Tan Xinsheng:4.10黄金走势双顶双底未定 下周黄金操作这样布局

goldInformation analysis:

美元指数本周上涨似乎遭遇到强大的阻力，周一便失守93关口，周四晚更是险些失守92关口，为今年以来表现最差的一周。美债收益率走势与美元相似，本周自1.75%震荡下滑，最低至1.61%。加之美联储会议纪要披露货币政策仍将继续维持一段时间，这些因素共同提振了金价的上涨。不过，鉴于美国经济数据的强劲以及美股不断创新高，黄金上涨之路并非一帆风顺。

另外值得一提的是，周五晚拜登公布了庞大支出计划的又一壮举——将2022Fiscal Year Budget Increase8.4%, to1.52万亿美元。另一项总额料为1万亿美元左右的长期社会支出计划也将出炉。拜登的财政大计牵动着全球市场的神经，债市平静恐即将被打破。展望下周，美联储官员将密集发声，鲍威尔将两次露面，与此同时，美国CPIAnd retail sales data have received much attention.

黄金一周总概：

现货黄金本周开盘最低回落1721后逐步震荡向上反弹接连突破1730，1740and1750关口，特别是周二和周四都出现了一波反弹拉涨，周三震荡盘整，其中周四涨幅高达25USD to1758附近一度逼近1760关口，遗憾周五未能延续周四的升势高位承压回撤，美盘前现货黄金还出现一波短暂的恐慌性抛售跌致使金价跌至1731险些失守1730关口，不过好在未破而企稳反弹至1746附近，此后一直处于1746-1741区间震荡盘整，周五现货黄金收盘于1743附近。周线收带上影线阳线结束两连跌。日线收带下影线阴线。

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Gold market analysis:

周线上，周线收带上影线阳线，布林带向下持续走平，5Zhou and10周均线向下运行，但5周均线有向上拐头态势，MACD双线向下运行，0轴下方绿色动能柱有所缩小，KDJ向上运行，指标无明显方向。目前虽然从周线上看金价有双底的态势形成，但本周五没有延续周四的上涨而承压回落以至于1760-1676的区间没能形成上破，所以在没有突破前不能说一定见底了，还是只能以大区间震荡对待，按照周五承压回落的走势看同时也有双顶的征兆出现，但后市只要周线级别出现有效突破就会走出方向。

日线上，黄金日线收带下影线阴线，日线布林带三轨持续走平，金价目前处于布林上轨和中轨之间运行，MA5AndMA10Moving the moving average with a golden cross upwards,MACDDouble line upward operation,0轴上方红色动能柱持续放量，KDJ向上运行但有拐头向下的态势，指标看涨的同时需警惕出现回落风险。MA5Moving average（1746--1748区域）目前压制金价上涨，若后市金价不能突破此压制，将再次下行去测试1730关口，以及1720and1700关口。若是后市金价能重返MA5均线上方企稳还有上涨的动能出现。

4小时线上，现货黄金周五承压回落，金价从布林带上轨附近回撤至中轨附近，短期均线EMA5andEMA10双线方向不明朗，MACD双线向下运行，0轴下方绿色动能柱持续放量，KDJ向下运行，指标显示金价处于震荡。1小时图上看，布林带三线向下开口，金价从高位受阻回落至1731一线后反弹，目前处于布林带中轨与下轨之间运行，短期均线EMA5andEMA10双线走平，MACD双线向下运行，0轴下方绿色动能柱逐步缩小，KDJRun up,RSIIndicator in40上方，指标显示金价还有一定的上行态势。

综上所述，黄金冲高回落后陷入震荡，目前还暂时不能确定到底是形成双底还是双顶，那么在下周的操作我们先以大区间震荡对待，等确认出方向之后操作上再做进一步的跟随。即，黄金上方先关注美盘冲高回落后反弹的高点1746-1748区域能否形成压制，其次是1751-1753Area and1757-1760区域的高点；下方先关注1741-1740Region, followed by1731-1730Area and1727-1725-1721；目前金价处于1743附近收盘，属于不上不下的尴尬点位，谭鑫晟做出了以1740关口为基准的一个布局，进可攻，退可守！

Reference suggestions for gold operations:

下周一操作上谭鑫晟认为先不要急于进场，我会以1740关口为基准进行布局，周一开盘后1740关口支撑有效则先看涨一波，反弹上方高位受阻后在进行空单布局；若开盘后回落破位1740关口则空一波，等回落企稳后在进行多单布局。

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