; Follow Above5360element/Kilograms, and5390element/Kilogram resistance.

　　【crude oil相关消息】

Wednesday（4month14日）上海原油价格收涨，创逾一周新高，主力合约2105Final closing397.8element/Barrel6.7element/Barrel, increase1.71%，国际油价上涨，此前公布的行业数据显示，美国原油库存降幅大于预期，且石油输出国组织(OPEC)上调了石油需求展望，伊朗提升铀浓缩丰度的做法也增加了地缘形势前景的不稳定性。石油输出国组织(OPEC)周二略微上调对今年全球石油需求增长的预估，目前预估2021Annual oil demand will increase59510000 barrels/Day or6.6%, which is higher than last month's estimate710000 barrels/Day.OPEC押注疫情将会平息，旅行限制也将解除。中国进出口数据强劲，欧佩克上调下半年需求预测，分析师估测上周美国原油库存继续减少，国际油价继续上涨，WTI重返每桶60Above USD.IEA月报：2monthOECDDecline in crude oil inventory5,58010000 barrels to29.8亿桶，较五年均值高2800Ten thousand barrels.

　　【原油技术面】

　　原油近两日谨慎地向上冲击阻力位，还好的是一步一个脚印，先后站上60and60.70美元两重阻力位。从日线来看，昨日打破下行趋势，日线以实体小阳收线，并且站稳日线中轨，今日有望延续，但是上方依然是压力重重，首先是MA10周线均线61.6.其次是上轨62.2，都有可能带来极大的压制作用，尤其是油价若能收复顶破上轨运行，或将打开新一轮的涨势，而下方仍然重点关注中轨60一线，此处的得失情况将会影响到短线市场的情绪变动。四小时来看，隔日原油依托MA5-10日均线连阳上涨，当前布林带处于开口期，MA均线三线金叉向上，KDJRandom indicator three line forward, reaching overbought,MACD指标红色动能柱持续放量，快慢线金叉向上，综合来看，短线多头强势，有望继续上涨，不过回踩幅度小，稳健一点还是多看少动！操作上王添宝建议上方阻力关注61.8-62First line, support attention from below60.2-59.6frontline.