ATFXEarly review0414: Euro, gold, crude oil, short-termH4analysis

Trends and points:


Latest news:
Federal Reserve        美国费城联邦储备银行行长帕特里克·哈克："就目前而言，美联储政策将持稳。虽然经济形势正在改善，但复苏仍处于早期阶段，目前还没有理由撤消支持。”
European Central Bank        欧洲央行委员兼法国央行行长德加洛周二表示，欧央行退出特殊措施的时机尚未来到，同时，不认同欧央行应当实施收益率曲线控制。
Bank of Japan        日本央行行长黑田东彦表示，该央行持有ETF的市值比其账面价值34trillion-35万亿日元高出约5万亿日元，黑田东彦在回答国会议员提问时给出上述数字。
Bank of England        The Bank of England announced on Tuesday that its chief economist, Andy Haldane, will leave the bank later this year to become the CEO of the Royal Society of Arts, Manufacturing, and Business in the UK.
OPEC+        OPECTransform it2021年全球石油需求预测上调了1010000 barrels/日，并将其对全球经济增长的预测上调了0.3Percentage points, to5.4%。


EURUSD

chart1，EURUSD 04month14day H4level
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10        RSI
0.0014        82
long position        Overbought
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:1.1918~1.1877~Market price, breaking through the hook shape
Hook theory
left        dip angle        right        dip angle
good        ---        good        good
Directionality: Trend thinking
Overall judgment: Continuing to rise, the target position is currently uncertain.


USDJPY

chart2，USDJPY 04month14day H4level
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10        RSI
-0.1589        21
short position        Oversold
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:109.23~109.74~Market price, breaking through the hook shape
Hook theory
left        dip angle        right        dip angle
good        ---        good        good
Directionality: Trend thinking
Comprehensive judgment: downward contact108.44概率较高，该价位属于远期目标。


GBPUSD

chart3，GBPUSD  04month14day H4level
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10        RSI
0.0006        68
Weak bull        long position
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest Hook1.3668~1.3767~1.3693, retract hook shape
Hook theory
left        dip angle        right        dip angle
good        good        Too large        ---
Directionality: oscillatory thinking
综合判断：触及1.3767之后，遇阻下跌概率较高。


XAUUSD

chart4，XAUUSD 04month14day H4level
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10        RSI
2.12        63
long position        long position
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:1677~1758~Market price
Hook theory
left        dip angle        right        dip angle
good        good        good        ---
Directionality: Trend thinking
Comprehensive judgment: Upward hit1758The probability is high.


USOIL

chart5，USOIL 2021year5Monthly contract,04month14day  H4cycle
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10        RSI
0.2146        76
long position        long position
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:60.86~58.09Interval, oscillatory state
Hook theory
left        dip angle        right        dip angle
Slightly smaller        commonly        Too large        ---
Directionality: oscillatory thinking
Comprehensive judgment: within the interval（60.86~58.09）Internal oscillation 。

EIAInventory (previous period)        EIAInventory (latest)
470510000 barrels        463210000 barrels
Inventory reduction, profit increasecrude oil

Disclaimer:
1The above analysis only represents the analyst's perspective. There are risks in the foreign exchange market and investment needs to be cautious.
2、ATFXWe will not be responsible for any profit or loss that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on this information.