ATFXEarly review0413: Euro, gold, crude oil, short-termH4analysis

Trends and points:


Latest news:
Federal Reserve        波士顿联储总裁罗森格伦周一表示：，就业市场仍然疲软，且通胀低于美联储2%的目标，因此目前高度宽松的货币立场是合适的。罗森格伦还表示，未来两年失业率可能降至疫情前的4%about.
European Central Bank        欧洲央行行长拉加德：复苏是存在的，但有延迟，且并没有走上歧途。复苏的推迟是因为欧洲已经受到第三波疫情的袭击。
Bank of Japan        日本央行将在未来直接购买1万亿日元的日本国债。
Bank of England        英国央行官员Silvana Tenreyro在接受采访时表示，英国的负利率“一直有效且运作良好，我们相信一旦有必要动用负利率，它依然会收到良好效果”。
OPEC+        The Yemeni Husai armed forces claim to use17A drone launched an attack on a target within Saudi Arabia, using10A drone attacked Saudi Aramco's refineries in Jeddah and Jubail.


EURUSD

chart1，EURUSD 04month13day H4level
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10        RSI
0.00018        44
Weak bull        secondary
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:1.1926~1.1866~1.1918, retract hook shape
Hook theory
left        dip angle        right        dip angle
Slightly smaller        commonly        Too large        ---
Directionality: oscillatory thinking
综合判断：震荡区间1.1866~1.1918。


USDJPY

chart2，USDJPY 04month13day H4level
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10        RSI
0.008        64
Weak bull        long position
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:108.99~109.95~109.23, retract hook shape
Hook theory
left        dip angle        right        dip angle
good        commonly        Too large        ---
Directionality: oscillatory thinking
综合判断：已经上涨至阻力线附近，有突破可能性，看涨至109.25Location.


GBPUSD

chart3，GBPUSD  04month13day H4level
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10        RSI
0.0003        53
Weak bull        neutral
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest Hook1.3917~1.3668~1.3767, retract hook shape
Hook theory
left        dip angle        right        dip angle
good        good        good        ---
Directionality: Trend thinking
综合判断：下跌触及1.3668The probability is high.


XAUUSD

chart4，XAUUSD 04month13day H4level
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10        RSI
-2.067        47
short position        neutral
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:1677~1758~Market price
Hook theory
left        dip angle        right        dip angle
good        good        Continuous        ---
Directionality: Trend thinking
综合判断：回调结束后，上涨触及1758The probability is high.


USOIL

chart5，USOIL 2021year5Monthly contract,04month13day  H4cycle
Technical indicators
MA5-MA10        RSI
0.1050        62
Weak bull        long position
Hook theory viewpoint:
Latest hook shape:60.86~58.09Interval, oscillatory state
Hook theory
left        dip angle        right        dip angle
Slightly smaller        commonly        Too large        ---
Directionality: oscillatory thinking
Comprehensive judgment: within the interval（60.86~58.09）Internal oscillation 。

EIAInventory (previous period)        EIAInventory (latest)
470510000 barrels        463210000 barrels
Inventory reduction, profit increasecrude oil

Disclaimer:
1The above analysis only represents the analyst's perspective. There are risks in the foreign exchange market and investment needs to be cautious.
2、ATFXWe will not be responsible for any profit or loss that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on this information.