Xiao Yikun:4.8黄金走势转强，单边是否来临？

　　投资做单不能靠运气，要学会用专业的知识去分析行情，预测走势，这是盈利的关键所在，做单靠蒙，靠运气，那么结局只能是听天由命，本人在交易市场以摸索了八载有余，对于现货产品的投资有自己独特的见解，做现货投资的朋友可百度搜索“萧亦坤”一起探索现货交易市场未来的道路！

Spotgold早盘弱势下行，午间震荡上行突破前高阻力1743-45一线阻力区域。弱势下行格局改变，金价在1735附近获得支撑。早盘给出1743下放空的操作策略，午间强势破位认损一单。早盘笔者萧亦坤就强调，黄金当前走势面临拐点，正在选择方向。当前的走势似强不强，似弱未弱，是比较难以抉择的。

Gold Message Analysis:

　　1.Thursday（4month8日）现货黄金小幅下跌。月线级别来看，金价受到一条长期趋势线的支撑。日线级别看，多头仍占上风，后市有望突破1745一线阻力。短线操作可考虑低位做多。日内关注初请失业金数据，该数据可能小幅向好，并拖累金价走势。

　　2.美联储主席鲍威尔将参加虚拟国际货币基金组织研讨会关于全球经济的辩论，投资者也需要重点关注。分析人士指出，若假会议纪要将针对美联储加息的市场预期提前，则美元可能会上涨，而金价恐遭受打击。受美元走软和美国国债收益率下降的提振，现货黄金周二上涨近1%。现货黄金收报1743.27dollar/Ounces, up14.97USD or0.87%Touching in the disc3month25The highest level since the beginning of the day1745.51dollar/盎司。周四凌晨02:00, the Federal Reserve will announce3月货币政策会议纪要，在三月货币政策会议纪要后美联储主席鲍威尔表示：美联储认为通胀压力是暂时的，但市场仍然担心这可能会成为一个更大的问题。目前市场预期美国通胀“失控”的概率不大，未来5yearCPIexceed3%的概率在31%，本次会议纪要中需留意暗示减码条件的线索。

　　从盘面上来看，金价连续三日高位横盘整理。横盘整理的结果无非三个，第一是向上突破，第二是继续震荡，第三是向下反转。从今日的表现来看，KLine in1735上获得支撑，同时午间突破1745，多头转强。所以，欧盘的操作我们选择回落干多，至少在方向上我们就有了三分之二的胜率。

　　接下来就是点位的选择了，近三日的走势都有一个规律，就是小时线级别，K线短线下探均线MA60支撑，继而强势上涨。所以，进场点位我们选择回落靠近均线附近1737-35一线进场。这一规律在4小时级别中轨附近支撑也比较明显。

　　

　　4.8Gold European Strategy:

Fallback1735上直接多，止损1727, look at the goal1755Breakthrough Look1800.

Petroleum Technology Analysis

　　最近石油58reach62区域震荡，每次冲高回落，显然62上压力名。上周欧佩克无任何新意，当然还是开始5月陆续增产了，显然高油价的诱惑都是眼馋了，在有和伊朗签署协议达成，至少告诉世界我们不需要在从世界油去进口，最低消费国突然不进口都是用伊朗的了，那也就是说制裁不让伊朗出口，这部分产能再次开启出口都是我们包了，无疑供给增加需求降低，这也是对石油最大利空，你慢慢品当然市场资金必须制造假象，一定还有个反抽测试压力，目前看石油经过消息震荡以后最终还有回到技术面，日线68reach65Downward channel pressure62.5附近，那么反弹继续做空不要怂，消息需要一个消化，前期减持逐步上涨，后期逐步增产以及伊朗油进入市场，后期也是震荡下跌切记。合上述操作思路如下：压力：60.3---61.6  Support:58.3----57。现在反弹60reach60.3区域继续空61.2损就好目标都是58.5reach57reach54区域，激进58.3reach57.7Short Duo57损，关注57得失如果失守就是去46和前期缺口42.5去了，不要什么不可能，在石油这里什么都是有可能。

　　TDAnalysis of Gold Technology

YesterdayTD波动比较小，还是因为现货震荡没有明显趋势，TD走势当然跟随现货黄金就好，毕竟是一个不同报价而已走势基本一样，现在连续上涨中线支撑上移360区域，也即是说周初回落继续360reach357Multiple losses356target363reach368区域，至于做空暂时回避，等现货出现做空信号在参与。

Analysis of Silver Technology

Silver has been relatively weak compared to gold in recent times, so it is important to prevent future gatherings and price increases. After two days of rebound, silver showed a long-awaited despair and gave birth to a bullish signal, which means that silver is expected to become the dark horse of upward trend in the later stage of gold stabilization. It has been repeatedly mentioned that more participation in silver buying during the stabilization of gold is due to the increased demand for silver industry due to economic development, which undoubtedly serves as a catalyst for the subsequent surge in prices. This is why retail investors flocked to silver last month30The reason for this is that only value depressions are bound to drive profit driven capital crazy buying. Yesterday, silver followed the bottom of gold and rebounded, and currently supports upward movement24.6Regional, that is to say, it's better to continue buying after falling, as for short selling and other gold adjustment signals. Based on the above operational ideas, the following is a comprehensive approach;Pressure:25.6-----26.5 Support:24.2-----23.2。日线做多信号出现，那就是直接回落做多不变，回落24.2reach23.9Regional selective buying in batches23.5损就好，毕竟后期经济复苏白银工业需求有牛市预期，而且前期抱团出现炒作，不排除后期有继续上涨那就是说黄金企稳，做多白银涨幅更大。对应TDThe trend of silver remains unchanged5050reach4970分批买入严格4970Loss.

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　　免责声明：本文章由萧亦坤（xyk66099）撰写，分析文章只是对市场未来可能的描述，只是观点的表达，不作为投资决策依据，投资有风险，交易务必注意合理的仓位配置、资金管理和风险控制，无风控不交易，不要让交易失控,文章具有滞后性，据此操作，盈亏自负，投资有风险，入市需谨慎

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